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标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day68 [打印本页]
作者: Ysandre 时间: 2022-11-26 02:00
标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day68
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作者: 林limbo 时间: 2022-11-26 02:01
看一下！
作者: luchenfeng 时间: 2022-11-26 10:11
看一下！
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-11-26 10:18
看一下！
作者: 0974kkk 时间: 2022-11-26 10:59
同意！
作者: 0974kkk 时间: 2022-11-26 11:06
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
GAP：地产商威胁vs代表说不用理会这一威胁
A：common sense没有限制被通过了
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
P：机场小偷claims千分之一vs就很安全
W：claims不真实？有行李被偷了没有上报
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
E
P：这个东西能提升交通安全
C：但事故发生率却增加了
GAP：是否采用这个计划对安全有不好的影响
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-11-26 11:22
同意！
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-11-26 11:39
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
-common sense与building faulty限制的程度差不多/ 受c.s. 影响的group与受b.f.影响的地产商嘴炮程度差不多
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
-1.5以下就认为是安全，然后根据I.c.数据 千分一，似乎侧面证明了机场是安全。Weaken的话，就是很多没有向保险公司claim
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
读一遍下来就E pertinent。没路边之前，司机尽量避免走这些没路标的、也比较危险的路，直接从根本上杜绝了事故可能性。现在多了个路标，他们敢走，或许路标帮助毕竟有限，总体事故反而上升了些
作者: abc1654 时间: 2022-11-26 11:58
作者: miawang00088 时间: 2022-11-26 12:03
看一下！
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-26 14:47
看一下！
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-26 15:07
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
Support：类比：民众支持的法案是common sense的限制，因此威胁不会奏效。
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
题目不懂
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so.
E：直接解释因果
作者: brownie1101 时间: 2022-11-26 15:33
看一下！
作者: Severus. 时间: 2022-11-26 15:37
看一下！
作者: brownie1101 时间: 2022-11-26 15:55
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
答：没咋看懂题意。看了解析说的是类比题目，以前lobby group成功过，那我们也可成功
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
答：有些人没有申诉，那么insurance claims就低了，但实际上发生率更高
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
选E
作者: Severus. 时间: 2022-11-26 15:57
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
假设：地产商和lobby group 一样，可以类比。
向lobby group提出的common sense 的限制通过了
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
部分价值低的行李被偷没有找保险公司，数据不准确
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.E
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
好东西为什么会坏，因为有副作用
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-26 16:09
看一下！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-26 16:55
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
P--地产商威胁不要支持法案
C--代表：common sense会限制
这种lobby group提出限制是否能够让民众免于被威胁？曾经是否通过？
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
insurance claim是千分之一 --->机场安保标准1.5%
削弱？ 小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim
统计的保险索赔率低--> 质疑数据的准确性 ---> 有人不会报案
3. 小路没有marking-->会导致道路不安全
G有了Marking，反而事故率还上升了
原因-- 上路的人多了
A-- G本身的小路多（无关）
B-- 坏天气 （无关）
C-- 本身事故发生率高-- 结论说increased，无助于解释
D-- 单轮车双轮车，文中没提到
E-- 很多避免走这个路的人开始走了
作者: sesan 时间: 2022-11-26 19:05
同意！
作者: RAISSA700 时间: 2022-11-26 19:42
看一下！
作者: Serenatt 时间: 2022-11-26 21:05
看一下！
