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标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44 [打印本页]
作者: Ysandre 时间: 2022-11-2 01:29
标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44
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作者: 小张的诗 时间: 2022-11-2 08:19
同意！
作者: SarangZ 时间: 2022-11-2 08:46
看看
作者: SarangZ 时间: 2022-11-2 08:47
看看
作者: KeeBee 时间: 2022-11-2 08:53
同意！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-2 09:48
看一下！
作者: choo719 时间: 2022-11-2 10:11
看一下！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-11-2 10:16
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
P：鱼没有方向是化学物质造成的--pesticides里面含有这种化学成分
C：鱼被pesticides影响方向
评价--有没有其他物质也会影响鱼的方向，有pesticides的地方鱼是否没有方向？下雨的话会不会影响鱼的方向？
【分析】
P:鱼受化学物质影响。 P:农药有化学物质，下雨冲到河里。 C:鱼受农药影响。 假设:农药不冲到河里时，鱼会不会也不正常?
【答案方向】 乱码:需要涉及下雨冲到河里和鱼受影响这两个前提
【答案】
☆ 看看鱼儿在下暴雨的时候是否会更加的 disoriented
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
P：猴子会在雨季抓一种millipede，millipede有化学物质能对抗蚊子
C：猴子会抓一种millipede来对抗蚊子
评价：雨季是否会有这种行为D
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
P：消费越高，呆在商场时间越长
P：商场开电影院，顾客呆的时间不会增加
C：总收入下降
错误假设是什么？顾客都会去电影院吗？是电影院会决定总收入吗？
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
P：M原来有17家赌场。为了收购E，A需要卖出5家赌场
C：A在州里还有20家赌场，是最多的。
削弱：A E M三者是竞争关系？是唯一有执照的=>A可能不是最多的。A卖了5家给M，所以M有22家，就不是最多的了？
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-11-2 10:17
同意！
作者: DonkeyG 时间: 2022-11-2 10:22
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
这个河里面是否有其他东西会造成鱼儿失去方向感？
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys inVenezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions ofthese millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potentmosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate thecapuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, whenmosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub themillipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them againstmosquitoes.
Which of thefollowing would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate theargument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for themillipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether thetype of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in otherparts of the world
(C) Whether animalsother than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readilyavailable to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whethersecretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicalsthat repel mosquitoes
D
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
Cinema和mall的消费模式不同，不能用同样的方式计算收入?
3. 原题
With seventeencasinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Althoughintent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations toacquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex mustsell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operatemore than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twentycasinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of thefollowing, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizationslicensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority ofEldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are tocontinue to operate profitably.
C Some of thestate's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of thestate's counties.
E Apex will usefunds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisitionof the Eldorado chain.
A 如果只有AEM三家的话，A只能卖给M，那M就有17+5家了，当然这个前提也是M有的不在同一个county。。。，感觉有bug
作者: HKU康康我 时间: 2022-11-2 10:40
kk
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-11-2 10:44
1.鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
-是否有他因佐证这种相关性。比如河流里含有这种chemical的，只有这个pesticide；把chemical直接倒河里，鱼儿更disoriented
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
D
2.消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
-题目逻辑链：
消费与消费者呆在mall的时间成正比、呆在mall的时间固定、消费者在cinema的观影时间挤兑了购物时间，而cinema消费很少，所以总收入下降
感觉错误假设了消费行为不会随时间的减少而变得更加集中，或消费行为一定呆在mall的时间强相关，比如原来逛5个小时买5个东西，现在看完电影时间少了，2个小时只能买2个东西，感觉有些不合理。
.......（看完答案感觉自己像个傻子）
3.原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
A
作者: Camillezzy 时间: 2022-11-2 10:59
1
作者: 鲤新一 时间: 2022-11-2 10:59
看一下！
作者: 啦啦啦萝卜 时间: 2022-11-2 11:02
1
作者: 宇宙阿兕 时间: 2022-11-2 11:03
同意
作者: themarvelousray 时间: 2022-11-2 11:07
看一下！
作者: Zach760！ 时间: 2022-11-2 11:08
看之！
作者: Sophie_Lee 时间: 2022-11-2 11:47
看一下！
作者: SarangZ 时间: 2022-11-2 11:48
P：鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。C：证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
方案题
—没有接触过这种物质是否也会失去方向感
【类似题目】
P：he rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak.
C:the monkeys -- rub the millipedes into their fur -- protect them against mosquitoes.
(D)
2. 消费和营业时间
BG:顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。
P:由于顾客在cinema里消费少
C:所以公司的收入会下降
建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
将在mall的时间等于在cinema的时间了/将cinema收入等于公司收入
3. 原题
BG:With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state.
