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标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day59 [打印本页]
作者: Ysandre 时间: 2022-11-17 01:45
标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day59
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作者: 鸡麦特焖焖 时间: 2022-11-17 01:54
1
作者: 小张的诗 时间: 2022-11-17 07:40
同意！
作者: 海菜头子 时间: 2022-11-17 08:39
DAY 59BDB
1. P: 抗虫棉花所需要的杀虫剂用量只有轻微减少，没有更高的市场价值
C: 不会增加农民收入
评价：1. 是否普通棉花的杀虫剂牌子更贵，抗虫棉花的杀虫剂牌子便宜，从而降低成本
2.P：抗虫棉花种子在未来价格会下降，使用杀虫剂更少，成本低且消费者更喜欢
C：抗虫作物会变得越来越普遍
评价：这种作物的平均每亩单产量是否会下降
3. 减弱电台节目和恐慌的相关性，另外的相似失败案例削弱
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-11-17 09:13
Mark一下！
作者: luchenfeng 时间: 2022-11-17 09:43
看一下！
作者: Serenatt 时间: 2022-11-17 09:52
看一下！
作者: pinx 时间: 2022-11-17 10:01
感谢分享！
作者: Severus. 时间: 2022-11-17 10:08
看一下！
作者: Serenatt 时间: 2022-11-17 10:15
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
P:科学家给棉花做了一些基因调整去增强其对害虫的抵抗力，但是调整后的那批也只比之前没调整的那批稍微好了一点点
C:所以，花了大价钱去买那调整后的棉花也没啥特别高的市场价值，所以换种这批棉花也对农民没啥经济上的好处，挣不到钱。
思路：评估，该扣结论，一定是要看是不是跟提高农民经济的选项。
A：跟其他的crops有啥关系？
B:跟杀虫剂也没关系啊，要看新的转基因物的经济效益
C：没提经济
D:这里其实提到了样本数量，可能是之前得出的结论缺少新作物样本对比，保留
E:农民的想法无关。
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
F:前面都一样，都是转基因物巴拉巴拉，
P:用这种种子可以少使用杀虫剂，而消费者更喜欢这种杀虫剂用得少的蔬菜
C：所以之后越来越多人会用这种种子
思路：评价，感觉要和是不是少用杀虫剂相关，因为只有相关了，消费者买得多，农户才种得多
A：跟这种种子的价钱有关吗？
B:只提之前的种子感觉不太充足
C：感觉这个可以
D：新的种子比之前那种产量更少？嗯。。。也有可能，产量少了，那农户就不种了可能，所以不会变得norm.
E:most有啥用啊，要就要对比之前的的现在的。
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
1938年，某电台播送了一段蛊惑人心的节目引起了空前panic（恐慌）。当时世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。结论说电台节目使人们深信earth is invaded by Martian.
问：削弱
A. 说一些没有听广播的人也恐慌了
B. 电台节目是基于一本写于1895年的某fiction改编的。但是fiction本身在当年并没有引起恐慌。
P：由于电视放的节目引起恐慌，恰逢二战在即
C:所以那个节目让人深信火星人要入侵地球了
思路：削弱，可以削弱因果关系哇，提到不是那个节目的原因就可以了
选A，确实，听没听节目的人都恐慌了，那说明不是节目的直接原因。
作者: DonkeyG 时间: 2022-11-17 10:32
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists havemade genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insectpests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acreto control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried themodified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seedcosts more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value,switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmerseconomically.
Which of thefollowing would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmerswho tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops fromgenetically modified seed
B.Whether theinsecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive thaninsecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for mostfarmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seedplanted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seeddid
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed didso because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities ofinsecticide
D
上面只是说杀虫剂的用量/亩，但是没说这个数据是怎么来的，有可能基因种子只测试了1亩地，而普通用了20亩地，标准不同，得不到准确的答案。
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientistshave been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops thatare highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost morethan conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmersplanting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetablesgrown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can bedeveloped, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of thefollowing would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plantscientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that iscurrently grown commercially
B.Whether farmerstypically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary toprevent crop damage.
C.Whether plantsgrown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free ofinsect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produceinsect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields thando currently used seeds.
E.Whether mostvarieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistanceto insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
D
题目里是说这种种子能更好防虫，但是唯一没说他的产出效率，如果产出效率低下，没有农民会用他，会导致成本和价格激增，也不会有顾客想买了。
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
1938年，某电台播送了一段蛊惑人心的节目引起了空前panic（恐慌）。当时世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。结论说电台节目使人们深信earth is invaded by Martian.