作者: Serenatt 时间: 2022-11-26 21:22
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
P：限制法案出来，地厂商威胁群众不要支持，要不然退出
C:代表让民众不要怕，之前也有限制法案出来，人们也受到了威胁，但是他们还不是没走。
思路：假设，搭桥找相似，类比
方向：之前的那个状况跟现在的这个很相似，所以才会推测那些地产商跟之前的那些也一样，话说得狠，实际自己也怂的一匹。
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
P:机场安保是遇到小偷保险投诉1.5%以下的都没问题
C：现在的0.1%，所以没啥安全问题
思路：削弱
方向：这个千分之一有水分很多没上报，所以上报的统计下来很少
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.【怎么了？也知道你这山形不好啊，陈述一遍，没有起到任何解释作用】
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.【没提到标记】
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.【跟其他比较，也不能解释为啥发生率增高】
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.【跟事故发生种类无关，要解释的是标记】
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so【确实可以，之前没安的时候，大家晚上还要注意一下，现在安了，大家就觉得没事了，马马虎虎开车，也不注意，所以导致更容易发生事故了】
P:在山脊转弯处涂了标记能够帮助司机看到山形，能够判断车的位置，有利于提高安全
C：但是安了图标，事故率还是浅浅上涨了
思路：解释
方向：可以解释说这个事故率跟标记无关，是其他的因素造成的，自然因素什么的，如果不安的话，可能事故发生率更高
作者: archerup 时间: 2022-11-26 21:54
1
作者: Franceswyw 时间: 2022-11-26 22:04
看一下！
作者: xxxx44 时间: 2022-11-26 22:10
1. P: 以前 lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制时受到威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过C: 地产商威胁民众不要去支持building faulty的限制法案，代表呼吁民众不要去理睬
假设：两个限制法案的受益者和利益受损者是同一批人
2. P: insurance claims说机场小偷的概率是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下
C: 保险公司claim的比例偏低了
weaken： 千分之一在真实性上存疑
3. P: 转弯标识可以提醒司机即将到来的弯角，降低事故率
C: Greatwater County 在摘录上放了这个标识后年事故率增加了
原因：A Greatwater County的窄路尤其多 B 天气不好时驾驶难度和天黑时一样大 C 标识首先投放在事故多发地 D 很多事故是由一方引发，而非两车相撞 E 路添加标识后，很多在天黑时不走那条路的司机开始走那条路
作者: NWUZS 时间: 2022-11-26 22:28
Mark一下！
作者: archerup 时间: 2022-11-26 22:30
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
P: building faulty的限制法案的出台使得地产商威胁民众不要支持。这个法案像common sense的限制法案which没有发生过departure。
C: 最近的building faulty的限制法案也不会导致departure。
A: building faulty和common sense的限制对地产商的影响几乎一样。/地产商和人们分别对于两个限制法案的反映相同。
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
P: insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%及以下。
C: 机场很安全。
W: 有些人丢了行李不会向保险索赔。
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
P: Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. clear edge markings are useful to keep road safety because it can help drivers see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road.
C: After Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
E: People who was familiar with this road are distracted by new markings instead of caring traffic conditions. （原来熟悉这条路的人需要分心去看新的标识而忽略了真实的道路状况。）/People start thinking this road become safe because of new markings, and thus more people drive on this road than they did before. （因为有了标识，所以人们觉得这个小路变安全了，所以在这条小路上行驶的车变多了。）
所以选E~
作者: NWUZS 时间: 2022-11-26 22:35
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
common sense与building faulty限制的程度差不多
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
很多没有向保险公司claim
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
E
作者: lulululuyee 时间: 2022-11-27 10:25
看一下！
作者: notacarpediem 时间: 2022-11-27 10:37
同意！
作者: shirleyliu_46 时间: 2022-11-27 11:39
看一下！
作者: lulululuyee 时间: 2022-11-27 14:32
D68
地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
• Assumption：针对地产商的限制和针对lobby group的限制是类似的（答案：民众向lobby group提出common sense的限制曾经通过过）
Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
