Consumers planning to buy recreational equipment tend to buy higher quality,
more expensive equipment when the economy is strong than when it is
weak. Hill and Dale is a business that sells high-quality, expensive camping
and hiking equipment in Boravia. Although all the signs are that Boravia’s
economy is now entering a period of sustained strength, the managers
of the business do not expect a substantial increase in sales.
Which of the following, if true, would provide the strongest
justification for the managers’ judgment?
A. A significant proportion of Hill and Dale’s sales are made to
customers who enter the store in order to buy one particular
item but, once there, find other items to buy as well.
B. In Boravia when the economy is strong, those who might
otherwise go camping tend to take vacations overseas.
C. The economic upturn is likely to allow Boravia’s nati-
onal parks, where most of the camping and hiking is
done, to receive extra funding to improve their visitor facilities.
D. Advances in materials technology have led to the
development of hiking and camping equipment that
is more comfortable and lightweight than before.
E. Many people in Boravia not only are committed to
preserving the country’s wilderness areas but also
are interested in spending some time in them.
Answer:c
B也有道理啊，为什么不对？
if B is right, no signs will indicate that Boravia’s
economy is now entering a period of sustained strength, 'cause no one will buy their expensive product.
the right answer should be an explanation that this strength of economy won't last long
我觉得b.c都有道理，b说在B地区，经济好转的时候人们更倾向于去国外度假，因而一般规律-经济好转时人们买高价recreational equipment 设备不适用于B地区=>the managers of the business do not expect a substantial increase in sales.
C说经济好转使得national park的设施提高，那么人们去national park若用park的设施，他们自己就不用买，若人们去那里都得用自己的设施，还是会expect a substantial increase in sales.因为我们不知道c中说的 receive extra funding to improve their visitor facilities是指公园内的一般实施还是专门供人们camping 和hiking的设施。
我也倾向于B,大家帮着看一下
做题的时候我选了B后来想想应该还是 C
经济好的时候，消费者比在经济不好的时候更倾向买质优价高的休闲产品。HD公司就是B地生产质优价高产品的公司。尽管所有其他迹象表明，B地的经济开始好转，但是HD公司的经理对销量的增加并不乐观。
销量不高的直接原因，当然就是因为大家不买了。
为什么不买呢，可以不camping了，有别的东西玩。
B中说的是otherwise go camping ，就是说他们还是想去camping，不过是去国外camping，
C中提到的 是 多数人都在国家公园 远足或者 露营，并不是说公园会提供露营和远足要用的 设备给消费者。
国家公园有了其他的娱乐设施之后，到那里玩的人 就不一定是露营，也可去玩那些新设施——有可能是潜水什么的（这是随便举例）
那么C也有道理
B是说本来camping的人在经济好转时更倾向于去国外度假(而不是去国外camping,有谁跑去国外度假特地去camping的？反正我是没见过周围的老外这么干过)
请在北美的网友们了解一下国家公园是否提供供露营的设施，这题我倾向于B
我觉的去国外，也许不影响，他们在国内采购帐篷，去国外使用的。
C说要说收费，很多人就不去度假了，也就不买了
C还是有点道理
靠！ 头疼
看到了B直接就选了。
现在看C，还是觉得不妥，难道park的facilities和people的equipments是一回事？
nn来啊......
Totally agree !! The anwser should be C.
I thought that people who prefer C might have done some extra assumption
The premise is "consumers planning to buy recreational equipment"
So we must do the reasoning on the basis of that premise.
C is out of scope because the word "visitor facilitie" is too vague
Someone has claimed that C means you do not have to buy euipment because the National Park will offer...
That is the extra conclusion.
Because the visitor facilities do not have any direct link with company's sale
Any extra assumption here is needless.
In other words, if the visitor facilities are improved, maybe will stimulate more people to buy the euipment
So C weaken rather than support the conclusion.
The answer should be B
Don't think too much, this question is not hard.
My personal opinion...open to discuss...
是b吧 我也选了B
i chose B.因为C可以构成削弱.
如果Hill and Dale销售的模式是B2B呢? 国家公元就是客户啊,那么C就是削弱
事实上我们不应该先入为主认为是销售给家庭的
really thx
I thought that people who prefer C might have done some extra assumption
The premise is "consumers planning to buy recreational equipment"
So we must do the reasoning on the basis of that premise.
C is out of scope because the word "visitor facilitie" is too vague
Someone has claimed that C means you do not have to buy euipment because the National Park will offer...
That is the extra conclusion.
Because the visitor facilities do not have any direct link with company's sale
Any extra assumption here is needless.
In other words, if the visitor facilities are improved, maybe will stimulate more people to buy the euipment
So C weaken rather than support the conclusion.
The answer should be B
Don't think too much, this question is not hard.
