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LSAT-7-1-25

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楼主
发表于 2004-12-12 23:07:00 | 只看该作者

LSAT-7-1-25

25. Police statistics have shown that automobile antitheft devices reduce the risk of car theft, but a statistical study of automobile theft by the automobile insurance industry claims that cars equipped with antitheft devices are, paradoxically, more likely to be stolen than cars that are not so equipped. Which one of the following, if true, does the most to resolve the apparent paradox?


(A) Owners of stolen cars almost invariably report the theft immediately to the police but tend to delay notifying their insurance company, in the hope that the vehicle will be recovered.


(B) Most cars that are stolen are not equipped with antitheft devices, and most cars that are equipped with antitheft devices are not stolen.


(C) The most common automobile antitheft devices are audible alarms, which typically produce ten false alarms for every actual attempted theft.


(D) Automobile owners who have particularly theft-prone cars and live in areas of greatest incidence of car theft are those who are most likely to have antitheft devices installed.


(E) Most automobile thefts are the work of professional thieves against whose efforts antitheft devices offer scant protection.


题目说:警察的数据显示装防盗设备降低车子被偷的风险,而保险公司的数据显示装防盗设备的车子比没有装的更容易被偷。


答案是D。D说车子容易招小偷且住在丢车时间频繁地区的人会更可能去装防盗设备。D是解释了保险公司的说法,但是好像没有解释警察数据。

沙发
发表于 2004-12-13 11:21:00 | 只看该作者
这题就是要你解释矛盾啊。前提装了防盗设备的车子被偷的风险小是公认的,所以结果“装防盗设备的车子比没有装的更容易被偷”的事实就形成了矛盾,答案解释这个矛盾就可以了。D正是答案。另外你对D的理解有点偏差,D是说车子容易招小偷且住在丢车时间频繁地区的车主会大多给他们的车装了防盗设备,所以这些车的频繁被偷就形成了“装防盗设备的车子比没有装的更容易被偷”的事实。你不需要对公认的前提怀疑,否则就无所谓paradox了。
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