问：削弱
A. 说一些没有听广播的人也恐慌了
B. 电台节目是基于一本写于1895年的某fiction改编的。但是fiction本身在当年并没有引起恐慌。
A？
我个人是这么想的：B的话因为fiction本身没有带来恐慌，而播出后带来恐慌了，恰巧说明这是电台的效果，所以B反而是加强了。只能说2个比下来，A更优，对于没听广播的人来说，先不考虑什么听广播的人又跟这些没听的人讲，单纯的就是没听的人慌了，那A就是削弱，是其他factor导致的。
作者: Severus. 时间: 2022-11-17 11:05
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.D
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
p1 新种子可以减少杀虫剂的使用 p2 去年用新种子的农民还使用了很多杀虫剂
c 新种子成本高效果不好，不能带来好处
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?D
p1 新种子可以防虫 p2 新种子成本高，但可能会下降。
c 新种子大量减少杀虫剂使用，使用新种子将成为常态
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
1938年，某电台播送了一段蛊惑人心的节目引起了空前panic（恐慌）。当时世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。结论说电台节目使人们深信earth is invaded by Martian.
问：削弱 A
A. 说一些没有听广播的人也恐慌了
B. 电台节目是基于一本写于1895年的某fiction改编的。但是fiction本身在当年并没有引起恐慌。
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-11-17 11:06
1: D modified seed和经济效益的关系
2: D 传统种子和转基因种子的对比
3:A 无因有果，削弱
作者: 邦德王 时间: 2022-11-17 11:39
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticideD 找省钱的选项
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
D 找影响收入的选项
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
1938年，某电台播送了一段蛊惑人心的节目引起了空前panic（恐慌）。当时世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。结论说电台节目使人们深信earth is invaded by Martian.
问：削弱
A. 说一些没有听广播的人也恐慌了
B. 电台节目是基于一本写于1895年的某fiction改编的。但是fiction本身在当年并没有引起恐慌。
这不是CR200的吗，我记得是找和平年代的同样故事也造成了造成恐慌
作者: miawang00088 时间: 2022-11-17 12:14
我
作者: abc1654 时间: 2022-11-17 13:04
作者: kirsiii 时间: 2022-11-17 13:06
看一下！
作者: 林limbo 时间: 2022-11-17 13:22
看一下！
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-17 13:22
同意！
作者: 林limbo 时间: 2022-11-17 13:35
1、D
2、D
3、在其他和平时期该电台节目也会造成政治恐慌——反因同果削弱
作者: kirsiii 时间: 2022-11-17 13:55
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一（第一遍写错了）
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A. Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B. Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C. Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D. Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E. Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
P：转基因棉花可以减少杀虫剂使用。但是农民发现只减少了一点点，成本还高，但产量也不变
C：这个转基因棉花不能使得农民获益
B这转基因棉花用的杀虫剂是否更贵了。如果是的话只是加强了结论。不是的话有可能一样价格。但如果比普通的低，那有可能就是使得农民获益
D 是否两种棉花种植的亩数一样。如果不一样的话，可能会因为实验样本过少出现偏差，用量估计错误
怎么感觉BD都行….
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A. Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B. Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C. Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D. Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E. Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
和上面那道题做对比很容易想到产出。要考虑的因素有：种子Cost、杀虫剂减少量、市场需求preference、产出
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
1938年，某电台播送了一段蛊惑人心的节目引起了空前panic（恐慌）。当时世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。结论说电台节目使人们深信earth is invaded by Martian.
