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5.13母亲节大阪考,Argument第一篇未限时
题目A36
The following report appeared in the newsletter of theWest Meria Public Health Council.
"An innovative treatment has come to our attentionthat promises to significantly reduce absenteeism in our schools andworkplaces. A study reports that in nearby East Meria,where fish consumption is very high, people visit the doctor only once or twiceper year for the treatment of colds. Clearly, eating a substantial amount offish can prevent colds. Since colds represent the most frequentlygiven reason for absences from school and work, we recommend the daily use of Ichthaid—anutritional supplement derived from fish oil—as a good way to prevent colds andlower absenteeism."
Write a response in which you discuss whatspecific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how theevidence would weaken or strengthen the argument.
求指导 This argument appears to be sound at first glance, but further reflectionreveals that it is far from thoroughly reasonable. While eating a wealth offish might help prevent colds according to the study, the author fails toestablish its causal relationship with absenteeism in schools and workplaces,not to mention the supplement Ichthaid derived from fish oil. As far as I amconcerned, the argument suffers from the following flaws which render it unpersuasiveas it stands.
In the argument, the author claims that colds represent the most frequently given reason forabsences from school and work. Based upon this assumption, theauthor implies that in order to reduce absenteeism, efforts should be made tothe prevention of colds. However, there is no direct evidence to support that colds have any crucial relationship withpeople’s absences even though they constantly give the reason of colds. It ispossible that a number of people might merely take colds as an excuse for their absences.Also, probably they mistake it for colds while actually they suffer from adisease with similar symptoms which may have confused them. Moreover, itis unknown where and how this assumption is concluded. Maybe it comes from a biasedsurvey, where only a small amount of people are selected. Only does the author provide sufficientinformation to demonstrate that absenteeism has significant connections withcolds, can he or she assert that absences would be reduced by preventing colds.
Citing a study in nearby East Meria, the author draws the conclusion that colds can be prevented by eatingplenty of fish. In this study, it is reported that in nearby East Meria where fish consumption is very high, people only get treatedfor colds once or twice every year. But this study has not established a directrelationship between eating more fish and getting fewer colds. We do not knowthat people there rarely visit the doctor for colds because they consumesubstantial amount of fish or it is owing to other reasons. Perhaps people inEast Meria like sports and they are in good health, so they seldom catch colds,rather than because they eat fish in large quantities. Besides, it is possiblethat not everybody would go to see a doctor even when having a cold. It is alsounclear what amount of fish do these people studied eat everyday and whichpercentage of them only need to get treated for colds once or twice every year.Thus, without rendering more understandable evidences ensure that more fishlead to fewer colds, this study cannot sufficiently substantiate that peoplecan prevent colds by eating plenty of fish.
Finally, granted that eating volumes of fishcan prevent colds and improve attendance, yet we cannot conclude that thesupplement Ichthaid would be as effective asfish. Although Ichthaid is derived from fish oil, this argument reveals noproof that Ichthaid would have the same effect as fish on preventing colds, andespecially fish has so diverse compositions that it is indefinite if it is fishoil that can prevent colds. The author would have to provide potent evidencethat this supplement can prevent colds in the same way as fish does.
Overall, this argument lacks sufficientevidence to show that people are absent from school and work actually becausethey catch colds and by eating plenty of fish they can prevent colds, and thenimprove attendance. In addition, an investigation is necessary to demonstratethat the supplement Ichthaid has the same effect as fish on preventing colds. |
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