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标题: Prep 93 拜托拜托为什么是A 不是E? 谢谢谢谢 [打印本页]

作者: letgooo    时间: 2010-10-30 20:24
标题: Prep 93 拜托拜托为什么是A 不是E? 谢谢谢谢
Following several years of declining advertising sales, the Greenville Times reorganized its advertising sales force two years ago.Before the reorganization, the sales force was organized geographically, with some sales representatives concentrating on city-center businesses and others concentrating on different outlying regions.The reorganization attempted to increase the sales representatives’ knowledge of clients’ businesses by having each sales representative deal with only one type of industry or of retailing.After the reorganization, advertising sales increased.

In assessing whether the improvement in advertising sales can properly be attributed to the reorganization, it would be helpful to find out each of the following EXCEPT:

A. Two years ago, what proportion of the Greenville Times’s total revenue was generated by advertising sales?

B. Has the circulation of the Greenville Times increased substantially in the last two years?

C. Has there been a substantial turnover in personnel in the advertising sales force over the last two years?

D. Before the reorganization, had sales representatives found it difficult to keep up with relevant developments in all the types of businesses to which they were assigned?

E. Has the economy in Greenville
and the surrounding regions been growing rapidly over the last two years?
作者: zhengzheng00    时间: 2010-10-30 22:41
Following several years of declining advertising sales, the Greenville Times reorganized its advertising sales force two years ago.Before the reorganization, the sales force was organized geographically, with some sales representatives concentrating on city-center businesses and others concentrating on different outlying regions.The reorganization attempted to increase the sales representatives’ knowledge of clients’ businesses by having each sales representative deal with only one type of industry or of retailing.After the reorganization, advertising sales increased.

In assessing whether the improvement in advertising sales can properly be attributed to the reorganization, it would be helpful to find out each of the following EXCEPT:

原文:因为advertising sales下降,所以重新组织。原来的组织是按地域划分,重新组织后以增加行业知识主,导致advertising sales增加。
题目:以下哪个选项可以评估advertising sales的增加是因为重新组织。

A. Two years ago, what proportion of the Greenville Times’s total revenue was generated by advertising sales?
两年前,advertising sales产生了多少利润,这个好像无关吧。

B. Has the circulation of the Greenville Times increased substantially in the last two years?
两年前,流量增加。也无关。
C. Has there been a substantial turnover in personnel in the advertising sales force over the last two years?
人员调整?也无关。
D. Before the reorganization, had sales representatives found it difficult to keep up with relevant developments in all the types of businesses to which they were assigned?
重新组织之前,销售代表是否发现很难跟上他们工作方面的发展。
E. Has the economy in Greenville and the surrounding regions been growing rapidly over the last two years?
是否周边地区和G的经济发展很快?
-- by 会员 letgooo (2010/10/30 20:24:00)


我觉得选D。组织前的知识匮乏到组织后的提高知识水平作为比较。说明了正是因为只是不够导致的。
请指教。
作者: 熊熊加小怪    时间: 2010-10-31 12:05
Following several years of declining advertising sales, the Greenville Times reorganized its advertising sales force two years ago.Before the reorganization, the sales force was organized geographically, with some sales representatives concentrating on city-center businesses and others concentrating on different outlying regions.The reorganization attempted to increase the sales representatives’ knowledge of clients’ businesses by having each sales representative deal with only one type of industry or of retailing.After the reorganization, advertising sales increased.

In assessing whether the improvement in advertising sales can properly be attributed to the reorganization, it would be helpful to find out each of the following EXCEPT:

原文:因为advertising sales下降,所以重新组织。原来的组织是按地域划分,重新组织后以增加行业知识主,导致advertising sales增加。
题目:以下哪个选项可以评估advertising sales的增加是因为重新组织。

A. Two years ago, what proportion of the Greenville Times’s total revenue was generated by advertising sales?
两年前,advertising sales产生了多少利润,这个好像无关吧。

