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The argument above seems to be sound atfirst glance. Based on the second survey that the type of book most frequentlychecked is mystery novel, the author assert that the respondents in the formerstudy had misrepresented their reading habits. However, only by providing uswith some justifiable evidences, can the author convince us that the argument proposedis indeed tenable. Firstly, the author assumes that therespondents of the two surveys are representative as well as forthright.Lacking the critical evidence that the number of respondents chosen by theresearchers is large enough to be representative of the general, we could notevaluate whether the conclusions of the two surveys are reliable. Moreover, weare not informed whether the respondents were forthright. They might not havetold the truth of their reading habits because of some reasons. So withoutbeing offered these essential evidences, it is hard for us to accept theauthor's argument. Granted that the respondents of the twosurveys were representative as well as honest, the frequency of the books beingchecked is not a good indication of people's preference. Many people choose toborrow books just because they do not consider it necessary to spend theirmoney on such kinds of books. Reversely they are willing to purchase thosebooks they really like in order to read them at any time without the limitationof borrowing. Without the evidence showing that the most frequently checkedbooks are the same books which are favored by most people, we cannot believethe author. What's more, the author also hastilyassumes that there are no differences between the situation of the past andthat of the current time. The author fails to rule out the possibility that thepeople at that time when the first survey was conducted truly preferredliterary classics, while the majority of the citizens now tend to choosemystery novels as their reading materials. It is completely possible that thefad has changed considerably, which result in the change of citizens readinghabit. Simply put, the author's argument seems tobe reasonable, however, in order to support his argument he needs to convince usthat the respondents are representative as well as forthright, and thedevelopments of society has not changed people's reading habits. Unless thesecritical evidences could be offered, we cannot evaluate whether the argumentproposed is truly tenable. |
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