问：削弱
A. 说一些没有听广播的人也恐慌了
B. 电台节目是基于一本写于1895年的某fiction改编的。但是fiction本身在当年并没有引起恐慌。
C：电台节目让人觉得地球要被火星人入侵了
削弱
CR200做过
质疑因果关系。有他因，因为没有听过电台的也恐慌了。
B的话其实会加强。但是人们看书的时候可没有恐慌。但是现在恐慌了。为什么呢？可能是因为世界经济处于大萧条时期而且政治上二战爆发在即。我记得应该找和平年代看这个也恐慌
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-11-17 15:20
同意！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-17 19:22
看一下！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-17 20:09
1. P：
每亩的杀虫剂量的控制得出--基因改良的种子需要的杀虫剂更少
重点在每亩！
C：改良的种子不能让大多数农民经济上获利
试验田的面积一样大吗？如果一样大，每亩才有参考价值，如果不一样大，就无法得出结论
A\B的其他crop是无关的，E是动机，无关，C和主要crop也无关
2. P：新的种子--cost更高--使用杀虫剂更少--消费者更加喜欢
C：这种种子的发展很可能成为常态。
决定利润的应该是产量、售价和成本。产量也是一个重要因素，所以D
3. 经济和政治的不确定性=>人们会相信地球被火星人入侵
削弱-- 及时在经济乐观的时期，人们也会相信，相关性不存在
作者: WinnerWSW 时间: 2022-11-17 20:11
Mark一下！
作者: xxxx44 时间: 2022-11-17 20:58
1.P: 使用普通种子和杀虫剂的费用仅比用转基因种子低一点C: 用转基因种子并不能为大多数棉农带来经济效益提升
evaluate: A 与其他corps无关 B 其他杀虫剂无关 C most farmers无关 D 对比两种种子 E 与杀虫剂剂量无关
2. P: 种子价格虽高但在下降，且省了杀虫剂
C：种子用的越多就被用的越普遍
evaluate： A 与是否经济作物无关 B 与杀虫剂使用量无关 C 是否可以不用杀虫剂，凸显优势弥补价格劣势 D 产量问题，涉及经济效益，无关 E 与是否大多数种子类型无关
3. P: 火星人入侵地球的科幻小说正好遇上大萧条和二战
C：政治和经济上的冲突使人们心理上相信火星人入侵地球
削弱： A 电影就没小说那么真实，但还是恐慌了, 削弱 B 和平时期的重播也有类似效果, 加强 C 出版的时候没恐慌, 加强 D 有些人开始疑神疑鬼, 加强 E 不听广播的人没恐慌, some ppl少数不代表整体
作者: WinnerWSW 时间: 2022-11-17 22:21
1.自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide答案：D
解析：
评价题
科学家们对棉花进行基因改造来增强其对害虫的抵抗能力。根据农民的报告，那些用了转基因种子的每亩地所需要的用于控制害虫的杀虫剂的量只比没用转基因种子的地少一点点。因此，由于转基因种子的花费要比普通种子高，却没有产生有更高市场价值的产量，所以转换到转基因种子将不太可能给农民带来经济上的好处。
A.尝试过转基因棉花的农民是否尝试过种植其他的转基因种子的作物？（无关，只讨论棉花，不管其他的。）
B.用于普通棉花上的杀虫剂是否比用于其他作物上的杀虫剂更贵？（无关，只讨论转基因和非转基因棉花，不管其他的。）
C.对于大部分农民来说种的棉花是否是他们的主要作物。（是或者不是对结论都无影响，就算不是主要作物，农民就不能考虑选择更经济的做法吗？）
D.使用了转基因种子的农民种棉花的亩数是否和使用普通种子的农民种的亩数一样多？（题干中给出了，从单位亩数来看，转基因作物只能比非转基因作物节省一点点成本，那么如果二者的总亩数相差不大的情况下，不论使用转基因种子还是非转基因种子都区别不大。但如果二者的总亩数相差很大的话，大亩数的农田还是使用转基因种子更划算。收入相同的情况下，可以减少成本，有利于提高利润。）
E.那些尝试了转基因种子的农民之所以这么做是不是因为他们曾经不得不使用大量的杀虫剂？（农民之前的期望，无论回答是还是否，都不能改变转基因种子带来不了多大收益的事实。）
2.自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
答案：D
解析：
评价题
植物科学家已经能够使用基因工程的种子来生产高度抗虫的作物了。尽管这些种子现在的成本要高于传统的中级，但是其成本可能会下降。并且，种植转基因种子的农民可以使用更少的杀虫剂，并且大多数 消费者都更喜欢有较少杀虫剂的蔬菜，因此，用这些种子来培育作物，它们的用途很可能会变为常态。
A.植物科学家们是否研发出了现在被商业化种植的所有作物的抗虫种子？（无关，就算只有一种就不可以吗？就算只有一种不也能节约成本吗？）
B.农民们为了防止作物被损害所使用的农业杀虫剂的量是否超过了其必要量。
C.用新的转基因种子种出来的植物是否能够完全避免虫害。（就算不能完全避免，能避免一部分也是好的，毕竟也能节省一些杀虫剂成本。）
D.用抗虫转基因种子种出来的作物的每亩产量是否严重低于现在的种子。(如果是的话，就算是节约了一些杀虫剂成本，但是最重要的收入来源——作物产量大大减少了，那么农民肯定不用这种种子了。)
E.
