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一、调查代表性 二、女校传统不一定带来士气的提升 三、女校传统不一定带来经济资助
In this argument the author advocates that the old tradition of all-female education should be preserved in Grove College. It seems reasonable to agree with the author before a close scrutiny. However, the argument rests on a series of unsubstantiated assumptions that render it unconvincing.
To begin with, the argument relies on an assumption that both the two surveys are valid and representative enough to show all the students' or the alumnae' opinions on this problem. However, the author fails to provide sufficient evidence to convince me of the validity and scope of the surveys. The cited 80 percent seems a large number and there is a possibility that only 20 students responded in this survey. And similarly, the sample of the alumnae may be too small to present the whole. If that's the case, the surveys can't be used to bolster the recommendation of keeping the college all female. Unless the author can present firm evidence to affirm the validity and representativeness of the surveys, the argument is unpersuasive as it stands.
What's more, even though the foregoing assumption can be proved, the argument is still ill-conceived. The author unfairly assumes that the all-female tradition helps to enhance the morale among students. We are not able to deny the likelihood that the majority of the female students may feel comfortable without male students. However, there is no necessary relationship between the all-female tradition and the morale in college. Perhaps if the college accepts male students and thus there is an increase in the number of the students, the female students may think their school becomes better and more famous, which may lead to the improvement in the students' morale. If that is true, the assumption will be weakened seriously. Without considering the possible alternative explanation and ruling it out, the argument is logically unsound.
Last but not least, even if the author is able to prove the assumptions mentioned above, there is another crucial but unsubstantiated assumption that alumnae are willing to support the college if the college can remain all-female. If it is true, the recommendation will be reinforced greatly. However, the author fails to offer evidence to support it. Common sense tells me that there are several factors that may influence the alumnae's willingness to donate to the college, such as the economic conditions and the educational effectiveness of the school. For example, perhaps a bad economic environment leads to the alumnae’s bad economic conditions, which may result in the termination of the financial support to the college though it keeps all female. Only with firm evidence to affirm the relationship between the all-female tradition and the financial support can the argument be considered reliable.
To sum up, relying on nothing more than unsubstantiated assumptions, the argument is unpersuasive and fails to convince me that the college should implement the author's recommendation. To make a more cogent argument and convince the college to keep all-female, the author needs to provide more valid and clear evidence to substantiate the assumptions as well as to present more rigid reasoning. |
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