求助，感觉有点乱，请大侠翻译一下

heanjun · 发表于 2010-8-6 09:49:59

The following appeared in a research paper written for an introductory economics course:
“For the past century, an increase in the number of residential building permits issued per month in a particular region has been a reliable indicator of coming improvements to that region’s economy. If the monthly number of residential building permits issued rises consistently for a few months, local unemployment rate almost always falls and economic production increases. This well-established connection reveals an effective method by which a regional government can end a local economic downturn: relax regulations governing all construction so that many more building permits can be issued.”
Discuss how well reasoned . . .etc.

x_fan · 发表于 2010-8-6 16:18:56

For the past century, /an increase in the number of residential building permits(许可证) issued per month in a particular region /has been a reliable indicator of coming improvements to that region’s economy./ If the monthly number of residential building permits issued /rises consistently for a few months,/ local unemployment rate almost always falls and economic production increases./ This well-established connection /reveals an effective method by which a regional government can end a local economic downturn:/ relax regulations governing all construction（施工） /so that many more building permits can be issued.”

不知道这样改改你能看懂么？
逻辑就是
住宅建筑许证可多，经济总是好
所以为了让经济好，就想多发证

heanjun · 发表于 2010-8-6 18:45:40

thanks！！！

aomeisoft7 · 发表于 2010-8-14 20:44:37

更正在下面一楼

aomeisoft7 · 发表于 2010-8-14 20:55:18

在过去了一个世纪里，一个地区政府每月颁发的居住房屋建筑许可证是即将到来的经济增长的可靠标志。如果在几个月里每月政府颁发的居住房屋建筑许可证持续增加，当地的失业率经常会下降并且生产值上升。这个普遍认可的联系说明了一个有效的方法结束地区的经济萧条：（这个方法就是）放松对所有建筑的管制使得更多的建筑能拿到许可证。

我的看法，请大牛更正！！
1.all things are equal. 过去的一个世纪的规律不一定今后还适用，可能过去一个世纪，地区处于发展期，而现在建筑数量已经饱和了
2.gratuitous assumption. 许可证增加是经济增长的一个现象，不表示是造成经济增长的原因。即使是原因，那么能使经济增长，也不一定能end downturn吧，可能只是增加一点呢
3.cause simplification 经济增长的原因有很多，不能忽略它因。同样，经济萧条的原因也很多，仅仅通过增加许可证，不足以结束经济萧条
3.fause analogy. 前面一直说的residential building permits,最后的结论是all construction,building permits,少了residential， 2个概念不一样

求助，感觉有点乱，请大侠翻译一下

所属分类: 下线版块

正在浏览此版块的会员 ()