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标题: GWD-7-37 [打印本页]

作者: Qiongwang01 时间: 2004-7-27 13:42
标题: GWD-7-37

Escalating worldwide demand for corn has led to a sharp increase in the market price of corn, and corn prices are likely to remain high. Corn is extensive used as feed for livestock, and because profit margins are tight in the livestock business, many farmers are expected to leave the business. With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise. Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.

Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?

The increase in corn prices is due more to a decline in the supply of corn than to a growth in demand for it.

Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.

Some people who ate meat regularly in the past are converting to diets that include little or no meat.

As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.

Livestock producers who stay in the business will start using feed other than corn more extensively than they did in the past.

Why the answer is B, not D?

Magazine Publisher: Our magazine does not have a liberal bias. It is true that when a book review we had commissioned last year turned out to express distinctly conservative views, we did not publish it until we had also obtained a second review that took a strongly liberal position. Clearly, however, our actions demonstrate not a bias in favor of liberal views but rather a commitment to a balanced presentation of diverse opinions.

Determining which of the following would be most useful in evaluating the cogency of the magazine publisher’s response?

Whether any other magazines in which the book was reviewed carried more than one review of the book

Whether the magazine publishes unsolicited book reviews as well as those that it has commissioned

Whether in the event that a first review commissioned by the magazine takes a clearly liberal position the magazine would make any efforts to obtain further reviews

Whether the book that was the subject of the two reviews was itself written from a clearly conservative or a clearly liberal point of view

Whether most of the readers of the magazine regularly read the book reviews that the magazine publishes

Why the answer is C. I cann't understand the meaning of the passage?

作者: lawyer_1 时间: 2004-7-28 01:18

1。D错的原因：producers增加不见得livestock的供给增加而导致价格减低

B对的原因：那些被挤出生意的农民，为结束生意，通常没等livestock长到一定程度就卖掉（因为他们状况一样，被挤出市场时间差不多），从而导致市场短期供应过多而价格短期下降。

2。观点：我们的杂志没有倾向自由派，是中立的。理由：去年我们委托的书评持保守派观点，我们没立即出版，而是等到持自由派观点的书评出来才一起出版。问题：评估原文ARGUMENT。原文理由中明显看出杂志倾向自由派，如果相反，持自由派观点的书评先出来，而杂志没先出版，而等持保守派观点的书评出来才一起出版，才能证明杂志没有倾向自由派。即C

作者: Qiongwang01 时间: 2004-7-28 06:44

Why if the producers increase, the livestock won't increase, thus decrease the price. I think the price decrease will happen not immediately in short-term, but happen after a period of time. Is this the reason why D is wrong?

作者: lawyer_1 时间: 2004-7-28 07:27
You think too much. We donnot know whether the price will decrease, let alone it happen at once or after a period of time.

作者: 小鱼儿 时间: 2004-8-19 00:01
请问Q37不选C的原因是不是不能说明short-term decrease 啊？

作者: valarie 时间: 2004-9-20 09:56

以下是引用小鱼儿在2004-8-19 0:01:00的发言：
请问Q37不选C的原因是不是不能说明short-term decrease 啊？

Yeah, I think so.

作者: starfishz 时间: 2004-10-1 13:36

我也認為是如此 , 因為c 不保證這些市場新進者的影響是暫時性的

作者: plaster 时间: 2004-10-18 13:07
不好意思,请NN帮忙,这道题说了半天到底和corn有什么关系?

作者: sereny 时间: 2004-10-19 01:56

我认为这里解题与corn没什么关系

corn价格上涨---->肉商利润下降---->部分肉商退出---->肉供应减少，肉价上涨

However, 观察家说肉短期内会降价，问支持

B解释了短期内肉供应为什么会增加（故肉价下降）

作者: billgong 时间: 2005-1-17 14:48
我觉得Qiongwang01说得没错。D可能会导致long term的猪肉价格下跌（但不保证），但绝不会导致 "immediate short-term decrease".

作者: Dennies 时间: 2005-4-14 00:33

开始时我也是选择的D，为了让大家理解的更清，避免走不必要的弯路，我说说我的理解

as the prices rise此时已完全与IMMEDIATE SHORT-TERM 违被了哦

作者: ethyl 时间: 2005-5-23 21:14

as the prices rise此时已完全与IMMEDIATE SHORT-TERM 违被了哦

嗯，nod

A：玉米涨价的原因，无关

B：有点不容易理解，但的确如此

C：some people是多少，太空泛了

D：As meat prices rise，这个rise怎么解释呢？按照D的意思，肉价还是先上涨啦，文中说短期内会下降的哦

E：无关

作者: seekmydream 时间: 2005-6-13 12:51
GWD-7-37

Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?

