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标题: 新 prep1-75 (GWD变形) [打印本页]

作者: JimmyYeh    时间: 2009-3-13 13:02
标题: 新 prep1-75 (GWD变形)

75.    (33198-!-item-!-188;#058&007254)
            

 

In the year following an eight-cent increase in the federal tax on a pack of cigarettes, sales of cigarettes fell ten percent.  In contrast, in the year prior to the tax increase, sales had fallen one percent.  The volume of cigarette sales is therefore strongly related to the after-tax price of a pack of cigarettes. 

 

Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the argument above?

 

A. During the second year after the tax increase, cigarette sales increased by a significant amount.

B. The information available to consumers on the health risks of smoking remained largely unchanged in the period before and after the tax increase.
        

C. Most consumers were unaware that the tax on cigarettes was going to increase.
            

D. During the year following the cigarette tax increase, many consumers had less income, in inflation-adjusted dollars, than they had had in the previous year.

E. During the year after the tax increase, there was a greater variety of cigarettes on the market than there had been during the previous year.
        

B实在很像是无关阿...虽然其他选项似乎都没支持,但是B好难选的下手

有nn可以帮忙解释一下吗


作者: fiona9179119    时间: 2009-3-13 13:09
b 项 是不是排除了weaken的可能性?

作者: grape262001    时间: 2009-3-22 20:52

我也觉得像是排除他因,但感觉说不好

请NN指教


作者: 小贝    时间: 2009-3-23 09:56
B是排除他因,如果是因为健康意识的提高从而减少吸烟,那么这个结论就有待商榷了。
作者: suiyi0728    时间: 2009-4-2 20:09

我想问一下,D的解释是消费者的收入在税提高后,比在税提高之前还要少

而购买力下降,这样的话不就加强了吗??因为税提高的关系而影响到销售量

我一直绕不出来阿 @@     请nn帮帮忙感谢~~


作者: LinsonLi    时间: 2009-4-15 12:36

D 其实是削弱

消费者的收入下降,购买力下降,造成香烟销售下降。这恰恰说明了不是因为香烟价格上升造成销售下降的。换一种说法可能更清楚,就算香烟价格不上升,消费者收入下降也会造成香烟销售下降,也就是香烟价格没啥影响了,削弱原文结论。削弱方式为:他因削弱!

B 是加强

消费者对香烟危害的了解程度不变。即排除了因为消费者更加了解香烟危害,造成香烟销售下降的可能。加强方式为:排除他因!


作者: sunzhaoyang    时间: 2009-9-13 19:56

那请问A选项为什么不对呢?

第二年因为没有税收的影响所以较今年销量上去啦~

典型的无因无果嘛


作者: 追梦爱我    时间: 2009-10-25 01:51
A也是削弱,排除了香烟销售下降时由于税率上升造成的。
作者: Mingshao    时间: 2020-8-30 11:42
这道题我选择的E。。
求助一下,为什么同样是他因,B可以解释为排除他因,而E——cigarettes的品种增多——市场上更多的cigarettes变得available,反而销量下降。这里可不可以理解为利用他因来加强原题的argument?
作者: dooooooooit    时间: 2020-9-24 13:41
LinsonLi 发表于 2009-4-15 12:36
D 其实是削弱消费者的收入下降,购买力下降,造成香烟销售下降。这恰恰说明了不是因为香烟价格上升造成销售 ...

谢谢!我觉得很有道理,帮助了我~




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