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标题: HELP: GWD18-Q38 [打印本页]

作者: ddcat910    时间: 2006-8-19 01:18
标题: HELP: GWD18-Q38

1.        GWD-18-Q38

A survey of entrepreneurs who started companies last year shows that while virtually all did substantial preparatory research and planning, only half used that work to produce a formal business plan.  Since, on average, the entrepreneurs without formal plans secured the capital they needed in half the time of those with plans, these survey results indicate that, in general, formal plans did not help the entrepreneurs who produced them to secure the capital they needed.

 

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

 

  1. Companies started by entrepreneurs who had used formal business plans to attract investment were on the whole as profitable in their first year as were companies started by entrepreneurs who had not produced such plans.

  2. In surveys of entrepreneurs who have attempted without success to raise sufficient capital, more than half of the respondents indicate that they have produced a formal business plan.

  3. Among the entrepreneurs surveyed, those who did not produce formal business plans sought and received a much larger proportion of their capital from investors with whom they had a long-standing business relationship.

  4. The entrepreneurs surveyed who did not produce a formal business plan spent nearly as much time doing preparatory research and planning as the entrepreneurs who produced plans.

  5. The entrepreneurs who produced business plans generally reported later that the process of writing the plan had increased their confidence that their company would succeed.

Can some xdjm help me to figure out which one is the answer, c or b?

 

Thanks


作者: wycg    时间: 2006-8-19 21:43

我做的话,会选D.

考过有半年了,CR都有些生熟了.可能我选的不是正确答案.大家讨论吧.


作者: dori0214    时间: 2006-8-20 08:55

厄,c。。

因为不做计划的公司可以通过更可靠的途径获得资金,所以导致了不做计划的公司看起来成功率比做计划的公司成功率高,并不是因为做不做计划的缘故


作者: gonghao    时间: 2006-8-21 16:54

呵呵,D看上去似乎。,。。。


[此贴子已经被作者于2006-8-21 16:54:21编辑过]

作者: Sacramento_CA    时间: 2007-6-8 23:16

原文讨论的是没有做计划的那部分人,结论是:in general,用部分推整体。weaken的时候就说样本有特殊性--也就是没有代表性就可以了。

C正好合适,说survey里没有做计划的这部分人是有特殊性的:资金来源有长久合作关系的公司。


作者: llxx1985cn    时间: 2007-6-11 23:09
why not E?
作者: s7s7    时间: 2007-6-12 07:06

D  有正式商业计划的公司和没有正式商业计划的公司用了几乎相同的时间作计划,说明虽然商业计划的形式虽然有正式和非正式之分,但实质是一样的。

E  增加信心无关


作者: 顿顿的微笑    时间: 2008-2-28 19:08

结论是formal plans did not help the entrepreneurs

要削弱的话就是说formal plans did  help the entrepreneurs

那么e选项说明formal plans 给了entrepreneurs 信心,的确是帮助了他们,为什么不对呢?

难道信心不是帮助,算是无关选项?


作者: lenaqian    时间: 2008-3-21 22:11
以下是引用顿顿的微笑在2008-2-28 19:08:00的发言:

结论是formal plans did not help the entrepreneurs

要削弱的话就是说formal plans did  help the entrepreneurs

那么e选项说明formal plans 给了entrepreneurs 信心,的确是帮助了他们,为什么不对呢?

难道信心不是帮助,算是无关选项?

我也选E,但是现在知道错了。因为结论是不能帮助企业家筹钱,不是不能帮助企业家!E跟筹不筹钱没关系。。。


作者: gillfiese    时间: 2008-3-22 09:05
C
相当于找到他因来说明那些没写formal plan的都是搞贿赂的 所以那些不能算数。

作者: minirainbow    时间: 2008-10-27 06:55

22. GWD-18-Q38

A survey of entrepreneurs who started companies last year shows that while virtually all did substantial preparatory research and planning, only half used that work to produce a formal business plan.  Since, on average, the entrepreneurs without formal plans secured the capital they needed in half the time of those with plans, these survey results indicate that, in general, formal plans did not help the entrepreneurs who produced them to secure the capital they needed.

原题说:没有formal plans的花一半的时间就可以取得需要的资金,所以in general 来说formal plans对企业没帮助(以偏盖全)

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument? Predict:说明偏的偏

 

A.    Companies started by entrepreneurs who had used formal business plans to attract investment were on the whole as profitable in their first year as were companies started by entrepreneurs who had not produced such plans.

B.    In surveys of entrepreneurs who have attempted without success to raise sufficient capital, more than half of the respondents indicate that they have produced a formal business plan.

