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The author suggests lavender for curing insomnia, citing a study which shows that 30 people with insomnia were cured after three weeks sleeping on lavender-scented pillows.In the survey there were at least two factors that could lead to the result - medicine and lavender scent, but the author cannot prove the latter is the really cause.In addition, the duration of the survey was too short and the number of the people who took the experiment was too small, as a result, the author's conclusion is not convincing.
Firstly, in the experiment, both medicine and lavender were involved.To prove the lavender scent can have a great role in curing insomnia, the volunteers with insomnia should only sleep on lavender-scented pillows without taking any other medicines.But in the survey, the volunteers took medicines during the first week.During the two weeks following, the medication was longer taken.At the first glance, it is plausible to make a conclusion just as the author did that the medicine had not play a part any longer so the final results could be contributed to lavender’ s scent.This may be true in some cases, but there is a chance that the medicine had long effects.Even though been discontinued, it could have an effect on the patients and gradually cure them. In this case, it was the medicine rather the sent of lavender’ flowers that really play an important role.
Additionally, there were some other factors in the survey that could contribute to the final cure of these volunteers, for example the volunteers themselves.In the experiment, they had bad sleep in nearly two weeks, and during the second week, they had been already very tired.So it is likely that neither the medicine nor the scent that cured the volunteers, but tiredness cured them.To make clear whether some factors coming from the patients themselves had an effect, there should be a parallel experiment where another 30 patients who do not use scented pillows are observed while any other conditions are the same as those of the original survey.Moreover, in the survey, we have no idea about the volunteers - whether they had serious insomnia or not.Maybe the degree of the insomnia among the volunteer was not serious and can be cured easily even without any cure.To verify the claim that lavender scent is useful, the survey should be more thorough, that is, it should involve patients of different severities of insomnia.
Lastly, except these various factors which weaken the author’s claim, the survey’s short duration also makes it suspicious.There is no information about the volunteers' insomnia condition after the experiment.It is possible that most of these volunteers once had good sleep in the survey suffer a lot from insomnia again.Unless an accurate survey shows that most of these volunteers do not have difficult in sleep, we cannot agree that lavender's scent really have an important role in curing insomnia.
In brief, the survey cited involved so many factors that might result in the “cure” of the volunteers that catches itself in suspect.In addition, the short duration and small range of volunteers of the survey also weaken the author’s final conclusion.If more and different subjects were observed, the effect of lavender scent were be studied without any other interference, and the insomnia were cured, the author’ conclusion would be more plausible.
原题中用了过去时态,所以写的时候感觉时态上有些纠结,不好把握。 另外我提的possiblity不是很多,不知道在考试的时候这样做会不会比较惨 |
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