ChaseDream

标题: GWD-1-13请教 [打印本页]

作者: 无心    时间: 2004-7-2 10:17
标题: GWD-1-13请教

Q13:


In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years.  Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.






Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?






  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.

  2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.

  3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.

  4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.

  5. The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.

答案是E。请NN解释。



作者: juniya    时间: 2004-7-2 11:16
帮你顶一下,我觉得答案是A啊
作者: wanze    时间: 2004-7-2 11:27
i choose D
作者: lindading    时间: 2004-7-4 10:54
I think c is right
作者: ReedSong    时间: 2004-7-5 16:15

答案应该是D。

虽然退休以后从一个州到另一个州生活的人当中,到Florida的人的比例下降,但如果象D所说的那样,总人数上升,那么到Florida的实际人数也不一定下降。


作者: rings    时间: 2004-10-6 15:49

A怎么不对?FL吸引更多人不也就削弱吗?

大家看看啊,快考了。。。


作者: sea-level    时间: 2004-10-6 20:32

i prefer D.

percentage decreased-->many businesses cater to retirees-->negative effect on these businesses.

hidden assumption:percentage decreased = the number decreased.

weaken:the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]


作者: rings    时间: 2004-10-6 20:58
但是A怎么不对??
作者: sea-level    时间: 2004-10-6 21:07

A is not right because the comparison surmount the confines.

we should compare the number in Florida, not Florida compared with other states.


作者: sea-level    时间: 2004-10-6 21:11

我老了,所以变难看了。

NO,你比任何人都好看,所以你没有老。


作者: sea-level    时间: 2004-10-6 21:22
再讨论。
作者: buddyk    时间: 2004-10-10 23:38
sea的意思就是说A无关是吧。
作者: robertchu    时间: 2004-10-11 02:45

Agree on D.

A is not relevant.


作者: bose0008    时间: 2004-10-20 21:13
  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.

even though Florida attracts MORE people than does any other state, if the total number of moving retiree decreases siginificantly, according to this 3% decrease, the retirees moving to florida might still decrease(not weaken the argument), not increase!

3% decrease = retiree to florida / all retiree to another state in the country   


作者: asicschu    时间: 2004-11-1 16:00
所以答案應該是D沒錯囉??
作者: hankunlun    时间: 2004-11-11 16:46

d is more reasonable.


作者: sunday_zhou    时间: 2004-11-11 20:49

应该是D啊, 是比较常见的通过percentage混淆事实的题.

突然想起另外一道题,大意是什么什么survey显示喜欢住楼房的人占45%,喜欢住平房的人占20%,剩下的是喜欢住别墅的人35%,所以喜欢住楼房的人是最多的. 其实是不喜欢住楼房的人比喜欢住楼房的人要多(有55%),应该是推不出这个结论的. 和这题具体不相似,但想给大家提个醒:percentage不可轻信啊


作者: beautywawa    时间: 2004-11-18 11:40
恩,,以上的NN說的有道理,,同意D
作者: 音乐咖啡猫    时间: 2004-12-12 14:53
以下是引用sea-level在2004-10-6 20:32:00的发言:

i prefer D.


percentage decreased-->many businesses cater to retirees-->negative effect on these businesses.


hidden assumption:percentage decreased = the number decreased.


weaken:the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]



请教一下,这里不是很明白“Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees",在文章中是什么意思?
作者: msfox    时间: 2004-12-13 17:30
“Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees": 很多Florida当地的商业设施是针对退休人员提供服务的。
作者: 妞妞的牛牛    时间: 2005-3-28 19:25
以下是引用sunday_zhou在2004-11-11 20:49:00的发言:

应该是D啊, 是比较常见的通过percentage混淆事实的题.


