The following appeared in a memorandum from the manager of WWAC radio station.
"To reverse a decline in listener numbers, our owners have decided that WWAC must change from its current rock-music format. The decline has occurred despite population growth in our listening area, but that growth has resulted mainly from people moving here after their retirement. We must make listeners of these new residents. We could switch to a music format tailored to their tastes, but a continuing decline in local sales of recorded music suggests limited interest in music. Instead we should change to a news and talk format, a form of radio that is increasingly popular in our area."
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
In the argument above, the author concludes that the WWACradio station should change it current rock-music format to a news and talk format so that to reverse a decline in listener numbers.To support the conclusion, the author points out that although the population in the listening area has grown,that growth mainly relates to the retired people who immigratesfrom other place.If the radio station want to make their lisreners of these new residents,they should follow their tastes to choose a music format.Based on the declining of the local sales of recorded music ,the author illuminates that the new residents lack of interest in music.However,these all do not constitute a logical argument.The evidences fails to prove the conclusion ina logical perspective.
The threshold problem is the increasing population lacks of evidence to indicate that they has resulted mainly from the retired people without a pinpoint statistic.The growth number of a city should be calculated by the number of the death and birht,not only the different between immigration and emmigration.The new residents who immigrate cannot decide whether the population is up or down.Even if the population has increased for the maily reason of the retired new arrival, the passage does not insure when the retired people made the immigration.If they had come to the area for many years , but the decliningof the listeners is occurred recently, how can we find out the population be increased by this group of people?
Another problem is if the growth of the population is really caused by the resident who newly be there, that is hardly to decide that they will be the mainly listeners of the WWAC radio station in a new music form.For instance, if a large number of the new residents lack of interest in listening radio but perfer watching TV to listen music or get the daily news, the change of WWAC will has no help to reverse the declining listener.However,even the new residents are crazied to listen radio music or other things ,the radio station can not find out the reason of the decline is about the retired people's age which may be an age perfer news than music.Although many people in a retired age like news rather than rock-music,the author should have proved whether THIS group prefer.
The author also hastily assumes that music is being lossing popular because of the local sales of recorded music.Firstly the recorded music is only a kind of music store. With the development of the technologythe lover of music can collect their favors in their computer or mp3,moble phone,I Pad,I Pod and so on . Secondly,in the perspective of eviromental protection,recording may be some kind of wasting materia things.Fruthor more,the recorded music will be heavier than an I Phone.
Finally,the conclusion about the changing of radio program format which from rock-music format to news and talk format also in an absence of some strongly evidence.If the population is increased by the retired people who will be the mainly listeners of WWAC radio station, what is the relationship between this group of people to the customers of recorded music?The author fails to interpretate that may be the mainly customers of recorded music are that group of residents.Even all the above problems can be proved, there is still a puzzle floating on the argument. How can the author be sure that the listeners of WWAC will like the new format which includes news and talk? We have to predict the cause before any dicision being accomplished.If the listeners decrease in a repidly speed which more serious than before,the radio station makesolution plans better.
To sum up,if the author want to prove the decision of the radio format changing, the absence evidence shoud be added to make the passage be logically acceptable.
这个写了1个小时16分钟，求拍啊~求普度哥告诉我这个速度怎么能上来啊！
631字，1个多小时才能完成，要是考场上写的时候来不及了怎么办？
每一段内容都是联系的，我要是在考场上应该怎么处理？
btw analytical writing的两部分在考试的时候是分开计时还是从一开始就60分钟倒计时的？
跪谢！
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发表于 2012-3-8 17:42:41
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