谁能谈谈这道题的思路 - ChaseDream

despite the apporach of winter, oil price to industrial customers are exceptionally low this year and likely to remain so. therefore, unless the winter is especially severe, the price of natural gas to industrial customers is also likely to remain low.

which of the following, if true, provides the most support for the conclusion above？

B The industrial users who consume most natual gas can quickly and cheaply swich to using oil instead

CThe largest sorces of supply for both oil and natual gas are in subtropical regions

D The fuel requirements of industrial users natual gas are not seriously affected by the weather

E Oil distribution is more likely to be affected by severe winter weather than is the distribution of natural gas

以下是引用queenjie在2007-12-8 23:08:00的发言：

which of the following, if true, provides the most support for the conclusion above？

A Long-term weather forecasts predict a mild winter.

B The industrial users who consume most natual gas can quickly and cheaply swich to using oil instead

CThe largest sorces of supply for both oil and natual gas are in subtropical regions

D The fuel requirements of industrial users natual gas are not seriously affected by the weather

E Oil distribution is more likely to be affected by severe winter weather than is the distribution of natural gas

答案是B,哪位牛人帮我分析一下思路好吗

快冬天了，天然气的价格一直走低。因此除非冬天特别严峻，工业用户的天然气价格将持续保持低价。

B的意思是：工业用户可以快速和便宜地获得燃油作为替代。因为如果真的天气严峻，需要很多天然气，就有可能使得天然气价格上涨。

但是工业用户可以不用天然气，马上改烧更便宜的燃油。所以天然气的价格更不能上涨了。经济学上说替代效应，说价格弹性大。

题目中说了两个东东：oil 和 natural gas 。前提1是 oil 的价格低，结论是 natural gas 的价格低。这时候就要考虑 oil 与 natural gas 之间的关系，为什么从前提1可以导出结论？

答案B是个很典型的条件补充（前提2）：因为 natural gas可以被oil所替代。很完美的条件补充。

如果问削弱，答案是oil与natural gas无关，即oil的价格如何不能影响natural gas

建议做每道题的时候都想想，换种方式问应该怎么答，慢慢思路就很清晰了。楼主加油！