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been the ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version.
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics.
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances.
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders.
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic."
作者: 无所思思 时间: 2022-11-17 23:14
看一下！
作者: ziiyii 时间: 2022-11-17 23:42
看一下！
作者: ziiyii 时间: 2022-11-17 23:52
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
答案：B
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
答案：D
. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been the ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version.
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics.
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances.
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders.
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic."
答案：B
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-18 13:49
D
D
A
作者: AliceJQC 时间: 2022-11-18 16:34
同意！
作者: sherlockkkkk 时间: 2022-11-18 17:31
看一下！
作者: Brittany7027 时间: 2022-11-18 17:38
1
作者: brownie1101 时间: 2022-11-18 20:53
看一下！
作者: brownie1101 时间: 2022-11-18 21:09
1.E（❌），跟农民的动机无关，主要是看经济效益 D✅，与产量有关
2.D✅
3.B（没看懂其实）
作者: AliceJQC 时间: 2022-11-18 22:20
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.科学家对棉花进行进行基因改在使棉花防虫，根据农民，使用转基因种子，为了控制害虫每公亩需要的杀虫剂只比不用转基因种子少很小一点。因此，转基因种子比普通种子成本更高且没有更高的产出市场价值，转向使用转基因种子对棉花农民的经济上没有好处。
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed 跟其他农作物无关，只是在讲棉花
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops 跟其他农作物无关
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop 棉花是不是最主要农作物，无关
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did 转基因种子和普通种子的公亩数量，无关
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide 如果是，之前用了大量杀虫剂，那减少就说明经济上有好处，如果不是，那就说明经济上没好处，我选E
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
第一句话一样。转基因种子成本高，但是成本即将下降，农民认为可以少使用杀虫剂，消费者喜欢少农药的蔬菜，因为转基因种子使用将变成日常
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially 不需要对所有农作物都有效
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage. 无关
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage. 不需要完全防虫，防大部分就有效了
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds. 转基因农作物产量低于普通的，那就会影响农民选择转基因种子，正确
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past. 无关
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been the ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
由QW广播的科幻小水XX引起的恐慌经常被描述为对于第二次世界大战的消极情绪，政府和经济应该使人们心理上准备好相信火星人要入侵地球了。
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version. 无关
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics. 在和平时期也会造成同样的恐慌，无关
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances. 小说建立在无公众影响，无关
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders. 有些人看到了火星人，应该算是加强，而且一些人的观念无关影响结论
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic." 没听广播的人也产生了恐慌，我选E
作者: Sophie_Lee 时间: 2022-11-18 22:21
看一下！
作者: 肥宅二号 时间: 2022-11-19 00:16
同意！
作者: 肥宅二号 时间: 2022-11-19 02:59
CR:
1. P1:有一种对寄生虫有resistance的新品种种子可以降低杀虫剂的使用量P2:但发现使用的总量只有轻微下降 C：新种子比就种子贵，还不增长，换新种子是不经济的。问Evaluation
选D：取正farmers planted as many acres of contton加强原文没有economic benefit, 取反种的少了不就相当于也用不了那么多杀虫剂了么，但总体用量还是下降了，削弱原文
其他选项A无关，B企图混淆视听，说的是amount不是价钱，C无关,E无关
2. P1:有一种对寄生虫有resistance的新品种种子，虽然现在比较贵，但未来价格可能会下降，并且可以用更少的杀虫剂 C：这种种子的使用将来会变成一个norm
选D：取正的话产量降低，用这个种子还合理吗？削弱原文，取反产量不变，那么就是合理的
其他选项：A无关，B混淆视听，现在用不用大量和换不换种子没任何关系，C就算取正新种子可以完全阻止虫蛀它要是贵的话也没有意义换种子，换句话说如果决定不经济就不会换，C选项没说到点上 E无关 过去和现在没什么关系
3. ascribed - 归功于
P1: 1938年对OW小说的公共播放导致了panic，这个被归功于大萧条时期残留下的焦虑情绪和对WW2的忧虑情绪（apprehension）C:这种政治和经济上的双重不稳定让很多人心理上认为火星人侵入了地球
选B？在和平时期的重新播报也导致了同样的恐慌，无因同果说明不是经济政治原因而是小说本身的原因
其他选项除了C/E没有有关的：C小说发布时没有造成恐慌，这个不是反向加强了就是经济政治原因嘛，E类似，1938期间没听小说的也恐慌了，有因有果加强了
作者: slowdiving 时间: 2022-11-19 18:37
感谢分享！
作者: 夜啼消失尽 时间: 2022-11-19 19:05
k
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-19 22:28
看一下！
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-19 22:55
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
P：新种子要的农药至少一点 + 新种子成本高&不会更高产
C：换到新种子不划算
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
P：用更少的杀虫剂，用户喜欢
C：新种子将成为趋势
Support：去除他因；D
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version.
