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标题: 请教prep2-45期待解答 [打印本页]

作者: doudoulovely 时间: 2007-8-7 17:34
标题: 请教prep2-45期待解答

45. (33087-!-item-!-188;#058&007558)

The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

(A) The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.

(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.

(D) Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value.

(E) When there is a large budget deficit, other events in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes trigger declines in currency value.

这题的答案是d,我选择了b,不知道该如何理解正确选项，此外But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.这句话该怎样理解？是倒装句还是啥的？就是没搞清楚意思所以选错，期待牛牛解答，谢谢先

作者: phyllisLINNN 时间: 2007-8-7 19:30

the sequence of effects:

government's huge budget deficit-->prediction-->decline in the value of the dollar

Conclusion:

[decrease government's huge budget deficit] to avoid [decline in the value of the dollar]

B does not mention "a prediction of slower economic growth . It only mention "slower economic growth."

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-7 19:30:56编辑过]

作者: doudoulovely 时间: 2007-8-8 16:20

楼上美美：这种削弱方式是不是他因法？找出真正削弱经济的原因是predition

期待回答

作者: arcadia 时间: 2007-8-8 18:33

我读的题目是这个意思

先是说对于经济增长缓慢的预测导致了美元的贬值，然而列作者说要是没有政府的财政赤字的话就不会出现美元贬值 But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.这个我觉得是个倒装句加上虚拟语气就是说是赤字和经济增长缓慢的预测导致了美元贬值

D 选项说的是就算没有政府的赤字单是经济增长缓慢也会导致美元也会贬值削弱了结论

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-8 18:33:34编辑过]

作者: phyllisLINNN 时间: 2007-8-9 04:45

以下是引用doudoulovely在2007-8-8 16:20:00的发言：

楼上美美：这种削弱方式是不是他因法？找出真正削弱经济的原因是predition

期待回答

I'm not NN. So sorry let you feel confused for my answer. I may be wrong, so welcome any discussion.

In this question, we do not have to find out 真正削弱经济的原因.

The answer B is irrelevant to the question because “prediction” is not equal to “reality.”

Though, in reality, a slowdown in economic may be resulted from budget deficit. It does not weaken the argument.

The argument only mentions that “prediction of slowdown in economic growth” would influence.

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-9 4:45:55编辑过]

作者: phyllisLINNN 时间: 2007-8-9 04:50

引用: http://forum.chasedream.com/dispbbs.asp?BoardID=24&replyID=2349927&id=251192&skin=0

for your reference

[此贴子已经被作者于2007-8-9 4:53:15编辑过]

作者: doudoulovely 时间: 2007-8-9 21:34
再次感谢

作者: lulu_odin 时间: 2008-5-4 15:10

作者: imyueyue 时间: 2009-7-22 17:02
that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines这句话如果正过来说是不是应该是这样：

if that prediction had not been for the government's huge budget deficit,it would not have adversely affected the dollar.

也就是说如果此预言没造成政府财政赤字的话，就不会造成dollar贬值。

不知这么理解对不对。。

作者: kevinli120 时间: 2009-8-2 13:14

取非削弱，没有财政赤字之前，predictions就已经使得美元贬值了，所以减少财政赤字以期待减缓贬值压力的conclusion不对。

作者: liberzephyr 时间: 2011-2-12 23:18
The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year.
第一句话提出了一个position. prediction 引起 USD下跌。
But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.
第二句话是main conclusion. But,反驳前面的（可以预测别的原因引起美元下跌）。句子楼上门分析的很好，赤字引起USD下跌。

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?
反驳结论,负负得正,那么就是支持第一句话.
D 选项说的是就算没有政府的赤字单是predictions 也会导致美元也会贬值跟第一句话说得一样, 削弱了结论

作者: pennybehappy 时间: 2011-2-16 03:52
可是题目条件说了But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit（如果没有财政赤字的话prediction不会对美元贬值有影响），但是D说Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value. 而D说在predictions在财政赤字之前已经使得美元贬值了，这样不是反前提的吗？