突然想起另外一道题,大意是什么什么survey显示喜欢住楼房的人占45%,喜欢住平房的人占20%,剩下的是喜欢住别墅的人35%,所以喜欢住楼房的人是最多的. 其实是不喜欢住楼房的人比喜欢住楼房的人要多(有55%),应该是推不出这个结论的. 和这题具体不相似,但想给大家提个醒:percentage不可轻信啊


同意,是相对数字与绝对数字的混淆问题。

我一开始没看清,糊里糊涂选了A,后来看看A是无关选项。

因为,即使florida比其他州吸引了更多退休者也不能掩盖decrease 3%这个事实,所以也无法削弱结论


作者: oookk    时间: 2005-4-17 12:26
以下是引用bose0008在2004-10-20 21:13:00的发言:


  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.

even though Florida attracts MORE people than does any other state, if the total number of moving retiree decreases siginificantly, according to this 3% decrease, the retirees moving to florida might still decrease(not weaken the argument), not increase!



3% decrease = retiree to florida / all retiree to another state in the country   


BUT IN D,虽然说总的retired人数多了,但是并不一定去florida啊,对不对,所以D是正确答案也有点说不过去呀,这样是不是C更好,我只要说FLORIDA吸引的不是retiree,是tourist也可以啊。不明白 不明白///


作者: oookk    时间: 2005-4-18 22:06
ding
作者: windflower560    时间: 2005-4-21 09:26

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years.  Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.
  2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.
  3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.
  4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.
  5. The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.

原文说:退休后去F的人占的比例下降3%---退休去F的总人数/退休总人数  下降

存在两种可能:要么 分子减少,要么分亩增加

D:退休后去其他州的总人数增加 提出另一种解释,导致比例下降 他因解释

这么想不知道对么


作者: windflower560    时间: 2005-4-21 09:34
以下是引用sea-level在2004-10-6 20:32:00的发言:

i prefer D.

percentage decreased-->many businesses cater to retirees-->negative effect on these businesses.

hidden assumption:percentage decreased = the number decreased.

weaken:the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]

我觉得这么想不对,.翻译上面的式子,把文章说的具体带入 就是:退休后去其他州的总人数=退休总数*退休后来到F州的人数,在这里不应用这个等式


作者: windflower560    时间: 2005-4-21 09:36

:the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]

翻译上面的式子,把文章说的具体带入

就是:退休后去其他州的总人数=退休总数*退休后来到F州的人数占总退休人数的比例,在这里不应用这个等式


作者: windflower560    时间: 2005-4-21 09:40

the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]

翻译上面的式子,把文章说的具体带入

就是:退休后去其他州的总人数=退休总数*退休后来到F州的人数占总退休人数的比例

得出 去其他州总人数 =去F州的

我这么理解对么?


作者: huamei    时间: 2005-5-2 09:39
以下是引用windflower560在2005-4-21 9:34:00的发言:

我觉得这么想不对,.翻译上面的式子,把文章说的具体带入 就是:退休后去其他州的总人数=退休总数*退休后来到F州的人数,在这里不应用这个等式


你的翻译不正确.人家的number指的是退休后去Fl的总人数.不是去其他州的


作者: 华籍美人    时间: 2005-5-20 11:02

D.去F州的retirees所占百分比下降,但retirees总人数增加了,所以去F州的人数还是有可能增加


而其他答案:


A, 明显是focus对象偏离了,原文是说retired people,而这里是说people;


B, accept employment与原文的retirees没有关系


C,business to tourists与business to retirees不是一个概念,原文的结论是针对business cater to retirees的


E. 说离开F州的退休人员多了,一定程度是support了原文的题目



[此贴子已经被作者于2005-5-21 14:39:31编辑过]

作者: suikyfly    时间: 2005-5-28 14:30

But I don't think D is a correct choice. Even though the total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly, it is still possible that the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased.


作者: channing76    时间: 2005-6-16 21:41
以下是引用sea-level在2004-10-6 20:32:00的发言:

i prefer D.


percentage decreased-->many businesses cater to retirees-->negative effect on these businesses.


hidden assumption:percentage decreased = the number decreased.


weaken:the number=total * percentage,[ total increased, percentage decreased-> the number not decreased]


高,实在是高!~~


作者: drift_er    时间: 2005-8-1 14:54

退休后去F比例减少了3%(相对于退休后去其他州的人),D说退休后去其他州的人数显著上升,意味着退休后去其他州的人数与去F比例之积有可能大于十年前。


作者: coffemug    时间: 2005-8-10 11:07
这 道 题 挺 搞 , 第 一 遍 没 看 出 答 案 。 total number 和 percentage 是 ETS  经 常 出 的 考 点 。 要 提 高 警 惕 !