The increase in corn prices is due more to a decline in the supply of corn than to a growth in demand for it.
Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.
Some people who ate meat regularly in the past are converting to diets that include little or no meat.
As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.
Livestock producers who stay in the business will start using feed other than corn more extensively than they did in the past

其实这题也可以看作是解释题,供应商少了,本来预期肉价会上涨, 却有观察家认为在短期内会下跌,原因?所以该支持题的答案是对 "供应商少了-->肉价在短期内会下跌" 这一推理关系提供一解释.

A. corn price 上涨的原因 --- 无关

B. 为了避免更多的损失, 农户早早就把牲畜卖了, 不干了, 大家一哄而上, 短期内肉家就降了很多.

--- 正好解释清楚了.

C.平常都吃肉的现在肉贵了都改吃素了, 肉价当然得降下来啦!可这不是短期的呀, 很有可能是长期都降下来了. 原文的意思是短期下来了,没说长期如此呀! ---为易混淆选项, 千万不要上当啊!!

D.肉价涨了, 利益所驱, 大家又改回原专业,结果肉价又跌了. 资本主义危机的规律, 没准几年又一来回. --- 又一易混淆选项, 好不容易过了C关,可不要又上D当啊, 这是immediate short-term的么?

E. 玉米不是贵么, 我喂其它粮食行不?当然可以. 所以肉价也不高了.E又没说让农户接着改喂贵玉米,让肉价又赶紧往回涨, 造成immediate short-term decrease 的局面. --- 这回看清楚ets的阴谋了吧!连来仨trap, 看你往不往里钻, 嘿嘿, 我不信逮不着你们!!!!

作者: Dinaxie 时间: 2005-8-2 23:37

注意题目自始至终都没谈到meat price rise,只是说meat prices will surely rise。

D选项的条件就错：As （if） meat prices rise ，应该排除的。

作者: michellechang 时间: 2005-8-20 01:07

一语惊醒梦中人

作者: rosebudxiaojie 时间: 2005-9-7 20:46

ETS越来越阴险了，看来连结论中的一个immediate这样的单词都不能漏看呀

作者: dreamerps 时间: 2005-10-6 16:01

With fewer suppliers, meat prices will surely rise. Nonetheless, observers expect an immediate short-term decrease in meat prices.

而且B选项所说的就是对nonetheless前面的取非，文章说供给减少，肉的价格上涨，来一个转折,nonetheless，肉价短期内会很快下降，B正好说个反的，就事论事，解释原因，短期供给会上升所以价格下降

作者: zuzululu 时间: 2005-10-21 22:20

lawyer 解释得好.顶

作者: amber0919 时间: 2006-5-12 17:52
大坑一着接着又一个．

作者: handsong 时间: 2006-6-9 23:59

埃，这考试跟练武一样，听过单田芳的《三侠五义》你就知道有好几种坑：脏坑，净坑，梅花坑。。。

作者: litperi 时间: 2006-7-11 20:43

唉我就中了E的招其实我也觉得E不是immediate，只是我完全没有理解B的意思所以搞错了

作者: roric 时间: 2006-9-9 20:02

以下是引用小鱼儿在2004-8-19 0:01:00的发言：
请问Q37不选C的原因是不是不能说明short-term decrease 啊？

要看得很仔细才行，又掉陷阱里了

作者: ana9 时间: 2006-11-30 12:58
I think the key word is "short-term"

作者: fighteding 时间: 2006-12-25 18:06
我觉得e没说不用corn用什么当饲料，要是用一个比corn更贵的，那不是能造成更大的价格上升吗？

作者: superchao 时间: 2007-1-19 20:06

作者: 罗马青年 时间: 2007-5-31 02:42
好题，接连几个陷阱自己都牺牲了，但解决了自己的很多CR问题！

作者: нандин 时间: 2007-8-19 18:40

这道题刚开始觉得好简单号简单第二次看的时候忽然觉得E 好像有道理。后来看到大家对E的解释，惊出一身冷汗，真的是圈套啊！~

作者: tangzimo 时间: 2007-10-20 17:09

还是看lawyer说得明白啊

但是也不全面……：）

作者: nemojia 时间: 2007-10-27 11:49
XY答案好象是E呢```是错了吗

作者: shirley8707 时间: 2008-5-10 01:00
lawyer 解释得好.og11上有说过的，注意时短期的效果。

作者: monprince 时间: 2008-5-10 16:49

选项必须直接推出结论，GMAT更阴险的一点在于，往往直接推出结论的选项写的很绕比较难懂，但干扰项，例如此题的D很清晰，如果没看懂B很容易错选D。

作者: sfan201 时间: 2008-8-15 12:10

请问Q37不选C的原因是不是不能说明short-term decrease 啊？

我怎么觉得不选C的真正原因是some呢？只说了一部分人，它是不是并不能对猪肉价格产生多大影响啊？

作者: Netherlander 时间: 2008-9-26 20:26

以下是引用lawyer_1在2004-7-28 1:18:00的发言：

1。D错的原因：producers增加不见得livestock的供给增加而导致价格减低

B对的原因：那些被挤出生意的农民，为结束生意，通常没等livestock长到一定程度就卖掉（因为他们状况一样，被挤出市场时间差不多），从而导致市场短期供应过多而价格短期下降。

