39) A recent sales study indicates that consumption of seafood dishes in Bay City restaurants has increased by 30 percent during the past five years. Yet there are no currently operating city restaurants whose specialty is seafood. Moreover, the majority of families in Bay City are two-income families, and a nationwide study has shown that such families eat significantly fewer home-cooked meals than they did a decade ago but at the same time express more concern about healthful eating. Therefore, the new Captain Seafood restaurant that specializes in seafood should be quite popular and profitable. Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
The argument above claims that a Seafoodrestaurant specializing in seafood would be both popular and profitable due tothe states quo in local market. However, close scrutiny of each of theseevidences reveals that none of them is sufficient and effective. Theauthor at first provided a sales record which implied that the need for seafooddishes is increasing recently, yet the statistics here is too vague to bepersuasive. Although the 30% increase seems to be significant, it is entirelypossible that the consumption of seafood dishes nevertheless had only one ortwo dishes a month in the whole city, in that case, even 30 percent increasecan be ignored while comparing to other sort of dishes. Besides, even if theincrease in seafood dishes is significant and effective, it cannot ensure thatthe increase will be everlasting. Additionally, the fact that there are no restaurants specialized inseafood may intimate an untapped resources here, but it also suggests a lack ofinterest among the residents. Since the author has not adequately responded tothis concern, it is unconvincing to support the conclusion as well. Asfor the target market the author aimed at in Bay City, the analysis may also beuntenable. Neither did the author provide specific information concerning theexact perception or number of two-income families in Bay City nor did he or sheconvince me that the nationwide study can typify the two-income families in BayCity. Perhaps local residents there regard home-cooked meals as healthfuleating and they would rather have meals at home instead of dining out,or perhaps the life pace there is so fast that the only thing they demand fordiet is fast and potable, let alone the healthy food. Otherwise, even granted that thenationwide study is representative in Bay City, it also fails to justify thatthere is a casual relationship between seafood dishes and healthful eating.Maybe the seafood is cooked in an unhealthy way, which is inacceptable for thetwo-income family. Inconclusion, the argument is unpersuasive as it stands. To bolster it, theauthor must provide more reasonable evidence that the seafood specializedrestaurant will be welcomed and profitable. We still need to be informed of thedetails in the sales study about seafood dishes consumption. And we also needto know the actual reasons for the lack of seafood specialized restaurantscurrently in Bay City. To better gauge the local market, the eating habits andconsumption habits of the two-income families in Bay City ought to be fully studied.
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发表于 2012-3-4 21:44:59
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