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AA015 罪恶探讨—— 灰机灰人(惠己惠人)啊~

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发表于 2012-10-16 11:58:06 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
AA015 罪恶探讨~~灰机灰人(惠己惠人)啊~
题目呈上:AA15
The following appeared as a part of an advertisement for Adams, who is seeking reelection as governor:
"Re-elect Adams, and you will be voting for proven leadership in improving the state's economy. Over the past year alone, 70 percent of the state's workers have had increases in their wages, 5,000 new jobs have been created, and six corporations have located their headquarters here. Most of the respondents in a recent poll said they believed that the economy is likely to continue to improve if Adams is reelected. Adams's opponent, Zebulon, would lead our state in the wrong direction, because Zebulon disagrees with many of Adams's economic policies."



只找出一处逻辑错误:Z 不同意A 的经济观点不代表 Z 会引导这个州 to wrong direction.


求牛牛解读~
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沙发
发表于 2012-12-15 20:44:20 | 只看该作者
本文的结论是:再选A 可以提升 经济
分析:这里是一个充分条件的错误。你可以假设,除了选A之外,还有什么可以提升经济的方法。
本文的论据中还包含一个因果关系即:A的当政 导致了 工资上涨/新的工作机会
分析:你可以质疑这个因果关系。假设是其它原因导致这个结果发生的。
除此之外:
they believed that the economy is likely to continue to improve if Adams is reelected 是一个“ gratuitous assumption"。
Most of the respondents in a recent poll 还是一个模棱两可。因为调查中缺少具体的数据。
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