作者: wzparete    时间: 2005-8-18 00:06
请问C为什么不对?哪位解答一下?
作者: 丑得老婆哭    时间: 2005-9-3 11:34
以下是引用wzparete在2005-8-18 0:06:00的发言:
请问C为什么不对?哪位解答一下?


请看这道题的结论部分:Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.


所以,A 和C都是无关比较。A:比其他州更吸引人不能说明F的这些商业比以前没有下降。C:同理,旅游业再好,也不能说明对这些商业有影响。


作者: zuzululu    时间: 2005-10-16 16:27
我一开始也选的a.看了 sea-level的解释.觉得确实应该是d.我们应该比较这个州自身的情况.not compare with other states
作者: edwinlv666    时间: 2005-10-20 16:21

作者: edwinlv666    时间: 2005-10-20 16:21

作者: laihong    时间: 2005-10-23 21:56
c说喜欢旅游的公司比退休的多.这不能削弱喜欢退休的公司会由于人口的原因而受损.
作者: huhai    时间: 2005-10-24 01:36
D是说总人数多了,尽管比列下降了,还是有可能没有少生意做。就使说,蛋糕大了,分的比列小了,还是有可能分到的蛋糕更多。A,是说佛州和别的州的关系,佛州就是比别的州大10000倍,也无关,问的是佛州自己和自己上年比。
[此贴子已经被作者于2005-10-24 2:09:44编辑过]

作者: amylixiaoli    时间: 2005-11-25 13:38

My understanding of A:


Even if Florida can attract more retirees from any other states,the total number of retirees decline and more local retirees will move from florida to other states, then the business caters to retirees will depress.


作者: luyanzheng    时间: 2006-3-10 09:42
ding
作者: sesky    时间: 2006-5-19 22:29
我也选A.
作者: mejor    时间: 2006-7-12 11:47

我觉得选D也比较牵强。

小弟不是太理解the total number只的是全国的人还是F州的人,

全国的退休后去其他州人数增加,不一定F州也增加阿,原文没给推理。这个地方要求我们知道F州是度假胜地,但是根据原文告诉什么才知道什么原则,我们完全可以把F周理解成阿拉斯加那样的没什么人度假的地方啊。完全有可能,的确去其他州的人多,但是,去F州的仍然减少阿。D选项那个只是一个平均值阿。

F州去其他州人数增加,那不是削弱结论了吗?

不过相比其他选项,D算好些。

期待牛牛解答。


[此贴子已经被作者于2006-7-12 11:53:51编辑过]

作者: 无比    时间: 2006-7-25 15:13

虽说百分率的下降不等于总人数的下降,可D选项说的是TO ANOTHER STATE,不一定是F州啊~~ 所以TO ANOTHER STATE的 TOTAL NUMBER 的增加并不能代表去F州的TOTAL NUMBER 增加阿.....


作者: 无比    时间: 2006-7-25 15:17

就A答案来说,就算F州吸引的人数相对比别的州多,但如果整体趋势是减少的话,F州的这部分业务还是有负面影响.

A 和 D 结合才算是好答案...


作者: tinashih8800    时间: 2006-8-17 10:21

It's C.

 


作者: roric    时间: 2006-8-24 20:53
以下是引用无比在2006-7-25 15:17:00的发言:

就A答案来说,就算F州吸引的人数相对比别的州多,但如果整体趋势是减少的话,F州的这部分业务还是有负面影响.

A 和 D 结合才算是好答案...

严重同意,而且觉得如果说A有错的话,C的错是一样的


作者: mayce    时间: 2006-8-26 12:40

不是说A是比较错误么?

晕!


[此贴子已经被作者于2006-8-26 12:41:45编辑过]

作者: chenlong    时间: 2006-9-5 12:55

Q13:

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years. Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

  1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.
                        
  2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.
                        
  3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.
                        
  4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.
                        
