GWD-24-14
In 1983 Argonia’s currency, the argon, underwent a reduction in value relative to the world’s strongest currencies. This reduction resulted in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports over 1982 levels. In 1987 a similar reduction in the value of the argon led to another increase in Argonia’s exports. Faced with the need to increase exports yet again, Argonia’s finance minister has proposed another reduction in the value of the argon.
Which of the following, if true, most strongly supports the prediction that the finance minister’s plan will not result in a significant increase in Argonia’s exports next year?
A. The value of the argon rose sharply last year against the world’s strongest currencies.
B. In 1988 the argon lost a small amount of its value, and Aronian exports rose slightly in 1989.
C. The value of Argonia’s exports was lower last year than it was the year before.
D. All of Argonia’s export products are made by factories that were operating at full capacity last year, and new factories would take years to build.
E. Reductions in the value of the argon have almost always led to significant reductions in the amount of goods and services that Argonians purchase from abroad.
答案: D
A和C是不是看到last year就可以排除呢？跟题目没什么关系吧
作者的例证说货币贬值带来出口提高，所以A打算通过人为贬值货币来提高出口,反对这种可以说出口已经饱和，D成立。
A说货币升值，但A政府可以人为操纵降低，其目的还是可以达到。C说去年出口比前年低，跟题目不相关。
仅供参考。
一个没有专业经济背景菜鸟的解释：
1983年，argon贬值，出口增加。
1987年，同样的贬值，又导致出口增加。
现在，为了再次增加出口，部长建议货币贬值。
显然，部长的建议是建立在history repeats的假设上的。要说明他的建议行不通，关键是要找到过去情况和现在情况的不同点。
AC属于一类，一个从货币方面比较，一个从出口方面比较，但都是和前年比较，也没有说明和以前的经验有什么不同。
B无关。E无关。
只有D找出了现实和历史的不同，因为去年出口的商品已经是所有工厂开足马力生产出来的了，新工厂若干年后才能建成，因此可以说去年该国的出口已经达到顶峰了，再刺激也没用了。
这个题完全是模仿OG里的一道题的
题目把汇率和出口的关系已经通过2个条件建立，一般不希望你去琢磨他了
最简单的削弱就是 虽然A-B 但是B不成立 D就是这个条件，虽然可以增加，但是俺现在产量上不去啊
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