P:To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos
C:Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
seriously undermines the prediction
因果关系
--因：卖了5个，还剩下20个
果：他是最多的
方向：20个不是最多的，卖了5个带来了影响
作者: luchenfeng 时间: 2022-11-2 11:48
谢谢～～
作者: miawang00088 时间: 2022-11-2 12:00
我
作者: Sophie_Lee 时间: 2022-11-2 12:00
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
果因推理，结论是鱼失去方向就是因为pesticide造成的。
反例：是否科学家停止放杀虫剂后，鱼群还有disoriented的事情发生？
他因：是否水里就天然含有这种化学物质
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument? D
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
顾客去了cinema就不会去商场的其他店铺进行消费了
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction? A
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
作者: miawang00088 时间: 2022-11-2 12:40
1 现象：鱼都disoriented
化学成分会导致鱼disoriented
pesticide里有这种化学成分-- pesticide导致鱼都disoriented
as 不是其他原因，就是pesticide导致鱼都disoriented
评价：有没有其他原因导致鱼都disoriented//pesticide的化学成分会不会不管用
2 现象 c用m擦皮毛，擦在其他时候很少，只在雨季最旺盛蚊子最多的时候频繁
m含有抵抗蚊子的物质，蚊子会伤害c
原因 c用m擦皮毛是为了抵抗蚊子
as c用m擦皮毛不是其他原因（抵抗其他生物）就是为了抵抗蚊子
评价 有没有其他原因让c用m擦皮毛--是不是只有在雨季的时候才有m可供c用（是加强：蚊子少时候不用//不是削弱：蚊子少时候也在用）
3 商场新开一家影院，顾客在商场总时间不增加，顾客在影院消费少--》公司收入会下降
as 顾客在影院消费少，在影院待的时间减少了在商场其他门店购物的时间--收入下降
4 m17家 a+e-5=20家 ----》a是最多的
weak：a20家但不是最多的
只有a，e，m这三家赌场，a要收购e，出售5，只能卖给m，那m=17+5=22大于a=20
作者: 薄荷柠檬 时间: 2022-11-2 13:34
mark
作者: 邦德王 时间: 2022-11-2 14:02
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：思路：考虑是不是pesticide和disoriented是巧合，或者他因。
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
选D，两个事件是巧合
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
大多数顾客来这个商场都是去cinema消费
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
选A，他得卖给别人，所以别人的会增加，那他不一定是第一了。
作者: 林limbo 时间: 2022-11-2 14:05
1.鱼在没有接触到农药的时候是否也会迷路
2.去过电影院的人不会再去商场了
3.A
作者: vogue123 时间: 2022-11-2 14:18
同意！
作者: HKU康康我 时间: 2022-11-2 15:07
1. 中文那个没看懂
Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season 分析D选项 Y:说明只有这个季节可以抹，只不过跟蚊子高峰的时间刚好重合了不能说明就是用来防蚊 N：说明一年四季都可以rub，但是一定要雨季虫子多的时候rub说明就是为了防蚊
2. 猜测：顾客总量是一致的？
收入=顾客总量*每个人的消费（和每个人待的时间有关）
3. 这道题以前做过选三者是唯一三家 17+5=22>20
作者: xxxx44 时间: 2022-11-2 15:56
1. P：pesticide里的化学物质导致鱼失去方向感C：水里有这种化学物质
果因推理
evalue：没有这种化学物质/含这种物质的pesticide鱼是否还没有方向感
他因：其他化学物质能造成相似后果/水里本来就有这种化学物质
2. P: 消费与停留时间成正比，并不会在新开cinema里停留更久
C：商场收入下降
questionable assumption：顾客的消费只发生在cinema里，不在商场的其他区域消费，但呆在cinema里的时间也是在mall的里的时间。
(so people who go to the mall will go to the cinema? will go or will not go ?)
3. P: M=17，A+E-5=A‘=20
C：A’最多
weaken：其他有牌照的博彩公司也在这个州，或许手头赌场数目更多
作者: 抱抱火 时间: 2022-11-2 16:06
看一下！
作者: Yoga54 时间: 2022-11-2 16:14
看一下！
作者: Yoga54 时间: 2022-11-2 16:35
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：确认河流里是否有这种pesticide？
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
评估：找雨季和millipede之间的关联D
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
assumption：顾客在cinema消费少，则在mall消费也少
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
p：m有17家；a需要卖5家，a还剩20家（含E）；
c：a数量最多
削弱：a数量不是最多，可能性，如果a卖的5家是卖给m的，那么m会有17+5=22家，比a大，选择A
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
作者: WinnerWSW 时间: 2022-11-2 18:00
同意！
作者: Xxxxxyi 时间: 2022-11-2 18:17
?