  5. The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.

题干说:在退休后移居到另一个州的人中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中下降了三个百分点;因此,在佛罗里达州,与退休人员直接相关的经济受到了损害。

上述推理事实上有一个gap,即:到底(与退休人员直接相关的经济的)消费者是减少了还是增加了?只有消费者减少了,经济才会受到损害;如果消费者并没有减少,那么经济就不会受到损害。我们来看选项:

    1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state. 完全存在一种可能,即:尽管与其他州相比,佛罗里达目前仍然吸引了最多的退休移居者,但退休移居至佛罗里达的人数正在下降,导致当地针对退休移居者的经济下滑。因此,此项事实不能削弱。
    2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years. 题干针对退休移居者,该选项说的是到州外去工作的人,因此是无关选项。
    3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees. 题干限定于针对退休移居者的经济,该选项说到了真多旅游者的经济,因此是无关选项。
    4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years. 此题指出基数增加,因此比例下降也未必导致实际数量下降。假设,根据题干,在全美国范围内,退休后移居到另一个州的人当中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中从10%下降到了7%(下降了三个百分点),但(根据该选项),退休移居者总数从100万增加到200万,那么显然,在过去十年中退休移居到佛罗里达的总人数从10万增加到了14万,显然会促进当地退休移居者经济的发展。当然,这是一个例子,仅仅为了说明在本选项成立的情况下,题干中的推理并不成立。
    5. The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.该选项说,去年,离开佛罗里达的退休移居者多于十年前,意味着针对退休者经济的消费者减少,一定程度上支持了题干结论。

    1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state. 完全存在一种可能,即:尽管与其他州相比,佛罗里达目前仍然吸引了最多的退休移居者,但退休移居至佛罗里达的人数正在下降,导致当地针对退休移居者的经济下滑。因此,此项事实不能削弱。
    2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years. 题干针对退休移居者,该选项说的是到州外去工作的人,因此是无关选项。
    3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees. 题干限定于针对退休移居者的经济,该选项说到了真多旅游者的经济,因此是无关选项。
    4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years. 此题指出基数增加,因此比例下降也未必导致实际数量下降。假设,根据题干,在全美国范围内,退休后移居到另一个州的人当中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中从10%下降到了7%(下降了三个百分点),但(根据该选项),退休移居者总数从100万增加到200万,那么显然,在过去十年中退休移居到佛罗里达的总人数从10万增加到了14万,显然会促进当地退休移居者经济的发展。当然,这是一个例子,仅仅为了说明在本选项成立的情况下,题干中的推理并不成立。
    5. The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.该选项说,去年,离开佛罗里达的退休移居者多于十年前,意味着针对退休者经济的消费者减少,一定程度上支持了题干结论。

作者: gmatdk    时间: 2006-9-13 23:48
Great explanation chenlong.
作者: 晴天小狗    时间: 2006-10-20 14:17

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years.  Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.

 Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

1。    Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.

2。The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.

3。There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.

4。The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.

5。The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.

请nn看看到底是选什么。我觉得D是正确的

A的错误在于,即使F吸引的人比其他州都多,但是和自己相比,还是减少了,所以不能weaken;

C是无关啊,不是说得these business吗?那cater tourrists对retired有什么影响?


[此贴子已经被作者于2006-10-20 14:24:58编辑过]

作者: 晴天小狗    时间: 2006-10-20 14:27
另外 我觉得即使不是针对these business,C也不正确。C还是存在gap,并不能说cater tourists多,经济就会好啊。
作者: 娜娜仁    时间: 2006-11-4 09:13
我支持选D!
作者: miyuga    时间: 2006-12-31 10:43
我觉得D是相对正确的答案.但是D也有点牵强...The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.但是并没有说就会去FLORIDA州呀,还有一个问题我一直没搞懂,E中的left是离开,但是不是也有剩下的意思吗?
            I left my key here
            不就是说留下的意思吗?如果E中The number of people who left Florida翻译成留在FLORIDA的人数呢?那么E不就正确了吗? 我的愚见,请NN鉴定

作者: lsw    时间: 2007-2-25 20:24
标题: I SEE, THANK YOU VERY MUCH
以下是引用chenlong在2006-9-5 12:55:00的发言:

题干说:在退休后移居到另一个州的人中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中下降了三个百分点;因此,在佛罗里达州,与退休人员直接相关的经济受到了损害。

