第一次写啊……还有6天考试，对我的懒惰无语了~NN们，大NN们，帮我看一下吧！
1． 5年来股票行情一直不好，房价一直上涨。结论是应该投资买房子。——此题目并未出现在GMAT给的官方题库中。
In the argument, the author recommends that everyone should invest in real estate rather than stocks. The reason for his recommendation is that the stock market has long been underperforming for 5 years, while the prices for houses have kept soaring. At first glance, the recommendation seems reasonable. However, if we take more consideration into it, some logic flaws and errors can be found out.
The most obvious problem in the argument is that the author commits a false analogy. The condition in the future cannot be totally the same as that in the past. Suppose what he said is right, that stock prices have long been strikingly low, it is not necessary that the stock prices in the future will still keep in a frustrating level. The same doubt can also be applied to the real estate market. Factors such as fluctuations in oil prices, impacts of politic events and big business affairs will all affect the stock market. Thus we cannot just expect the future stock market to continue what it was in the past unless other evidences are cited.
Another problem in the argument is that the author provided an either-or choice in his recommendation. Even if stock market is not expected to be a good alternative for the investors, their choices are not merely limited to the real estate investment. For instance, investment portfolios as bonds, corporation coupons and mutual funds are all very appealing choices. The author should not reach the conclusion that everyone should buy houses just because they have no hope in stocks.
Before we reach the conclusion, it is also necessary to point out that the author's argument is based on an insufficient sample. We don't know what the statement of the low stock price is base on. Furthermore this information could have been false because financial analysts may tend to overstate the current situation to benefit their own theories. Or the author may use his intuition to get the result that the stock prices are low and the real estate is hot. We still need more support to regard his recommendation valid.
In conclusion, the author's recommendation that it is time to invest in real estate is somewhat defective and hence is not persuasive as it sounds. To reach the conclusion, the author should cite more points about how he got the information about the stock as well as real estate market. To better asses his recommendation, we need to carefully examine the possibility of other choices other than stock or real estate investment. Without more information on these points, the conclusion would just look like an unreasonable appeal.
第一次写啊……还有6天考试，对我的懒惰无语了~NN们，大NN们，帮我看一下吧！
1． 5年来股票行情一直不好，房价一直上涨。结论是应该投资买房子。——此题目并未出现在GMAT给的官方题库中。
In the argument, the author recommends that everyone should invest in real estate rather than stocks. The reason for his recommendation is that the stock market has long been underperforming for 5 years, while the prices for houses have kept soaring. At first glance, the recommendation seems reasonable. However, if we take more consideration into it, some logic flaws and errors can be found out.
The most obvious problem in the argument is that the author commits a false analogy. The condition in the future cannot be totally the same as that in the past. Suppose what he said is right, that stock prices have long been strikingly low, it is not necessary that the stock prices in the future will still keep in a frustrating level. The same doubt can also be applied to the real estate market. Factors such as fluctuations in oil prices, impacts of politic events and big business affairs will all affect the stock market. Thus we cannot just expect the future stock market to continue what it was in the past unless other evidences are cited.
Another problem in the argument is that the author provided an either-or choice in his recommendation. Even if stock market is not expected to be a good alternative for the investors, their choices are not merely limited to the real estate investment. For instance, investment portfolios as bonds, corporation coupons and mutual funds are all very appealing choices. The author should not reach the conclusion that everyone should buy houses just because they have no hope in stocks.
Before we reach the conclusion, it is also necessary to point out that the author's argument is based on an insufficient sample. We don't know what the statement of the low stock price is base on. Furthermore this information could have been false because financial analysts may tend to overstate the current situation to benefit their own theories. Or the author may use his intuition to get the result that the stock prices are low and the real estate is hot. We still need more support to regard his recommendation valid.
In conclusion, the author's recommendation that it is time to invest in real estate is somewhat defective and hence is not persuasive as it sounds. To reach the conclusion, the author should cite more points about how he got the information about the stock as well as real estate market. To better asses his recommendation, we need to carefully examine the possibility of other choices other than stock or real estate investment. Without more information on these points, the conclusion would just look like an unreasonable appeal.
写的很好，对七宗罪把握的不错
我给不出什么指点了。。
呵呵
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