Pro-Tect Insurance Company has recently been paying out more on car-theft claims than it expected. Cars with special antitheft devices or alarm systems are much less likely to be stolen than are other cars. Consequently Pro-Tect, as part of an effort to reduce its annual payouts, will offer a discount to holders of car-theft policies if their cars have antitheft devices or alarm systems.
which of the following, if true, probides the strongest indication that the plan is likely to achieve its goal?
A: The decrease in the risk of car theft conferred by having a car alarm is greatest when only a few cars have such alarms.
B: The number of policyholders who have filed a claim in the past year is higher for Pro-Tect than for other insurance companies.
C: In one or two years, the discount that Pro-Tect is offering will amount to more than the cost of buying certain highly effective antitheft devices.
D: Currently, Pro-Tect cannot legally raise the premiums it charges for a given amount of insurance against car theft.
E: The amount Pro-Tect has been paying out on car-theft claims has been greater for some models of car than for others.
答案是C, 我选了A。。。。看后面的解释发现我所理解的A和解释说的A完全相反!!。。。我现在已经看不懂A在讲什么了。。。我选的时候以为:当一些车有这种警报器的情况下,有警报的车被偷的风险的减少是最大的。。。难道不是说警报器减少了车辆被偷么。。。为什么A的官方解释是说:If having more cars equipped with car alarms reduces those alarms' effectivity in preventing thefts....
PS:CD的搜索功能彻底不能用了是么?~~~~(>_<)~~~~ 作者: 宝爱一 时间: 2013-4-1 21:11
upupupupupupupup作者: lacedaemonian 时间: 2013-4-2 17:50
你对答案A的理解是没有问题的:当仅有一些车有警报器的时候,车因为有警报器而被偷的风险减少的最大。这个答案是个明显的干扰项,说的很饶舌。但是这个选项很容易排除,因为它说的问题,和本题的逻辑根本不相干。作者: jannis 时间: 2017-2-12 21:40
想象一个开口向下的二次函数.横轴是装备报警器车的数量,纵轴是decrease in the risk.
这样的车越多,decrease in the risk就越小,那么这个公司的计划就越无用