B. Has the circulation of the Greenville Times increased substantially in the last two years?
两年前,流量增加。也无关。
C. Has there been a substantial turnover in personnel in the advertising sales force over the last two years?
人员调整?也无关。
D. Before the reorganization, had sales representatives found it difficult to keep up with relevant developments in all the types of businesses to which they were assigned?
重新组织之前,销售代表是否发现很难跟上他们工作方面的发展。
E. Has the economy in Greenville and the surrounding regions been growing rapidly over the last two years?
是否周边地区和G的经济发展很快?
-- by 会员 letgooo (2010/10/30 20:24:00)




我觉得选D。组织前的知识匮乏到组织后的提高知识水平作为比较。说明了正是因为只是不够导致的。
请指教。
-- by 会员 zhengzheng00 (2010/10/30 22:41:17)




童鞋,这是except题。。。。囧了。。。。。
孩子~~~考试的时候多留个心眼看题目要求呀~~~
作者: letgooo    时间: 2010-10-31 12:13
zhengzheng童鞋虽然没有仔细看题,但是宅心仁厚来回俺的贴,还是赞一下人品~
下次仔细点哦
作者: 熊熊加小怪    时间: 2010-10-31 12:16

问题是问这个reorganization是不是导致广告收入上升的原因。
A. Two years ago, what proportion of the Greenville Times’s total revenue was generated by advertising sales?
A选项只是单纯的评估了广告收入是上升还是下降的事实,根本没有提到原因,所以无关
B. Has the circulation of the Greenville Times increased substantially in the last two years?
如果这个GT杂志流动量确实增加了,那么就有可能不是reorganization的原因导致,如果流动量变少了,但是广告收入增加了,可能就是re的原因。回答这个问题可以看出是否是reorg的原因导致,所以可以评估
C. Has there been a substantial turnover in personnel in the advertising sales force over the last two years?
部门的人员变换就是reorg的一个方面,回答这个问题也可以说是否是reorg的原因
D. Before the reorganization, had sales representatives found it difficult to keep up with relevant developments in all the types of businesses to which they were assigned?
销售代表管理很多类型的广告是不是让他们觉得困难,回答这个问题也能得出是不是reorg的原因
E. Has the economy in Greenvilleand the surrounding regions been growing rapidly over the last two years?
如果经济增长,那么广告收入增加就可能是经济增长带来的结果而不是reorg带来的,如果经济平稳,而广告收入却增加,那么有可能是reorg的结果

BE把可能导致广告收入增加的原因都列出来进行评估了,否定则是,肯定则否。
CD是直接针对REORG前后进行差异比较。

熊怪看法~~嘿嘿~~

作者: letgooo    时间: 2010-10-31 12:19
嗯,集思广益。。。多谢熊熊呵呵
作者: zhengzheng00    时间: 2010-10-31 15:59
汗。。这两天心情爆差。。题目一题未作。。来论坛连题目都没看清。。我真是背到极点了。熊熊分析的挺好的,赞一个
作者: bonfin    时间: 2011-10-12 14:10
顶一下。翻了十几页才找到一个解释如此清楚的。
作者: godgodme    时间: 2011-10-30 13:59
很清晰,谢谢
作者: 喵鲶小馨    时间: 2011-11-27 09:10
NN,我对E向还是有疑问的,你解释的是可能关系,G以及周边的经济增长可能是由于重组导致,并不一定就是这个原因引起的啊。这不是一个不确定的关系么,不确定的间接的选项不是算作无关选项么? 求教!~~~
作者: 猪小王    时间: 2017-3-1 02:51
赞5楼的解释。

这道题目是溯因推理:第一句话才是全文的main conclusion. 给出了暗含其中的因果关系 (the Greenville Times reorganized its advertising sales force two years ago, because 为了解决之前几年下降的广告销售)。后面的部分给出了具体观察告诉我们increasing advertising sales和reorganization相关。溯因推理的天然缺陷:1. 给出的hypothesis可能不是最好的解释,2. 根本不存在hypothesis中说的那种因果关系。

B/E在评估是否有别的原因(缺陷1)
C/D在评估是否有因就有果,无因就无果(缺陷2)
只有A是无关(percentage多少和 number大小无关)。




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