标题: 请教补充教材52 [打印本页] 作者: isabellu 时间: 2003-9-11 14:12 标题: 请教补充教材52 Meteorologist say that if only they could design an accurate mathematical model of the atmosphere with all its complexities, they could forecast the weather with real precision. But this is an idle boast, immune to any evaluation, for any inadequate weather forecast would obviously be blamed on imperfections in the model.
Which of the following, if true, could best be used as a basis for arguing against the author's position that the meteorologists' claim cannot be evaluated? (A)Certain unusual configurations of data can serve as the basis for precise weather forecasts even though the exact causal mechanisms are not understood. (B)Most significant gains in the accuracy of the relevant mathematical models are accompanied by clear gains in the precision of weather forecasts. (C)Mathematical models of the meteorological aftermath of such catastrophic events as volcanic eruptions are beginning to be constructed. (D)Modern weather forecasts for as much as a full day ahead are broadly correct about 80 percent of the time. (E)Meteorolofists readily concede that the accurate mathematical model they are talking about is not now in their power to construct. 这题应该是找支持气象学家的选项即可。 请分析一下这题的解题思路，以及A选项的意思 谢谢作者: isabellu 时间: 2003-9-11 23:41
大家都过中秋去了阿？ 回来记得帮我看看阿作者: braveMBA 时间: 2003-9-12 00:53
结论是： M家吹牛，因为他可将weather forecast不准确的责任推给 model。 WEAKEN A）某种不寻常的数的结构可以尾精确预报提供基础，尽管... B）大多数由MODEL产生的准确的数字同准确的天气预报数字是相符的
