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16年後, 台灣同胞來回答。
Spot the question type - Discrepancy
Possible prediction
a. Too randomly to have the rainfall at the month of June, and there is no any infrastructure to deal with excess rains for the efficiently usage.
b. More people has been abusing the water than previously.
A. It does not solve the conflict why it seems to have more water but fail to solve the water shortage
B. It conflicts with the infos offered. Based on this options, we should not have any water shortage.
C. Here is a really important key point to keep in mind that " most " residents would reduce the consumption significantly with a minimal reduction in their standard of living during the drought. Most = 51-100, As a result, we can predict that 1 - 50% of the residents would " not reduce the consumption even in drought period. As the same token, without the drought now due to the heavier rainfall than previously, no one would be informed to reduce the consumption significantly, and If this could be true, then it must also could be true that people might abuse the water the fact that consequently leading to the more severe water shortage of 1st of July than previously.
* It said " Help to explain " . As long as it could support just even a little bit, it should be the right answer.
D. If this is true, we should not have any water shortage.
用國語講解下概念:
這裡有偷藏一個因果概念
因為乾旱, 所以限制用水通報, 而有(51-100)%的民眾會大量減少用水
因為乾旱的狀況未發生(大雨), 所以沒有限制用水通報, 所以沒有民眾會大量減少用水的機率是存在的, 既然沒有民眾會大量減少用水, 那我們剛剛推測的答案點b: 民眾濫用水量的機率就有可能會發生
無因, 所以無果。
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