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12月JJ 大家给点思路

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楼主
发表于 2008-12-10 21:26:00 | 只看该作者

12月JJ 大家给点思路

5.
        
The following appeared in a memorandum from the CEO of a consumer electronics manufacturing firm to the head of the company's human resources department, who is responsible for hiring new employees:

“Eight years ago, our firm’s profits were increasing with each new employee we added. We discovered that each employee had the skills and motivation to generate more revenue for the firm than his or her salary cost us.

However, for the past two years, our profit margin has been falling, even though we have continued to add employees. Thus, our newer employees are not generating enough revenue to justify their salaries. We must not be hiring new employees with the same level of skills and motivation as those we used to attract. Clearly, then, failures in the human resources department account for our falling profits.”

Discuss how well reasoned . . .etc.

有哪些逻辑漏洞哈 越多越好 谢谢nn了

有哪些逻辑漏洞哈 越多越好 谢谢nn了

沙发
 楼主| 发表于 2008-12-12 00:47:00 | 只看该作者
upup
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2008-12-12 14:38:00 | 只看该作者
upup
地板
发表于 2008-12-13 10:07:00 | 只看该作者

profit margin = (revenue - cost of sales)/revenue, 所以PM减少,很可能是除salary以外的其他cost增加了;

5#
发表于 2008-12-13 19:48:00 | 只看该作者

就算是自己练习一下吧,还请NN指教,错误之处尽请提出啊。。

In this argument the CEO reached a conclusion that failures in the human resources department account for their falling profits. That is because for the past two years, new employees with the same level of skills and motivation as those they used to attract have not generating enough revenue to justify their salaries, while eight years ago firm’s profits were increasing with each new employee they added. Although at first glance, the argument appears to be somewhat plausible, it has some significant drawbacks and the author's reasoning is logically flawed. By not only carefully evaluating the author's reasoning and logic but also performing a deep and fundemental case-by-case analysis, we can see the author fails to consider the following factors.

 

In the first place, The CEO fails to assume that the background conditions of the last two years have remained the same as those of eight years ago. The relative conditions of eight years ago can not bring about the warranted evidence which draws the CEO’s conclusion that failures in the human resources department account for our falling profits. For example, the preference of the consumers to electronics products has been changing. Eight years ago people use the mobile phone just to communicate or send message, while the last two years video and MP3 in the mobile phone are available to all according to their preference.

 

Secondly, the CEO fails to consider other factors that maybe significantly influence the profit rather than the aspect of the employees. It is correct that the profit margin depends on the difference of revenue and cost. However, it is not the case that the cost equals to the salaries of emplyees. We could not ignore the cost such as that paid for the research, the advertising, and other operation fees due to the inflation. It is more likely that the cost above performs a great deal of the revenue as well as the cost, and it is unfair to contribute the falling profit margin to the aspect of the employees. Unless other cost is considered and eliminated from the total cost, the salaries can not be responsible for the falling profit margin.

 

Thirdly, the evident that our newer employees are not generating enough revenue to justify their salaries is unwarranted. Admittedly, the rate of revenue to their salaries has declined since the last two years. However, it is not to say new employees with the same level of skills and motivation as those we used to attract is redundant. In consumer electronics manufacturing industry, what play an more necessary role on the competition and share of market are the talents, which also contribute to our future strategy. Futhermore, how to manage the talent to utilize their potential ability accoding to the market is what we now should consider.

 

To sum up, although the fact that our profit margin has been falling for the past two years, the conclusive recommendation that failures in the human resources department account for our falling profits is gratuitous because the CEO fails to consider the important imformation above entirely. The conclusion is unfair for the human resources department and may be harm to the development for the firm unless the CEO handles an entirely and thoroughly observation.

6#
 楼主| 发表于 2008-12-13 21:34:00 | 只看该作者

我看了 好长 嘿i 能不能简单说一下逻辑漏洞啊 清楚一点的 谢谢哦

7#
发表于 2008-12-14 00:38:00 | 只看该作者

驳斥:failures in the human resources department account for our falling profits

1.时间不等-8年前与2年前的 background conditions 可能改变,影响revenue,profit,比如,针对消费电子行业,人们消费偏好变了,手机8年前可能只是打电话发短信什么的,但是现在还能拍照听歌

2.他因影响-影响profit margin比较大的还可能是其他支出,不一定就是员工的generating revenue to their salaries的缩小导致的,其他支出:研究,广告,日常支出。

3. consumer electronics manufacturing 行业,员工人才对于企业的竞争力和未来发展,战略很重要,不能说减就减,应该适当调整一下管理方法,人尽其才。

我也只找到了这些,前两个比较直接,后一个猜的。。

8#
发表于 2008-12-14 14:24:00 | 只看该作者
1.The author's assumption that the firm's increasing profit was due to the employment of new employees is questionable.
2.Even granted that the new employee contributed to the increase of the company's profit, we can hardly conclude that the decline of company's profit margin in the past two years resulted from the disqualification of new employees. 如楼上所说backgroud condition may have changed
3.There are many other factors influencing a firm's margin profits.
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