ChaseDream

标题: 个人关于云和气候变化预测的答案及解释，大家讨论下~ [打印本页]

作者: ran2010zx 时间: 2012-10-19 21:04
标题: 个人关于云和气候变化预测的答案及解释，大家讨论下~
云和气候变化预测
As of the late 1980’s, neither theorists nor large-scale computer climatemodels could
accurately predict whether cloud systems would help or hurt a warming globe.Some studies
suggested that a four percent increase in stratocumulus clouds over the oceancould
compensate for a doubling in atmospheric carbon dioxide, preventing apotentially disastrous
planetwide temperature increase. On the other hand, an increase in cirrusclouds could
increase global warming.
That clouds represented the weakest element in climate models was illustratedby a study
of fourteen such models. Comparing climate forecasts for a world with doublethe current
amount of carbon dioxide, researchers found that the models agreed quite wellif clouds were
not included. But when clouds were incorporated, a wide range of forecasts wasproduced.
With such discrepancies plaguing the models, scientists could not easily predicthow quickly the
world’s climate would change, nor could they tell which regions would facedustier droughts or
deadlier monsoons.
15.1. The author of the passage is primarily concerned with
(A) confirming a theory
(B) supporting a statement
(C) presenting new information
(D) predicting future discoveries
(E) reconciling discrepant findings
个人认为是C。。。A的话作者木有confirm，B的话作者没有表态支持下面的理论。仅仅是单独介绍。C的话挺靠谱。D的话木有predict，E的话木有reconcile。。。
15.2. It can be inferred that one reason thefourteen models described in the passage failed to
agree was that
(A) they failed to incorporate the most up-to-date information about the effectof clouds on
climate
(B) they were based on faulty information about factors other than clouds thataffect climate
(C) they were based on different assumptions about the overall effects ofclouds on climate
(D) their originators disagreed about the kinds of forecasts the models shouldprovide
(E) their originators disagreed about the factors other than clouds that shouldbe included in
the models
个人认为是C。其中一个是看clouds的不同种类有不同作用，另一个是关于引入clouds以后无法预测。一个的假设中有clouds一个木有。A的话木有说最新的；B的话木有说哪个faulty; D的话第一个木有给一个model；E的话说除了clouds意外。。。但第二哥model就是考虑到引入clouds。

15.3. It can be inferred that the primary purpose of the models included in thestudy discussed
in the second paragraph of the passage was to
(A) predict future changes in the world’s climate
(B) predict the effects of cloud systems on the world’s climate
(C) find a way to prevent a disastrous planetwide temperature increase
(D) assess the percentage of the Earth’s surface covered by cloud systems
(E) estimate by how much the amount of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmospherewill increase
个人认为是A；B偏离主题。C中disastrous的东西根本不是文中重点。D中好像percentige无所谓吧。。。反正引入了就打乱了。。。E中更不沾边
15.4. The information in the passage suggests that scientists would have toanswer which of
the following questions in order to predict the effect of clouds on the warmingof the globe?
(A) What kinds of cloud systems will form over the Earth?
(B) How can cloud systems be encouraged to form over the ocean?
(C) What are the causes of the projected planetwide temperature increase?
(D) What proportion of cloud systems are currently composed of cirrus ofclouds?
(E) What proportion of the clouds in the atmosphere form over land masses?
排除法：A不沾边吧好像。。。种类clouds跟第一个有关，但是就算answer了不知道量也没提多少量引起多少变化所以给了也没用。Bocean直接排除。。。C就算知道了。。。跟clouds关系不大。Cirrus的比例知道了好像也无关。。。E中的话，知道了cloudsdebilitating好歹可以知道在14model中引入的clouds的比例是多少。。。稍微沾点边。。。

纯属个人意见，欢迎拍砖，其实就是看没答案，希望大家能讨论出个标答！

预祝大家杀G成功！

作者: 金dua 时间: 2012-10-20 02:30
看了一位大神发的答案，第一题选b是因为第一段作者提出两个关于有clouds的对立观点，第二段他支持的是clouds有和没有的情况，等于是另一个statement。第四题是第二段最后一句是他支持的这个观点后续没完成的事，也就是有和没有clouds的影响。

作者: ylyava 时间: 2012-10-23 14:48
以前在新东方上课第一题的答案老师给的也是B

作者: 麻倉枼 时间: 2012-10-25 01:04
第一题我觉得是B,可是它有两个对立观点,然后第二段用科学家的finding来加以正式..

C我觉得是不对的,因为里面压根就没有new information.第二段是用来解释第一段的TS的..

当初有想过答案是E,可是好像又没有reconcile的感脚..

作者: deepwhiter 时间: 2012-11-6 12:43
第四题答案到底是哪个呢？

作者: deepwhiter 时间: 2012-11-6 12:44

看了一位大神发的答案，第一题选b是因为第一段作者提出两个关于有clouds的对立观点，第二段他支持的是clouds有和没有的情况，等于是另一个statement。第四题是第二段最后一句是他支持的这个观点后续没完成的事，也就是有和没有clouds的影响。

-- by 会员金dua (2012/10/20 2:30:04)

第四题答案到底是哪个呢？

作者: taocy5 时间: 2012-12-5 15:24
正确答案是BCAA，虽然不是很理解文章

作者: zkh1991 时间: 2012-12-5 17:10
我属于自以为看懂了结果四题全错的
最后一题
第一段说了两种cloud 效果不同
除非能知道每种cloud占的比例要不然就不能预测总体的效果

作者: changfulee 时间: 2013-3-29 16:09

zkh1991 发表于 2012-12-5 17:10
我属于自以为看懂了结果四题全错的最后一题第一段说了两种cloud 效果不同除非能知道每种cloud占的比例 &n ...

自以为看懂了，对了一个，伤不起

作者: 红衫骁将 时间: 2013-7-2 19:31
省察克治慎独自律+大学之道在明明德

作者: peculiar615 时间: 2014-8-19 19:42
顶一个~~~~~

作者: DalinDalin 时间: 2018-3-28 17:11
我觉得哈
第一题可以把第一句话理解成作者的statement，那这样的话，全文都是证明第一句话这个statement。
第四题还是很茫然啊：我在AD选项中排除掉D有两个原因——第一，D选项说what percentage of clouds are composed of cirrus clouds，所有的clouds中并不只是有cirrus和stratu这两种文中提到过的clouds，还有很多杂七杂八各种各样的clouds，换句话说，哪怕我知道20%是cirrus clouds，也不代表80%就一定是stratu clouds——所以不能只根据percentages of cirrus来判断；第二个原因——D选项中提到的currently也感觉怪怪的。

欢迎光临 ChaseDream (https://forum.chasedream.com/)