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics.
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances.
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders.
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic."
C：sicfi -> panic
Weaken：：直接打破因果关系：无sicfi -> panic
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-12-11 14:02
[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day59
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been the ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version.
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics.
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances.
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders.
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic."
作者: 顾周i 时间: 2023-3-21 13:03
Day 59
1. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之一
Scientists have made genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests. According to farmers' report, the amount of insecticide needed per acre to control insect pests was only slightly lower for those who tried the modified seed than for those who did not. Therefore, since the modified seed costs more than ordinary seed without producing yields of higher market value, switching to the modified seed would be unlikely to benefit most cotton farmers economically.
Which of the following would it be most useful to know in order to evaluate the argument?
A.Whether farmers who tried the modified cotton seed had ever tried growing other crops from genetically modified seed
B.Whether the insecticides typically used on ordinary cotton tend to be more expensive than insecticides typically used on other crops
C.Whether for most farmers who grow cotton it is their primary crop
D.Whether the farmers who have tried the modified seed planted as many acres of cotton, on average, as farmers using the ordinary seed did
E.Whether most of the farmers who tried the modified seed did so because they had previously had to use exceptionally large quantities of insecticide
评估题：
F：genetic modifications to cotton to increase its resistance to insect pests
P：modified seed每公顷用的杀虫剂比寻常种子用的杀虫剂少——modified seed costs more ，no higher market value
C：switching to the modified seed 不咋盈利
总共成本是杀虫剂的成本+seed的成本
正选D：
这个是说两个的样本数量相当，排除两者之间的用量差异是因为误差引起的。如果
一种种了一亩，另一个十亩，一亩的平均数准确率就低很多。
2. 自带杀虫天赋的种子之二
Plant scientists have been able to genetically engineer vegetable seeds to produce crops that are highly resistant to insect damage. Although these seeds currently cost more than conventional seeds, their cost is likely to decline. Moreover, farmers planting them can use far less pesticide, and most consumers prefer vegetables grown with less pesticide, therefore, for crops for which these seeds can be developed, their use is likely to become the norm.
which of the following would be most useful to know in evaluating the argument above?
A.Whether plant scientists have developed insect-resistant seeds for every crop that is currently grown commercially
B.Whether farmers typically use agricultural pesticides in larger amounts than is necessary to prevent crop damage.
C.Whether plants grown from the new genetically engineered seeds can be kept completely free of insect damage.
D.Whether seeds genetically engineered to produce insect-resistant crops generate significantly lower per acre crop yields than do currently used seeds.
E.Whether most varieties of crops currently grown commercially have greater natural resistance to insect damage than did similar varieties in the past.
评估题
F：vegetable seeds resistant to insect damage
P：cost more but likely to decline；use far less pesticide and consumers prefer
C：their use become the norm
正选D：注意 significantly lower，太小众（供给太少的产品——norm的概率低）
3. 火星人入侵地球啦！
"The panic touched off by Orson Welles’s 1938 radio broadcast of the science-fiction classic War of the Worlds has often been the ascribed to the lingering anxieties of the Depression era and apprehension about the a second world war; political and economic unease supposedly made people psychologically prepared to believe that Earth had been invaded by Martians.
Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the attempt above to explain the panic of 1938?
(A) Film adaptations of War of the Worlds are generally regarded as less realistic than Welles’s radio version.
(B) Rebroadcasts of Welles's War of the Worlds during times of peace and economic optimism have on occasion resulted in similar panics.
(C) The 1898 publication of the novel on which the radiobroadcast of War of the Worlds was based resulted in no public disturbances.
(D) Even after the invasion depicted in the 1938 radio broadcast had been widely publicized as fictitious, some people maintained that they had seen the Martian invaders.
(E) Some people who had not listened to the 1938 radio broadcast were nonetheless caught up in the resulting panic."
削弱
果因推理
果：panic
因：anxieties of the Depression era
解释：political and economic unease
无因无果，panic在稳定时期也有
B
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