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标题: 我又来了~PREP07 CR 36 outsourcing题求讨论~ [打印本页]

作者: dreamscream 时间: 2014-7-23 10:56
标题: 我又来了~PREP07 CR 36 outsourcing题求讨论~

36. (32124-!-item-!-188;#058&006025)

Outsourcing is the practice of obtaining from an independent supplier a product or service that a company has previously provided for itself. Vernon, Inc., a small manufacturing company that has in recent years experienced a decline in its profits, plans to boost its profits by outsourcing those parts of its business that independent suppliers can provide at lower cost than Vernon can itself.

Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that Vernon's plan will achieve its goal?

(A) Among the parts of its business that Vernon does not plan to outsource are some that require standards of accuracy too high for most independent suppliers to provide at lower cost than Vernon can.

(B) Vernon itself acts as an independent supplier of specialized hardware items to certain manufacturers that formerly made those items themselves.

(C) Relatively few manufacturers that start as independent suppliers have been able to expand their business and become direct competitors of the companies they once supplied.

(D) Vernon plans to select the independent suppliers it will use on the basis of submitted bids.

(E) Attending to certain tasks that Vernon performs relatively inefficiently has taken up much of the time and effort of top managers whose time would have been better spent attending to Vernon's core business.

正确答案是E，想和大家讨论下C选项~我是这么想的
文章说plan的目的是boost its profit，所以选项要能support plan达成它的目的，即profit增加。
这个文章的reasoning是，公司通过outsourcing 降低了cost，所以就能增加profit，这里有一个附加前提就是公司revenue没有降低。（profit=revenue-cost）如果revenue降低的话，即使cost降低，文章也得不出profit一定降低的结论的~
而C选项，恰巧就是support了附加前提啊~不会和他竞争，说明不会影响公司revenue（试想如果多了一个competitor的话，公司revenue势必降低的）。
求讨论~

作者: 吃饭睡觉打豆豆 时间: 2014-7-23 18:50
小菜豆来试着讨论下，
楼主所述的（试想如果多了一个competitor的话，公司revenue势必降低的）是楼主做这个论断所需要的假设，因此是否楼主的论断正确还取决于这个假设是否成立。换句话说C这里是一个不置可否的选项。因为多了一个gap没有close
而E选项，明确说了这么做的好处，试想你是CEO如果C和E两个理由摆在你面前你觉得那个能说服你支持outsourcing呢？

作者: dreamscream 时间: 2014-7-23 19:04

吃饭睡觉打豆豆发表于 2014-7-23 18:50
小菜豆来试着讨论下，
楼主所述的（试想如果多了一个competitor的话，公司revenue势必降低的）是楼主做这个 ...

所以说到底，C这个选项support的推理gap还是有点大是么~~~

不过我觉得C这个选项支持附加前提支持的特别好啊，就是profit是由revenue和cost一起决定的，你如果想说cost降低profit就降低的话，一定是在revenue增加或者不变的附加情况下的~~所以我觉得C这个思路超级对啊~~~E不知道它支持了什么附加前提呢~~

作者: 吃饭睡觉打豆豆 时间: 2014-7-23 19:32

dreamscream 发表于 2014-7-23 19:04
所以说到底，C这个选项support的推理gap还是有点大是么~~~

不过我觉得C这个选项支持附加前提支持的特别 ...

个人理解support不是证明题，只要能让结论多那么一丁点可行的可能性就行。
C选项的逻辑链是: outsourcing 不会引起竞争，so what？这里我们要向继续推理下去就是必须建立一个桥梁，竞争会导致销售额下降，然后才是得出销售额不受影响。而这里这个桥梁完全是脑补的。
E选项的逻辑链是：有些工作低效-->本来应该投向核心业务的经历被这些工作占据，
那么去除了这些低效工作--> 工作重心转移到核心业务-->至少能增加一点outsourcing能增加利润的可能性。
我是这么想的。。。这题太恶心了……我编不下去了

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