My personal opinion...open to discuss...
totally agree
个人认为，该题不严谨。但仅就该题而言。还是C相对好。
B中 去camping 的人去take vacations overseas 了。camping 的概念应小于 vacations ，应该是它的子集。 这样的情况，就可能二种结果，去vacations的人可能买camping用具；也可能不买camping用具。其结果是不肯定的。所以，做为正确答案不合适。
C中，可以肯定的得出一种结果，公园有可能提供设备了，消费者不需要买了，这种结果相对来说，较为肯定。做为正确答案相对合适。
I thought that people who prefer C might have done some extra assumption
The premise is "consumers planning to buy recreational equipment"
So we must do the reasoning on the basis of that premise.
C is out of scope because the word "visitor facilitie" is too vague
Someone has claimed that C means you do not have to buy euipment because the National Park will offer...
That is the extra conclusion.
Because the visitor facilities do not have any direct link with company's sale
Any extra assumption here is needless.
In other words, if the visitor facilities are improved, maybe will stimulate more people to buy the euipment
So C weaken rather than support the conclusion.
The answer should be B
Don't think too much, this question is not hard.
My personal opinion...open to discuss...
I can't agree more! 选C的人，请反驳这句话，谢谢。
我选了B，但是现在想想说不定C更好，B C都可以说明营业额不会增加的原因，但是最好答案只有一个，manager的judgement是do not expect a substantial increase。
B只是说了人们不会go camping，而转向overseas vacation，但是没说hiking的情况，也就是说expensive hiking equipment还是会substantial increase的！这和manager的judgement有一点冲突
而C，却同时提到了Camping和hiking， 公园会筹集资金去improve facilities－－－－－哎哟，我写道这里突然觉得C也有问题了，公园筹集资金去improve facilities，难道不会向H&D购买吗？呀呀呀！！懒题，懒题！！有问题的题！！
说不定还是B好！
去camping的原因,不是因为那个地方没有地方住,而是就是体验camping 而是一种运动.
难道有了单车有了汽车就没人跑步了?
换句话说,就算公园买了,游人不用买了,但还是有人(公园)买了,那店的生意还是好的啊!
C绝对是错的.
一开始选b，错了之后仔细想了一下，b是典型的无关项。
文章说经济增长之后质量更好的、更贵的设备比经济不好使卖的多。这多出来的这部分是谁买的呢，就是hiking和camping这部分人买的，也就是说假如100人hiking和camping，那么他们在经济不好的时候会买lining的运动鞋，经济好了之后会买nike，adidas。而b选项里面说得那些人是这100人之外的那些，这些人在经济不好时不去hiking，经济好了之后本来想去后来决定旅行，所以这部分人根本不影响那100人把lining换成adidas的需求，也就是说buy higher quality，more expensive equipment的趋势没有受到影响。所以，b是典型的无关选项。
至于c为什么是对的，我也不明，排除法。
我同意chan2301的观点。总而言之这道c题答案太模糊了。
I prefer B.
B. In Boravia when the economy is strong, those who might otherwise go camping tend to take vacations overseas. - Even B doesn't metion hiking people, the sales will be affected once if camping people, part of the contribution to the sales decreased.
C. The economic upturn is likely to allow Boravia’s national parks, where most of the camping and hiking is done, to receive extra funding to improve their visitor facilities. - The problem here is that C doesn't tell us whether the visitor facilitaties will include camping and hiking equipment. It is possible that the park receive funding but improve visitor facilities other than camping and hiking equipment.
我晕,到底选啥?C太vague了吧?
好像C比较好.
C的意思是公园(这个公园是绝大部分的露营者的去处)会提供更好的设备给露营的人,意思就是人们不用买了工具了,公园有提供,而仪器可以反复使用,设备被公园买走后便不会有substantial increase in sales 了,但它没强调提供的设备是露营工具.
再看B,B是说经济强劲了,人们更趋向于去外国旅游了,不露营了.感觉是无关选项,跟买设备不沾边.或者说,因为去国外旅游了,就不买露营工具了?
C跟题目的条件连接很紧密...B感觉要再推一步...我其实还是很晕.
个人认为，该题不严谨。但仅就该题而言。还是C相对好。
B中 去camping 的人去take vacations overseas 了。camping 的概念应小于 vacations ，应该是它的子集。 这样的情况，就可能二种结果，去vacations的人可能买camping用具；也可能不买camping用具。其结果是不肯定的。所以，做为正确答案不合适。
C中，可以肯定的得出一种结果，公园有可能提供设备了，消费者不需要买了，这种结果相对来说，较为肯定。做为正确答案相对合适。
如果你这样说的话，那C里面的extra funding 也有可能不是用来改善camping and hiking设施的啊，可以改善鱼塘啊，长凳啊，梧桐啊，就是不改善camping and hiking。怎么解？
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