C.    Among the entrepreneurs surveyed, those who did not produce formal business plans sought and received a much larger proportion of their capital from investors with whom they had a long-standing business relationship. 解释偏的偏

D.    The entrepreneurs surveyed who did not produce a formal business plan spent nearly as much time doing preparatory research and planning as the entrepreneurs who produced plans. 文章前提就讲过了

E.     The entrepreneurs who produced business plans generally reported later that the process of writing the plan had increased their confidence that their company would succeed.


作者: 苹果夹心派    时间: 2009-7-22 18:43
up
作者: 苹果夹心派    时间: 2009-7-22 18:43
up
作者: 路吉儿    时间: 2009-7-25 16:02

up~


作者: skigorush    时间: 2009-7-27 10:14

作者: elaine1031    时间: 2009-8-2 10:09
up
作者: jupiter410    时间: 2009-10-3 21:27
up
作者: xrbear57    时间: 2010-4-18 17:00
个人感觉还是C对。
D中,只说了那两种企业做plan用了相同的时间,但是做是一回事,用没用就是另一回事。D选项中并没有证据表明做了plan就必定会用,所以不能削弱文章结论,即plan对筹资没有帮助。
而C中,用它因解释了为什么 entrepreneurs without plan可以更快的筹资,从而削弱了结论。
作者: Jasmine10    时间: 2010-4-19 11:35
Good question! UP UP!
作者: chasedreamho    时间: 2010-5-2 13:53
这绝对是个问题,感觉是C,那个D真的是花了时间,但是还是没有formal plan
所以错,open to discuss
作者: jessiejie    时间: 2010-6-2 18:33
本来也选了D,不过现在觉得还是C好。
原文的argument是说没计划的比有计划的公司做的还好,所以正式计划不起什么作用formal plans did not help……
如果D的话,说没有正式计划的人其实也用了相同的时间去调研准备,这样的话那formal plan就真的没什么意义了,就是形式主义了。所以D不能削弱。
而C说明没计划的公司是靠关系才成功的,就不能证明计划没用,所以能起到削弱作用。
作者: yydetiankong    时间: 2010-9-15 21:04
我也觉得C好,文中结论时说这个formal plan没用,weaken这个结论的话,就应该是找理由证明这个formal plan有用,可是这里没有正面直接证明有用的选项,所以只能退而求其次证明说这个结论无效~C选项说那些没用formal plan的公司从别的公司那里获取了大量的投资资金~也就是说名一些公司用formal plan的方法~一些公司用招商引资的方法~两个公司没有可比性~不能评判formal plan 到底有没有用~
这个是我的理解~~~~
作者: alex2610    时间: 2010-12-1 14:31
个人观点:正确的选项不仅方向要一样,而且要与结论中的特殊性有联系
结论中focus的问题是用FP的人筹资的时间反而少(其中人和时间是特殊性),所以推出FP没用(效用也是特殊性),D选项focus的是筹资快的公司和筹资慢的公司做的FP是否一样,与结论无关,而C选项在方向上是削弱,而且正好focus了结论中出现的特殊性即survey的人群不一样,所以是正确答案~~~
作者: medusa0901    时间: 2011-10-21 16:58
A survey of entrepreneurs who started companies last year shows that while virtually all did substantial preparatory research and planning, only half used that work to produce a formal business plan. Since, on average, the entrepreneurs without formal plans secured the capital they needed in half the time of those with plans, these survey results indicate that, in general, formal plans did not help the entrepreneurs who produced them to secure the capital they needed.

原题说:informal plans的花一半的时间就可以取得需要的资金,所以in general 来说formal plans对企业没帮助

causal oversimplification, 因果不正确—>削弱:结论formal plan can secure capital 或者前提informal plan secure capital不能证明 formal 不能secure capital

Which of the following, if true, most seriously weakens the argument?

A.Companies started by entrepreneurs who had used formal business plans to attract investment were on the whole as profitable in their first year aswere companies started by entrepreneurs who had not produced such plans.

B.In surveys of entrepreneurs who have attempted without success to raise sufficient capital, more than half of the respondents indicate that they have produced a formal business plan. (slight support)

C.Among the entrepreneurs surveyed, those who did not produce formal business plans sought and received a much larger proportion of their capital from investors with whom they had a long-standing business relationship. 

NP本来就有long term business relationship, (更多时间?)能招揽更多investment from investors.plan formal/informal 无关

D.The entrepreneurs surveyed who did not produce a formal business plan spent nearly as much time doing preparatory research and planning as the entrepreneurs who produced plans. 文章前提就讲过了

E.The entrepreneurs who produced business plans generally reported later that the process of writing the plan had increased their confidence that their company would succeed.(irre)





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