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标题: L2004-12-1-12 [打印本页]

作者: zindan 时间: 2006-8-29 10:50
标题: L2004-12-1-12

12. Biologists have noted reproductive abnormalities in fish that are immediately downstream of paper mills. One
possible cause is dioxin, which paper mills release daily and which can alter the concentration of hormones in fish.However, dioxin is unlikely to be the cause, since the fish recover normal hormone concentrations relatively quickly during occasional mill shutdowns and dioxin decomposes very slowly in the environment.

Which one of the following statements, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

(A) Some of the studies that show that fish recover quickly during shutdowns were funded by paper manufacturers.
(B) The rate at which dioxin decomposes varies depending on the conditions to which it is exposed.
(C) Normal river currents carry the dioxin present in the river far downstream in a few hours.
(D) Some of the fish did not recover rapidly from the physiological changes that were induced by the changes in hormone concentrations.
(E) The connection between hormone concentrations and reproductive abnormalities is not thoroughly understood.

答案是(c),怎么看也没能看出来.不知道大家是怎么来理解的.总觉得无法 weaken.挠头挠头....

作者: nidm 时间: 2006-8-30 00:39
C: 只用几个小时,有毒的东东就会被冲到下流去.

ARGUMENT: dioxin is unlikely to be the cause. 论据是:
1) FISH们RECOVER的很快during occasional mill shutdowns,
2)毒品分解的很慢.
1)和2)中有矛盾,所以dioxin is unlikely to be the cause.
解决了这个矛盾就可以WEAKEN ARGUMENT.

C中解释了1) , 而没有同2)冲突. 所以WEAKEN.

从FISH的角度将,虽然俺们 RECOVER的快,也架不住 release daily , AND ONLY occasional mill shutdowns 呀

作者: zindan 时间: 2006-8-30 09:03
有道理!多谢.我一直想成了:毒物飘鱼体内,然后又分解的慢,所以波浪冲的快对结论无用.看来有点overconsideration.

作者: fredshen 时间: 2006-9-20 08:06

以下是引用nidm在2006-8-30 0:39:00的发言：
C: 只用几个小时,有毒的东东就会被冲到下流去.

ARGUMENT: dioxin is unlikely to be the cause. 论据是:
1) FISH们RECOVER的很快during occasional mill shutdowns,
2)毒品分解的很慢.
1)和2)中有矛盾,所以dioxin is unlikely to be the cause.
解决了这个矛盾就可以WEAKEN ARGUMENT.

C中解释了1) , 而没有同2)冲突. 所以WEAKEN.

从FISH的角度将,虽然俺们 RECOVER的快,也架不住 release daily , AND ONLY occasional mill shutdowns 呀

Hmm, more complicated than this

1) and 2) together is saying there is cause(doxin even though occassional shutdown) but no effect. So doxin is not cause.

C) shows when mill shuts down, there is actaully no doxin because the released ones have been all carried away.

[此贴子已经被作者于2006-9-20 8:06:44编辑过]

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