前两天都删除了 想到要上来回报CD的,特地从回收站里捞出来的 5.5可能不算特别牛了,但是还是贴上来聊表心意 主要是XDF教材上的,加一点点自己的总结 Argument
Hasty Generlization.(representative,entire,in general,as a whole)
example 1.First, the author assumes that Viewer Choice (VC) is representative of the video store in general. However,this is not necessary the case. VC might have more VHS-tape, as a percentage of its total inventory than the average video store. If so,than the author's assumption may be no convincing any more.
30.First, the author assume that the population as a whole is aging and the hotel occupancy in general is decling. However, the author fails to justify his assumption that the unamed region is representative of the nation as a whole, so the example cited is not sufficient enough to substantiate this argument. For example, the unnamed region may attract more old people than the average, and its hotel occupancy may be decline just because of a summer holiday . Without any more details, it is fallacious to draw any conclusion at all.
(best)48.First,the author fails to justify his assumption that the businesses in general can increase their profitability under private ownership than under public ownership. The example of XX, is not sufficient enough to warrant its truth because there is no reason to believe that CC is representitive of the entire businesses. For example, its products may be far more profitability than the average business. Without any more detail, it is fallacious to draw any conclusion from the evidence cited.
misapplied generalization(typical)
example.First, the authorbelieve that the teenagers in seaside is typical of the children nationwide.However,there is no evidence to substantiate this assumption.For example,it is possible that they may have less homework thus they may become happier than average.Without any more details,it is fallacious to draw any conclusions based on the nationwide survey.
148.First,the author assumes that Monroetown's(M) voters is typical of the voters nationwide. However,there is no reason to substantiate his assumption. For example,It is possible that the people in M may vote according to their positions. Thus,they may be against the incumbents.or M's voters may tend to elect a different mayor when they attend a franchise.Without any more details,it is fallacious to draw any conclusion based on the facts nationwide.
causal oversimplification The arguer commit the fallacy of causal oversimplification in assuming that A is all that required for B.While A is a element in determing B,it is hardly the only one.To establish a general causal relationship between A and B, other factos that could result in B should be eliminated. for example,.... The argurer's failure to consider other factors render the conclusion highly suspect.
47.The arguer claim that the reason of three shop's failure was their location. While location is an important determing elements to a business 's success or failure,it is hardly the only one.To establish a general causal relationship between location and a business 's failure,other factors should be eliminated.For example,the quality of the products or services,the advertisement,the price,these factors can attribute to a shop's success or failure.However,the author fails to consider these possibilities and render the argument suspect.
post hoc,ergo propter hoc(proceed,occurred before,chronological relationship)
(best)14.The author has engaged in the "post hoc,ergo propter hoc" reasoning.The only reason offered for believeing that the use of interactive computer insruction caused the declining of dropout rate is that the former proceeded the latter.The mere chronological relationship is not sufficient enough to substantiate the causal relationship between the two events.In order to establish the causal relationship between two events,other factors should be eliminated.For example,the school may have a increasing teaching qualities,a better enviroments,or some more intersting subjects.Without even considering these possibilities,the autor render the conclusion based on it highly suspect.
22.The author has engaged in a "post hoc, ergo propter hoc"reasoning. The only reason for believeing that the increased vigilance caused the increas in cocaine use is the fact that the former proceed the latter. the mere chronological relationship between these two events is not sufficient enough to substantiate a causal relationship between them.In order to establish a general causal relationship, other factors should be eliminated .For example, the increasing price of Cocaine, the increasing product rate of cocaine.without even considering these possibilities,the author render the conclusion suspect.
Cum hoc,ergo propter hoc(positive, coincide with)
4.The author has engaged in the"cum hoc,ergo propter hoc"fallacy in reasoning.The only reason for believing that delays in manufacturing caused the the falling revenues is that the former coincided with the latter.The mere positive relation is not sufficient to substantiate a causal relationship between the two events. In order to establish the causal relationship,other factors must be eliminated.For example,lost in customers,increasing cost can also attribute to the falling revenues,such factors should be ruled out.Without even considering these factors,the author's conclusion is suspect.
