14. Either Perry’s faction or Tucker’s faction, but not both, will win control of the government. If Perry’s faction wins, the nation will suffer economically. If Tucker’s faction wins, the nation will suffer militarily.
Given the statements in the passage, which one of the following statements must be true?
(A) It is possible, but not certain, that the nation will neither suffer economically nor suffer militarily.
(B) If the nation suffers economically, it is certain that Perry’s faction has won control of the government.
(C) It is certain that the nation will suffer either economically or militarily, and also certain that it will not suffer both.
(D) If the nation suffers militarily, it is possible, but not certain, that Tucker’s faction has won control of the government.
(E) If the nation suffers both economically and militarily, it is certain that neither Perry’s faction nor Tucker’s has won control of the government.
我选了Ｃ，正确答案是D。
我的考虑是，从题干中可以得到：
1. P win --> suffer E
2. T win --> suffer M
3. either P or T win, but not both.
我比较不确定的是第三条中的either...or...这个逻辑关系，是不是指“两者之中必居其一”？也就是说，是不是不存在Ｐ和Ｔ都输掉的情况？
First part of (c) is correct but not the second part.P will do bad to eco, but P can also do bad to mil. Similar inference for T.
(D) uses "it is possible, but not certain" which makes it a perfect answer -- it MUST be correct.
你从命题中是得不到certain will not suffer both的结论的。命题中唯一确定的是必然suffer economically 或是必然 suffer militarily。两者必然存在其一。隐含的意思是无论谁当选，同时存在的可能性也是有的。所以c是错误的。
由上推论，如果suffer militarily在任何一方当选的时候都可能出现，那么tucker的当选并不是必然的了。所以d是正确的答案。
这道题似乎是"不相容的选言命题"呢,所以指“两者之中必居其一”,也就是说，不存在Ｐ和Ｔ都输掉的情况.例如:一个三角形,要么是钝角,要么是锐角,but not both.
怎么都用输掉输掉，听着恁么别扭阿。咱用正常英翻中成吗？遭受军事上的损失您看成吗？
命题中当然存在p和t都“输掉”的可能啦。只不过并不certain而已。所以c是错误的。
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