Issue 74~3.31，求狠拍！

greenfish7

74) Knowing about the past cannot help people to make important decisions today.

Words: 454

Controversy surrounds the question of whether past can be conducive to making important decisions today. In my perspective, it is true that things can be capricious in terms of their vagaries of paths; however, it does not follow that the past is futile in making decisions today, in fact sometimes the past can be very helpful to determine not only today's choices, but also predict the situation tomorrow, which is also crucial.

Admittedly, things sometimes go in a random way. These things are always evading people's predictions, while people are in great endeavors to control the vagary. For instance, nuclear energy stashes inexhaustible energy sources in it. Although people try hard to make it controlled, it is always refractory and capricious and the leak of this type of energy, which is extremely pernicious, still happens from time to time.Scientists are not able to take measures to forestall the leak every time, for the situation in the past can change today. Another example is weather forecasting. Though people have succeeded in predicting weather in the longrun, namely, in one or more year,  this forecasting in fact can be very nebulous, and people hitherto cannot predict the temperature in the next day completely accurately. Therefore, it seems that knowing about the past is indeed somehow useless for the decisions today.

However, in fact, the past is helping people to judge today to a large extent. Without the past, people will fail to judge whether things today are in normal or good conditions. For example, it is impossible for firms to make any decisions today without the data in the past, such as the cash flow, and investments already bringing about profits, so on and so forth. It seems also difficult for a college to enroll a student without knowing about his/her previous performance. In essential, today is always connecting with the past, and it resembles the conditions of the past. Thus,people are not able to make decisions rightly without information of the past.

What's more, radically, the past is also conducive to predicting the future. History is like a mirror, which can tell much about the vicissitudes of things. Only in a welter of past, today, andtomorrow, can people make important decisions more rationally.

On balance, it is indeed true that because of the vagaries of things, people cannot rely totally on the situations yesterday to make decisions totally; however, in fact the past is useful in determining the situations today in a large scale: things frequently changes gradually in the short term. Therefore, it is crucial for people to know the past, and make the best of it to make decisions, of course, taking into account the possibilities of changes.

竹林中人

不错，楼主加油！

greenfish7

THX!

普渡哥

这篇写得不错