• Weaken：claim比实际的少，小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim
事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
作者: sesan 时间: 2022-11-27 14:38
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
因为之前 当我们提出common sense的限制时，也受到威胁，但departure没有发生
所以 当群众遭到威胁的时候，地产商不会退出这个地区的市场。
假设： 两个的威胁都一样/ 其他因素除一样/ 他们威胁群众是因为不想退出市场
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
因为机场的标准是1.5%以下
但是在机场小偷的标准是千分之一
削弱机场标准与小偷标准的关系， 因为小偷偷东西涉及大量金额，所以标准严格。
小偷标准更加严格可以预防小偷事件的发生
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
Country 画了路标在窄的路段，路标对提高安全有效
但是annual accident rate 还在上升
在画路标前，人们不走这段路/ 画路标后，人们将分心，没有那么谨慎/
作者: shirleyliu_46 时间: 2022-11-27 18:21
1. 地产商和Lobby group一样都不愿意离开
2. 有被偷的也没有报告，导致claim的数据偏低
3. E
作者: island0927 时间: 2022-11-27 18:41
感谢分享！
作者: Franceswyw 时间: 2022-11-27 20:55
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
C: 民众不要理睬地产商关于退出地区的威胁
P: 代表被lobby group威胁，不理睬后，departure没发生
GAP: 民众被地产商威胁 v.s. 代表被lobby group威胁
推测assumption方向：使类比成立
民众被地产商威胁的程度和lobby group威胁的程度一样；
限制法案的限制程度和common sense的限制程度相同；
对于common sense限制的法案通过
2. Must be True 机场小偷的问题（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
C: 机场被认为是安全
P: 该机场的insurance claims在机场安保标准的1.5%以下
削弱方向：
因为某些原因，人们不倾向于claim，所以实际的rate要更高
3. 事故率高的山路
C: narrow winding roads的annual accident rate微微上升
提问：narrow winding roads的annual accident rate为什么上升
P: G.C. painted edge markings on narrow winding roads
GAP: Painted edge markings v.s. annual accident rate
有rate关注数量/总数
(A) 无关选项
(B) 看不清并不能解释上升
(C) 比其他路高不能解释上升
(D) 无关
(E) 以前不来这些路的车现在开过来了，车流量总数变多，可以解释accident rates上升
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-27 21:07
同意！
作者: OuyangYang 时间: 2022-11-27 21:40
感谢分享！
作者: OuyangYang 时间: 2022-11-27 22:08
Day 68
1.地产商vs代表
P：lobby group威胁要退出，但从来没有发生过
C：地产商威胁要退出，也不会发生。
问assumption：
Lobby group提出的限制和这次的限制法案是同一性质的，带来的影响也类似。
2.Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的
问削弱：
可能是没有报告，实际的要比报告的严重。
3.事故率高的山路
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
解析：P：Clear edge markings would seem to be a useful contribution to road safety.
P：the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
选择E，即之前不在晚上这些路上行车的人因为有了标识而走这条路，导致事故多发。
作者: Brittany7027 时间: 2022-11-27 22:27
同意！
作者: petittomato 时间: 2022-11-28 00:02
看一下！
作者: 林limbo 时间: 2022-11-28 01:35
1、有关common sense的限制曾经通过过
2、考虑保险理赔率实际上远低于盗窃发生率的选项——如很多人实际上只有在贵重物品丢失时才会向保险理赔，意味着盗窃率远高于保险理赔率，对应机场安保并不安全
3、E
作者: 花花嘛嘛 时间: 2022-11-28 08:37
作者: ladyJH 时间: 2022-11-28 10:36
看一下！
作者: ladyJH 时间: 2022-11-28 11:37
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
类比推理：
民众像lobby group 提出的限制通过了
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
机场保险的申诉率是千分之一，机场标准是1.5%以下就认为机场是安全的
Weaken：小件被偷了并没有像保险公司claim，--->所以盗窃率很高，只是没有claim，所以不能说机场是安全的
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
marking有很多好处，但是G painted all its narrow，accident缺上升了
E：许多以前不driving这条路的人现在也在这条路driving（人变多了）
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-28 21:49
1.雖然受到開發商威脅因為他們口嫌體正直
>>common sense最後通過了
>>這個法案的影響沒有比common sense大
2.機場小偷&機場保安
>>很多被偷的行李沒有申請理賠
3.E
作者: 花花嘛嘛 时间: 2022-11-29 05:28
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
Background：地产商威胁民众
P：哪怕提出common sense的限制，也会受到威胁，但Departure从未发生
C：不要理睬威胁
Gap: 支持这个法案=提出common sense的限制？地产商=lobby group?
