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标题: 请教og-166 [打印本页]

作者: ellewoods    时间: 2005-3-13 16:39
标题: 请教og-166
Last year the rate of inflation was 1.2 percent, but for the current year it has been 4 percent. We can conclude that inflation is on an upward trend and the rate will be still higher next year.



Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the conclusion above?


(A) The inflation figures were computed on the basis of a representative sample of economic data rather than all of the available data.


(B) Last year a dip in oil prices brought inflation temporarily below its recent stable annual level of 4 percent.


(C) Increases in the pay of some workers are tied to the level of inflation, and at an inflation rate of 4 percent or above, these pay raises constitute a force causing further inflation.


(D) The 1.2 percent rate of inflation last year represented a ten-year low.


(E) Government intervention cannot affect the rate of inflation to any significant degree.




觉得这道题目的提干推论就很奇怪


B我觉得只是解释了下为什么inflation降到1.2


求教


作者: Patrice    时间: 2005-3-13 21:52

题的意思是去年是1.2,今年是4,所以推断INFLATION是一个增长的趋势,以后还会涨,但是如果去年的1.2是因为不能持续的原因,也就是说以后不会发生这种事情,以后也会和去年以前的一样,所以是不会有增加的趋势的,不知道有没有解释清楚


作者: wonderful0928    时间: 2005-3-15 12:00
同感,应该是攻击题干的逻辑本身
作者: zfpal    时间: 2005-6-22 14:12

请注意B选项中temporarily一词


作者: nevia    时间: 2005-6-22 15:32
Patrice  mm讲得很明白!赞一个!
[此贴子已经被作者于2005-6-22 15:32:53编辑过]

作者: 思谦    时间: 2005-7-28 11:45

B中的temporarily below its recent stable annual level of 4 percent能帮忙翻译一下吗?这里是否有反常的低的意思呢?如果是的话,岂不是strengthen

Choice D by itself has no clearly defined consequences one way or the other with respect to the conclusion.这句话中one way or the other是否表示D中虽可以说去年的1.2时十年最低,但今年的4%仍有两种可能,即inflation可能是升也可能是降。
作者: 思谦    时间: 2005-7-29 20:56
等了一天了,回答一下,谢谢!
作者: 晶莹水滴    时间: 2005-7-29 22:30
以下是引用思谦在2005-7-28 11:45:00的发言:

B中的temporarily below its recent stable annual level of 4 percent能帮忙翻译一下吗?这里是否有反常的低的意思呢?如果是的话,岂不是strengthen


Choice D by itself has no clearly defined consequences one way or the other with respect to the conclusion.这句话中one way or the other是否表示D中虽可以说去年的1.2时十年最低,但今年的4%仍有两种可能,即inflation可能是升也可能是降。


B的那句话是:暂时低于近来一直稳定的年水平4%。有反常的意思,但是recent stable annual level表明inflation的水平一直比较稳定,暗含除了反常的去年,以后会恢复正常的意思。不是加强。

我同意你对ChoiceD那句话的理解。


作者: 思谦    时间: 2005-7-30 23:08
明白了,谢谢晶莹水滴!
作者: sammaijgd    时间: 2005-8-11 16:02
选项B攻击证据本身的代表性,说明从这个数据推不出任何有效结论
作者: wanjing119    时间: 2006-10-4 23:43

好像D也有少许的削弱,是不是它的程度不如B强所以选B???


作者: KATIEUS    时间: 2006-11-17 21:42

好像D也有少许的削弱,是不是它的程度不如B强所以选B???

不是,是没建立与结论的关系!

属于无关!


作者: KATIEUS    时间: 2006-11-17 21:42

这里的讨论很精彩,

UP!


作者: xinling917    时间: 2009-9-2 16:36

哇!你对D的理解好受用!!!!


作者: feifeizoe    时间: 2009-9-2 18:09

Last year the rate of inflation was 1.2 percent, but for the current year it has been 4 percent. We can conclude that inflation is on an upward trend and the rate will be still higher next year.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the conclusion above?

这里用去年和今年的通胀率来预测明天的通胀率。

如果要削弱:就是要说明去年和今年的无代表性,无法预测明天的通胀。

(A) The inflation figures were computed on the basis of a representative sample of economic data rather than all of the available data. ->有代表性的选项,是支持结论的。

(B) Last year a dip in oil prices brought inflation temporarily below its recent stable annual level of 4 percent. ->说明去年的数据没有代表性

(C) Increases in the pay of some workers are tied to the level of inflation, and at an inflation rate of 4 percent or above, these pay raises constitute a force causing further inflation. ->工资是完全无关选项。

(D) The 1.2 percent rate of inflation last year represented a ten-year low. ->十年低位,无法说明任何问题。可能有代表,可能无代表

(E) Government intervention cannot affect the rate of inflation to any significant degree. ->政府是否介入在文中没有说过,完全无关选项。






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