- UID
- 703448
- 在线时间
- 小时
- 注册时间
- 2011-12-20
- 最后登录
- 1970-1-1
- 主题
- 帖子
- 性别
- 保密
|
Argument 4 题目：
The following was posted on an Internet real estate discussion site.
"Of the two leading real estate firms in our town—Adams Realty and Fitch Realty—Adams Realty is clearly superior. Adams has 40 real estate agents； in contrast， Fitch has 25， many of whom work only part-time. Moreover， Adams' revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch and included home sales that averaged $168，000， compared to Fitch's $144，000. Homes listed with Adams sell faster as well： ten years ago I listed my home with Fitch， and it took more than four months to sell； last year， when I sold another home， I listed it with Adams， and it took only one month. Thus， if you want to sell your home quickly and at a good price， you should use Adams Realty."
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
=======================================================================================
字数 460 时间 30
=======================================================================================
The author of this argument recommends Adams Realty to us to sell house. He provides evidence like the revenue Adams and Fitch made last year as well as a true example happened on the author himself. The argument is seemingly good; however, when the assumptions in the passage are evaluated or taken into account, the reasoning process is tenuous.
In the first place, the author asserts that Adams' revenue last year was twice as high as that of Fitch and the average price Adams provided was $168,000 while Fitch's was $144,000. This evidence is convincing when the assumption that the house conditions were the same in either of the real estate firm. As we can imagine, if most of the houses in Adams were in areas that were expedient for people to commute while most of them in Fitch were in poor traffic condition, the comparison is definitely weird and unconvincing. To make the argument more persuasive, the author has to add some information about the houses' conditions that the two firms sold last year.
In addition, the author also offers an example saying that he sold a house in just one month last year by Adams, but the house he sold by Fitch took four months. The author assumes that the willingness that people want to buy a house stays the same during nine years. Nevertheless, the author fails to provide evidence showing this. It is entirely possible that people are more likely to buy one house these years, but are not that likely ten years ago. If this happens, this argument is weakened a lot in its reasoning process, and the author's recommendation cannot be accepted by us.
Finally, granted that the two assumptions are strengthened by the author and the evidence above can convince us, the author's lack of other comparisons apart from Adams Realty and Fitch Realty make the argument less convincing. Although the author emphasizes that Adams and Fitch are the two leading real estate firms in his town, there is a high probability that other firms say one named Best Realty can sell houses in even higher price than either Adams or Fitch. But the author's qualified comparison of only Adams and Fitch makes it so difficult to persuade us in choosing Adams. Unless the author makes a comprehensive comparison of all the real estate firms in this argument, we shouldn't believe in the author in such an easy way.
To sum up, the argument seems good, however, many flaws can be found in it as a consequence of the tenuous assumptions on which the author bases. And more concrete considerations of some specific conditions have to be mentioned and only in this way can we believe in the author and accept he recommendation. |
|
京公网安备11010202008513号 京ICP证101109号 京ICP备12012021号
发表于 2012-5-23 22:25:30
收藏
收藏
楼主