上述推理事实上有一个gap,即:到底(与退休人员直接相关的经济的)消费者是减少了还是增加了?只有消费者减少了,经济才会受到损害;如果消费者并没有减少,那么经济就不会受到损害。我们来看选项:

    1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state. 完全存在一种可能,即:尽管与其他州相比,佛罗里达目前仍然吸引了最多的退休移居者,但退休移居至佛罗里达的人数正在下降,导致当地针对退休移居者的经济下滑。因此,此项事实不能削弱。
    2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years. 题干针对退休移居者,该选项说的是到州外去工作的人,因此是无关选项。
    3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees. 题干限定于针对退休移居者的经济,该选项说到了真多旅游者的经济,因此是无关选项。
    4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years. 此题指出基数增加,因此比例下降也未必导致实际数量下降。假设,根据题干,在全美国范围内,退休后移居到另一个州的人当中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中从10%下降到了7%(下降了三个百分点),但(根据该选项),退休移居者总数从100万增加到200万,那么显然,在过去十年中退休移居到佛罗里达的总人数从10万增加到了14万,显然会促进当地退休移居者经济的发展。当然,这是一个例子,仅仅为了说明在本选项成立的情况下,题干中的推理并不成立。

    1. Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state. 完全存在一种可能,即:尽管与其他州相比,佛罗里达目前仍然吸引了最多的退休移居者,但退休移居至佛罗里达的人数正在下降,导致当地针对退休移居者的经济下滑。因此,此项事实不能削弱。
    2. The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years. 题干针对退休移居者,该选项说的是到州外去工作的人,因此是无关选项。
    3. There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees. 题干限定于针对退休移居者的经济,该选项说到了真多旅游者的经济,因此是无关选项。
    4. The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years. 此题指出基数增加,因此比例下降也未必导致实际数量下降。假设,根据题干,在全美国范围内,退休后移居到另一个州的人当中,移居到弗罗里达的比例在过去十年中从10%下降到了7%(下降了三个百分点),但(根据该选项),退休移居者总数从100万增加到200万,那么显然,在过去十年中退休移居到佛罗里达的总人数从10万增加到了14万,显然会促进当地退休移居者经济的发展。当然,这是一个例子,仅仅为了说明在本选项成立的情况下,题干中的推理并不成立。


作者: crownwong    时间: 2007-2-25 22:17

我也选了D.总人数上升了即使比例下降,实际人数也是在上升的.

A不对,虽然FL比其他的州吸引的人多,但是和他自己比,人数在下降啊(前提是总人数不增多),既然人数下降那么必然会影响到跟退休有关的产业的.要和自己比,不能和别的州比


作者: 芷萱85    时间: 2007-4-14 12:02
ding40楼和50楼的
作者: нандин    时间: 2007-8-1 08:08

听君一席话,胜做一千题


作者: LuckiPanda    时间: 2007-8-1 08:42
haha, ty everyone!

作者: mosww    时间: 2007-8-24 23:20

我觉得我们分析的太多了,老美其实已经把答案告诉我们了

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, 定语前置
    the percentage
who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points  over the past ten years. 

the percentage=      the peple retired to Florida      

                            The people who moved from one state to another last ten years

D。The total number of people who retired and moved to another state
        for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.
       

所以percentage的下降是由于分母上升引起的(它因),不是分子下降(去F的人减少)引起的,所以F不一定下降,结论不成立

不觉得题目出得非常严谨吗?这样一看别的选项根本就不可能选


[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-24 23:22:26编辑过]

作者: catherine_fj    时间: 2007-11-7 11:17
ls分析太经典了,鼓掌!
作者: serlina    时间: 2007-11-10 12:32
RIGHT ANSWER : D

A 错在“来Florida的人比去别的州的人多” 这个事实与题中给出“本地为退休人服务的生意将会不好”的结论没有关系。

比如,即使去Florida 的人是1 million, 去别的州的  half  a million , 但是过去十年发展的服务业可服务对象是1。2million, 那结果就是生意 会不好。

作者: kaizizhao    时间: 2007-11-10 20:28

这题出的真经典!