False analogy(analogous to, difference outweigh the similarities,comparability)
1.The author commit a false analogy in reasoning that OF will achieve the same result as CF. The reasoning is questionable because similarity between the two events may not sufficient enough to substantiate the claim. For example, food spoilage, timely transportation all affect the OF while have little affect on CF. Apparently,difference between CF and OF far outweigh their similarities,thus making the analogy untenable. The author 's failiure to prove or even consider the comparibility between CF and OF render the claim highly suspect.
37.The author assume that the MX is analogous to the car.However,this assumption is problematic,because the similarities between these two events may not sufficient enough to substantiate the assumption. For example, the car is usually required of smooth ride, safty driving while MX are not required these factors. Apparently,their difference far outweigh their similarities.Thus leaving the author's assumption untenable. The author 's failure to prove or even consider the comparibility between MX and cars renders the claim suspect.
All things are equal(remain the same at different time/location)
25.The author assumes that the condition in City L will remain the same at different time. However,the fiscal policy may change in L,thus make its economic enviroment change greatly, or a new mayor may in charge of L,making the city totally different. Since the argument fails to account for possibilities such as these , it is unconvinced that.....
31. The author assumes that the trends will remain the same at different time. However, the supply of coffe and cola may change greatly,the cost of doing business as a producer of coffee or cola, may fluctuate greatly over the follwing 20 years. These factors may change the current trends, change the comparatively price of coffee and cola, and people's favor in them. Since the argument fails to account for these possibilities, it is problematic to claim that ......
False dilemma(mutually exclusive alternatives)
73.The author assumes that taking rural issues seriously and taking urban crime issues seriously are two mutually exclusive alternatives. However, the author provides no evidence to show that claim. A better solution may be found when seriouslytaking rural issues as well as urban crime issues . Apparently, without evidence to rule out this better solution, the author cannot justifyly claim that....
Appeal to ignorance 39.The author assumes that all the people unhappy with AA will complain about it. However, the evidence offered is insufficient to support that claim. Many people who feels unhappy may have no time to complain about their discontent, or they may choose not to take AA's plain again to express their displeasure. Therefore, the fact that 99 percent of passeners didn't complain indicates nothing about their attitude toward AA. Lacking more complete details, the author's assumption may be problematic.
One sideness The author assumes that M can offer these improved services without sacrifice other factors that attract customers. In fact, M may have to cut back other services or offer accounts on less attractive terms, all to compensate for the cost of additional costs associated with the proposed improvements.Furthermore, its employees may feel more working tension and thus do not behave temperly to its customers, thus, M will lost many customers. Neglecting these possibilities, the author's claim seem to be problematic.
Vested interest We have strong reason to question the creditability and the neutrality of the survey in which the author may have vested interest, therefore is inclined to manipulate the figures to his own advantage.
Respondent(representitive,distort)有SURVEY必用
8.The statistical evidence cited in the argument is problematic because the responds'views are not representitive of the view of workforce in general. Because the survey is about the apathy, it makes sense that only those less apathetic workers would respond to it, thereby distort the overall view picture of the view among the workforces. Without any details about how the survey was conducted, it is not possible to assess whether this is the case.
186.The statistical evidence cited in the evidence may not be reliable. The arguer provide no evidence of how the survey was conducted,therefore,no details are given about whether the respondents are representitive of the workers in general or whether the number of respondent are significant enough. Lacking information about the randomness and size of the survey's sample,it is not possible to assess whether this is the case.
Hints from recommendation
42.The author's conclusion that the price increase to reverse the deterioration of the postal service is based on the assumption that no other methods can achieve this goal. However, the author provide no evidence to justify this assumption. It is possible, for example, that increase the service quality can increase revnue of the postal servicem, decreaing the cost is also a good method. These two methods will not decreased the morale while they can reverse the deterioration of the postal service,without consiering these two alternatives,the auther's claim is problematic.
Also,the auther assume that reducing the volume of mail and generating larger revenues will improved morale. Actually,this is not necessarily the case. Reduced volume may cause a result in a reduction of the size of the labor force,thus carry a stress among the works,which may deterrent the morale,what's more,the increasing avenue may not be used to improve the morale, it will be used in other ways.All of these factors may in turn undermine morale.
有STUDY必用 Finally,the firm unjustifiably relies on the studies that correlate coffee and cola consumption with age. the firm does not proide evidence to confirm the reliability of the studies.moreover,while the phrase"studies suggest"may appear to lend credibility to these claims,the phrase is vague enough to actually render the claims worthless,in the absence of any information about them.
|