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Workers in the small town of Leeville take fewer sick days than workers in the large city of Masonton, 50 miles away. Moreover, relative to population size, the diagnosis of stress-related illness is proportionally much lower in Leeville than in Masonton. According to the Leeville Chamber of Commerce, these facts can be attributed to the health benefits of the relatively relaxed pace of life in Leeville.
The Leeville Chamber of Commerce(LCC) concludes that people in Leeville live a relatively relaxing life compare to those live in Masonton. To substantiate the conclusion, the LCC cites the following comparison between Leeville and Masonton: workers in the small town of Leeville take fewer sick days than workers in the large city of Masonton; and the diaonosis of stress-related illness is proportionally much lower in Leeville than in M. Although the facts seem to be reasonable at the first glance, it is in fact ill-conceived. The reasons are stated as follows.
Firstly, take fewer sick days cannot justify that people in the small town live a more relaxing life. As the statistics come from workers who cannot represent everyone, it is entirely possible that officers take more sick days in the small town. Accordingly, the LCC cannot draw any conclusion about people in Leeville benefit a healthy life from the relaxed pace living in the small town.
Secondly, these two area is 50 miles away from each other. Which means lots of factors is totally different, including climates, environments, pollution degrees, and so forth. For example, assuming that M is an industrial city and L is a agricultural town, it is obvious that M suffering more industrial pollution which may cause more illnesses that lead to more sick days. Hence, without accounting for and ruling out these and other alternative explanations, the LCC cannot bolster the conclusion.
Thirdly, the LCC just simply assumed that the lower proportion of the diagnosis of stress-related illness results from the breeze rhythm of life and neither any conclusive scientific evidence nor any anecdotal evidence is provided to affirm this assumption. It is reasonable to doubt the uniqueness of reason. Take Norway as an example, the country is famous for its comfortable life and slow pace of life, however, to almost everyone’s astonishment, this country is one of the nations which has an “alarming” suicide rate all over the world which is visible that is not caused by the fast pace of life. So that it is inappropriate to conclude such results through this fact.
To sum up, the LCC’S argument above is not based on valid evidence or sound reasoning, neither of which is dispensable for a conclusive argument. In order to draw a better conclusion, the LCC should reason more convincingly, cite some evidence that is more persuasive, and the most significant thing, take every possible consideration into account. |
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发表于 2013-1-16 17:44:16
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