作者: queenjie    时间: 2007-12-2 13:14

我还是认为A和D结合才是正确


作者: jesuisdesole    时间: 2008-5-8 08:23

D

percentage下降不意味着人数下降


作者: markfang56    时间: 2008-5-8 11:23

我认为答案应该是D,

A: F是美国吸引退休人员最多的州,但这里的比较是F(以前吸引人数)和F(现在吸引人数)的比较,和其他州没有关系。

B:完全无关。

C: 说的是对那些针对退休老人的行业的影响

D:虽然移居F的老人比例下降,但是全国的移居老人的人数大量上升,因此绝对人数应该是上升的。

E:加强作用


作者: junruo    时间: 2008-6-21 12:45

from sea level:

我老了,所以变难看了。

NO,你比任何人都好看,所以你没有老。

 时隔四年 忍不住要赞一下 ^_^


[此贴子已经被作者于2008-6-21 12:46:42编辑过]

作者: prettysummer    时间: 2008-10-17 23:40
哎,高人无处不在阿……醍醐灌顶……
作者: jonathan1987    时间: 2008-11-9 21:50

难判断的应该是ad

a中说  Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state. 应该是个无关比较,因为即使attract more people than other states 但是如果总人数下降了,还是会有影响的.所以weaken 不了结论

bec应该都是support来的

d中说,retired to another state的人多了, 所以就不会有影响了, 但是我觉得题目有点不完整,应该补充总人数retaire to florida 的人多了才好,因为如果那些retaire to 其他州的人增加而去florida 的人不见增加的话,那也没有用.


作者: zhuminmin    时间: 2009-7-15 22:49

作者: xiaoniuren    时间: 2009-7-28 21:01
DDD
作者: AnyaAnya    时间: 2009-8-4 21:54
以下是引用mosww在2007/8/24 23:20:00的发言:

我觉得我们分析的太多了,老美其实已经把答案告诉我们了

In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, 定语前置
    the percentage
who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points  over the past ten years. 

the percentage=      the peple retired to Florida      

                            The people who moved from one state to another last ten years

D。The total number of people who retired and moved to another state
        for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.
       

所以percentage的下降是由于分母上升引起的(它因),不是分子下降(去F的人减少)引起的,所以F不一定下降,结论不成立

不觉得题目出得非常严谨吗?这样一看别的选项根本就不可能选


不说什么了 顶顶顶~~~


作者: hiJessica    时间: 2010-4-21 17:49
讲解的真清晰 谢谢~~
作者: xiaomalu183    时间: 2010-7-22 15:15
~\(≧▽≦)/~赞一个
作者: shooty1    时间: 2013-1-25 18:51
难道我是个异类吗,为什么我觉得没有正确答案???!!!!
In the United States, of the people who moved from one state to another when they retired, the percentage who retired to Florida has decreased by three percentage points over the past ten years.  Since many local businesses in Florida cater to retirees, this decline is likely to have a noticeably negative economic effect on these businesses.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?
A.    Florida attracts more people who move from one state to another when they retire than does any other state.
B.    The number of people who move out of Florida to accept employment in other states has increased over the past ten years.
C.    There are far more local businesses in Florida that cater to tourists than there are local businesses that cater to retirees.
D.    The total number of people who retired and moved to another state for their retirement has increased significantly over the past ten years.
E.    The number of people who left Florida when they retired to live in another state was greater last year than it was ten years ago.

A.说的是F比其他任何周流入的人都多。但是并不代表F和自身比人数上升,举个例子,总共10个州,每个州都流入5个人到F,同时F向每个州流入1人。这个假设满足A的条件,但是对于F而言,退休人员反而减少了。支持了题目的观点

B. 太明显不解释

C.观点讨论的是和退休有关的业务,引入旅游业没有意义

D.说的是迁移到其他州的退休人员总人数增加了。但是不代表迁移到F州的人数增加了,有可能是减少啊

E.退休时离开F的人增多了,那是支持了观点啊

我认为此题无解!!!!
作者: AMBER513    时间: 2019-9-10 15:22
同意选D,D表达的是总人数的增加,只有总人数增加才能推出实际人数的增加从而weaken结论,E选项说的是从F搬走的人数的增加,如果总人数不变或减少,搬走的人变多,只会strengthen结论




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