假设的方向：哪怕民众提出意见，地产商最后都不会退出市场退出这个地区？
地产商对于民众的意见处理方式会跟lobby group一样？
民众的意见不会影响地产商咋这个市场和地区的盈利能力？
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
P：insurance claims是千分之一，低于机场安保标准1.5%
C：安全
Gap：insurance claims=所有的盗窃案？
削弱的方向：小偷小摸就没有报保险了
只有被盗价值超过1000元，人们才会报保险
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
作者: EasonZHAO 时间: 2022-11-29 20:23
mark
作者: EasonZHAO 时间: 2022-11-30 21:39
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
答：departure不在lobby group发生，就不会在地产界发生
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
答:很多小的行李丢失问题都不会上报
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(A) Greatwater County has an unusually high proportion of narrow, winding roads.
(B) In bad weather it can be nearly as difficult for drivers to see the road as it is at night.
(C) Prior to the painting of the edge markings, Greatwater County's narrow, winding roads already had a somewhat higher accident rate than other Greatwater County roads.
(D) Many of the accidents on narrow, winding roads involve a single vehicle veering off the road, rather than the collision of two vehicles.
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
作者: ZZhiyan 时间: 2022-12-4 12:37
感谢分享！
作者: ZZhiyan 时间: 2022-12-4 12:50
1.
P：代表针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案
P2:地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区
C：代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，因为lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过
答案：common sense和building faulty的限制程度差不多，威胁程度也差不多。
2.削弱：不安全。实际上很多claims手里不成功。
3.原因：E
作者: 粉墨婉转 时间: 2022-12-7 18:02
看一下！
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-12-24 16:10
[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day68
Day 68
1. 地产商vs代表
一个senate代表说，针对最新出台的一个针对building faulty的限制法案，很多的地产商威胁民众不要去支持这个法案，否则地产商会推出市场退出这个地区。代表呼吁民众不要去理睬这一个威胁，就像我们会像lobby group 提出一些common sense的限制，也受到这种威胁，但是departure从来没有发生过。问assumption.
这些人只是呼吁/威胁民众，但是实际情况并不会按照他们说的那样发展
民众向lobby group提出的common sense的限制曾经通过过。
2. Must be True
机场小偷的问题，说insurance claims是千分之一，机场安保标准是1.5%以下都没有问题，认为是安全之类的，——然后我好像选的是小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim，反正就是说明了那个按照保险公司claim的比例偏低了（这道题好像是weaken哦~~
这些没有claim的小件行李所值得的价格比较低，可以忽略不计（Strength）/价格高,说明数据无效（weaken）
þ 小件行李被偷了也没有向保险公司claim
保险公司统计的保险索赔率只有1‰，但其实这个数据不准，因为小件被偷了大家就不报案
了，大件的诸如切糕被偷了才会报案——所以其实偷窃率很高，只是没报案而已——所以机
场还是不安全的
3. 事故率高的山路
Many small roads do not have painted markings along their edges. Clear edge markings would make it easier for drivers to see upcoming curves and to judge the car's position on the road, particularly when visibility is poor, and would therefore seem to be a useful contribution to road safety. However, after Greatwater County painted edge markings on all its narrow, winding roads, the annual accident rate along those roads actually increased slightly.
Which of the following, if true, most helps to explain the increase in accident rate?
(E) After the markings were painted on the roads, many drivers who had gone out of their way to avoid driving on those roads at night no longer did so
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