- UID
- 788483
- 在线时间
- 小时
- 注册时间
- 2012-8-1
- 最后登录
- 1970-1-1
- 主题
- 帖子
- 性别
- 保密
|
The following was written as a part of an application for a small-business loan by a group of developers in the city of Monroe. A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. Currently, the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away; thus, the proposed new jazz club in Monroe , the C-Note, would have the local market all to itself. Plus, jazz is extremely popular in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's annual jazz festival last summer; several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe; and the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly,' which airs every weeknight at 7 P.M. Finally, a nationwide study indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment.
Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
This argument concludes that C-Note would be a tremendously profitable enterprise in Monroe because there is no jazz club in Monroe . However, its author fails to provide sufficient evidence to lead a proper evaluation of the argument's reasoning. Each point of deficiency is discussed separately below.
One of the argument's deficiencies involves only because there is no jazz club in Monroe so C-Note would have the local market all to itself. The author provides no specific evidence that the location advantage can bring the entire market in Monroe to C-Note. In any event, more information about whether the people in Monroe prefer to consume in a jazz club which is 65 miles away should be provided in order to determine if C-Note can make profit in Monroe. If people like driving far away from Monroe to have fun in jazz club, then there is no chance that C-Note can make profit in Monroe. However, if people go to the jazz club far away from the Monroe because there is no jazz club in Monroe and they prefer go to the jazz club in Monroe, which then can lead to a tremendous profit for C-Note.
Another weakness of the argument is that it provides no information about any connection between the numbers of people attend to jazz festival last year and tremendous profit C-Note would make. It would be useful to know if these people who attended to last year's jazz festival not just standing by but consuming in the jazz club. And it also would be helpful to obtain information about that whether the more than 100000 people attended last year's jazz festival would still attend to this year's annual jazz festival or more people would attend to. C-Note would be a tremendously profitable enterprise if more people attend to this yea's jazz festival and consume in the C-Note. Otherwise, it is unlikely that C-Note can make profit from jazz festival.
Yet another of the author's shortcoming has to do with the nationwide study, which would require detail information about whether this data is valid and also if this study can represent the situation of Monroe. If this study just from those people who love jazz club but have never consumed in the club, then the data is invalid. On the other and, though the study is valid, it may represent the consumers in jazz club in the whole nation not just Monroe . It may helpful if these people who consuming in jazz club are concentrated in Monroe. But this argument did not provide more persuasive information about it so it is not convincing.
In view of the above, it can be said that the conclusion presented in the argument sounds unconvincing due to lack of substantial evidence as what factor can directly led to tremendous profit. Though the fact the author stated may be true, because more information to connect the factor and the profit making should be provided, investors in Monroe should not loan to C-Note. |
|