谢谢本题于这句话没关系

作者: nerakuhs 时间: 2009-1-14 23:26

以下是引用lawyer_1在2004-7-28 1:18:00的发言：

1。D错的原因：producers增加不见得livestock的供给增加而导致价格减低

为啥lawyer思路总是这么清晰

[此贴子已经被作者于2009-1-14 23:26:12编辑过]

作者: 苹果古 时间: 2009-7-15 21:25

图片点击可在新窗口打开查看 "为啥lawyer思路总是这么清晰 "

因为他叫LAWYER...职业呗，哈哈

作者: kongkong57 时间: 2009-7-17 10:00
TONGWEN

作者: jomn111 时间: 2009-7-21 20:15

现在做逻辑都看完题目先不看选项，自己推测一下在哪种情况下会起到这个作用：

这道题，看完题目：做这个生意的人要减少了，但却推测短期内价格增加，答案不是需求减少就是物品数量短期内的迅速提高，由于是短期内，A,D,E直接排除

B说的恰好是短期内物品数量的增加 C说的是部分人对于需求的减少，也没说短期或者长期，而且说不定这部分不吃肉了，那部分原来不吃肉的开始吃肉了

相比之下，B跟紧密

其实我觉得D错的非常明显啊，抛开短期不说，现有一种论调认为肉价格会飙升，然而，专家认为短期内会（先）下降， D直接支持了那种论调（As meat prices rise），怎么会对呢

[此贴子已经被作者于2009/7/21 20:16:12编辑过]

作者: dreamlu 时间: 2009-7-27 13:47
UP

作者: 苹果夹心派 时间: 2009-7-31 18:32

作者: 小月公主 时间: 2009-8-4 21:30
is likely to 不代表有没有rise

作者: 蔬菜小丸子 时间: 2009-9-6 17:01
D还是个可能...就算是必然也不如B 引起immediate short-term！

作者: winnemashi 时间: 2009-12-29 15:31

GWD-7-37

[font=Times New Roman" size=3>Which of the following, if true, most helps to justify the observers’ expectation?
<FONT face="Times New Roman">

[*">Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.[*">Generally, farmers who are squeezed out of the livestock business send their livestock to market much earlier than they otherwise would.
[*">As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.[*">As meat prices rise, the number of livestock producers is likely to rise again.
[/list">
其实这题也可以看作是解释题,供应商少了,本来预期肉价会上涨, 却有观察家认为在短期内会下跌,原因?所以该支持题的答案是对 "供应商少了-->肉价在短期内会下跌" 这一推理关系提供一解释.[/list">
其实这题也可以看作是解释题,供应商少了,本来预期肉价会上涨, 却有观察家认为在短期内会下跌,原因?所以该支持题的答案是对 "供应商少了-->肉价在短期内会下跌" 这一推理关系提供一解释.
A. corn price 上涨的原因 --- 无关
B. 为了避免更多的损失, 农户早早就把牲畜卖了, 不干了, 大家一哄而上, 短期内肉家就降了很多.
--- 正好解释清楚了.
C.平常都吃肉的现在肉贵了都改吃素了, 肉价当然得降下来啦!可这不是短期的呀, 很有可能是长期都降下来了. 原文的意思是短期下来了,没说长期如此呀! ---为易混淆选项, 千万不要上当啊!!
D.肉价涨了, 利益所驱, 大家又改回原专业,结果肉价又跌了. 资本主义危机的规律, 没准几年又一来回. --- 又一易混淆选项, 好不容易过了C关,可不要又上D当啊, 这是immediate short-term的么?
E. 玉米不是贵么, 我喂其它粮食行不?当然可以. 所以肉价也不高了.E又没说让农户接着改喂贵玉米,让肉价又赶紧往回涨, 造成immediate short-term decrease 的局面. --- 这回看清楚ets的阴谋了吧!连来仨trap, 看你往不往里钻, 嘿嘿, 我不信逮不着你们!!!!
-- by 会员 seekmydream (2005/6/13 12:51:00)

E到底啥意思？

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