作者: 小西儿 时间: 2011-3-12 22:49
是if had 的倒装，，加虚拟

if the prediction had not been affected the huge defict,it would not have adverely affected the dollar.
加上前面第一句，，意思是近期的预言触发了美元的贬值，但是是建立在预言先触发赤字的增长上的。所以需要减少赤字来达到贬值的减少。
所以D里的答案就符合了撒。在没得巨大赤字的时候就开始影响了

作者: 小甜菜的宝宝 时间: 2011-5-10 22:26
我同问，削弱类型的题目是可以反前提的？

作者: 小甜菜的宝宝 时间: 2011-5-11 20:54
我自己解答，削弱类型也不能反前提。这一题是反得结论But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit
我自己的讨论帖http://forum.chasedream.com/GMAT_CR/thread-543385-1-1.html

作者: agan14404102 时间: 2013-6-29 11:24
能读懂那句话的人真是强大啊真是看了半天都不懂要被虐死了

作者: Ronniemu 时间: 2013-7-14 13:33
我觉得D不是反前提，而是提出了他因的可能性，即使不出现deficit也会有其他原因导致prediction使得currency decline

作者: popeyeispop 时间: 2014-3-25 11:46
had it not been= if it had not been
if當作是不是帶入
因此，D表示budget deficit 之前就常發生了 weaken

作者: theory 时间: 2014-3-25 16:56
我认为是这样理解的
一个看法是对经济减缓的prediction引起贬值。主结论是说如果没有庞大的财政赤字，仅仅是prediction是无法让美元贬值的，因此应该减少赤字从而避免未来继续贬值。问削弱主结论
B选项说的是财政赤字没有引起经济减缓。这个选项没有说美元贬值的事情，所以算是无关选项。更深一步，提高财政赤字也可引起美元贬值，即使经济没有放缓。因此更加无法削弱结论。

D选项说的是当年没有这么庞大的财政赤字的时候，prediction也经常引起美元贬值。这个选项说的是财政赤字少的时候美元照样会因为prediction贬值，因此减少赤字是无法达到避免贬值的效果的。因此削弱了结论。

作者: 醒醒Shine 时间: 2014-7-8 14:08

arcadia 发表于 2007-8-8 18:33
我读的题目是这个意思先是说对于经济增长缓慢的预测导致了美元的贬值，然而列作者说要是没有政府的财政 ...

原来是个对过去的虚拟语气倒装结构！
终于看懂了，谢谢！

作者: iamjasmineshi 时间: 2014-12-8 00:21
The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.
这道题的逻辑是这样的：经济增速放缓的预测导致了最近的货币贬值。但是如果由于不是政府的大量预算赤字，这个预测不会有这种影响，因此，必须减少赤字来阻止货币贬值。要weaken的就是这个结论。
反过来说，就是预算赤字不应该为货币贬值负责。

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

(A) The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.无关。只是说了政府没怎么做努力。一个statement而已。
(B) The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.这个选项的错误在于给出了一个assumption：预算赤字→经济增长放缓，然后结合原文，经济增长放缓→货币贬值，然后weaken。BUT，这个assumption是不存在的，不要自己infer。
(C) The value of the dollar declined several times in the year prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.一个statement，无关。
(D) Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value.在此之前，经济放缓的预测已经导致货币贬值了，说明不是赤字的问题。
(E) When there is a large budget deficit, other events in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes trigger declines in currency value.还是间接说明了预算赤字导致了货币贬值，只不过不是由于经济放缓引起的，不能weaken。

作者: yaguohple 时间: 2016-9-1 14:42
题目可以理解为：
经济预测导致了美元贬值，但其实如果没有大量政府赤字的话，美元是不会的贬值的。所以，为了防止美元继续贬值，政府应该减少赤字。

简单的逻辑概念图就是
经济预测＋政府赤字＝》美元贬值

d项说，即使没有政府赤字，经济预测也导致了美元贬值。直接就推翻了上面的逻辑概念。也就是说，其实有没有政府赤字无所谓，有经济预测就会导致美元贬值了。所以正确

作者: 争取一次就过 时间: 2017-1-23 01:36

arcadia 发表于 2007-8-8 11:33
我读的题目是这个意思先是说对于经济增长缓慢的预测导致了美元的贬值，然而列作者说要是没有政府的财政 ...

同意！

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