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-11-2 19:25
感谢分享！
作者: Baba886 时间: 2022-11-2 19:27
看一下！
作者: zakryan 时间: 2022-11-2 19:41
同意！
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-11-2 19:48
ay41
1. 相关因果：1）在其他情况下，与会不会disoriented 2）独立的第三因素：
2. C
3. 消费和营业时间：因果推理：因为顾客在cinema消费少，公司收入会下降。 ：顾客消费只发生在cinema
4. A
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-2 20:08
看一下！
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-11-2 20:56
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
P（现象）：鱼转向；pesticides中某种化学物质影响方向感
C（结论）：pesticides -> 鱼转向
assumption: 排除其他鱼转向的原因；或者 直接加强pesticides 导致鱼转向的原因
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
P（现象）：“猴子 rub mill to fur in 蚊子多的rainy seasons” & “mil 分泌防蚊子化学物”
C（结论）：猴子rub mil to fur in 蚊子多的rainy seasons + mil 分泌防蚊子化学物 --推出--> 这么做防蚊子
assumption: 排出一种猴子这么做的其他原因
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
P（现象）：Mall里新开一个cinema & 顾客在Mall里时间不会明显增加 & 顾客在Cinema消费少
C（结论）：Mall里新开一个cinema & 顾客在Mall里时间不会明显增加 & 顾客在Cinema消费少 + assumption --> 公司收入下降
assumption：讨论收入和前面现象的关系
- 收入 = 人数 * 消费。
1）人数：人数不会增长
2）cinema消费低 --> mall里消费会下降
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
P：M有最多赌场17家；A需要卖5家+ E几家赌场，还剩下20家。
C：A有最多的赌场
Assumption: 直接反击结论A：A卖给M。
作者: Yangxinxin1219 时间: 2022-11-2 21:19
1
作者: Yangxinxin1219 时间: 2022-11-2 21:28
1. D
猴子是不是只在下雨天（即蚊子多的时候）使用这个物质？如果是，加强；不是，削弱
2. cinema可能会带来额外的收入？
3. A
作者: darlingvivia 时间: 2022-11-2 21:30
看一下！
作者: Baba886 时间: 2022-11-2 21:31
1.
从河里杀虫剂的含量入手：这种杀虫剂有多少流入了河内；或者控制变量：同一片地区没有使用这种杀虫剂的鱼儿情况如何等
D
2.
其错误建立在顾客在cinema的消费等同于在mall里的所有消费，属于以小推大，一般来说mall除了cinema之外还有其他消费项目，所以即使顾客在cinema的消费少，并不代表公司的收入会下降。
3.
A：如果只有AEM三家有赌场经营执照，且A为了收购E必须卖掉5家，那么意味着市场上只有A和M可以经营赌场，即A只能将5家赌场卖给M，M原本有15家，收购5家赌场之后就有22家了，与agreement矛盾。
作者: 问题不大35 时间: 2022-11-2 21:35
看一下！
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-2 22:08
同意！
作者: 鸡麦特焖焖 时间: 2022-11-2 22:12
1
作者: vestofmmw 时间: 2022-11-2 23:45
看一下！
作者: George_chen 时间: 2022-11-2 23:52
看一下！
作者: vestofmmw 时间: 2022-11-3 00:00
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：F：某河流，鱼disoriented
P：pesticide杀虫剂造成失去方向感，做实验，某化学物质确实影响
P：杀虫剂有这种化学物质
evaluate
思路：找选项whether杀虫剂真的进入了这个河流？
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
无关
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
无关
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
无关
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
Y：c猴唯一可以轻易搞到m的季节就是雨季，题干rub只有在雨季不rub，属于增强。 N：c猴不是只能在雨季轻易搞到m，题干结论c猴rub为了防护好像也没有被削弱。。
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
无关
选D
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
F：消费和时间成正比
F：新开cinema，呆的时间不会增多
C：由于消费少，公司收入会下降
Q：assumption
思路：顾客泡在mall的时间要么去逛街要么看电影。
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered被胜过 by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
M：17 @1st
A：赢了M在收购E上
A：must sell 5 casino →@last 20
C：A会有最多赌场
Q：weaken
思路：A不会有最多赌场，E被收购了就不管他了，如果这三家就是唯一的赌场公司，A卖公司就卖给M了。M@last=M@1st+5=17+5=22 > A@last的20
作者: George_chen 时间: 2022-11-3 00:04
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
是否河里有pesticide
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument? D
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
顾客在mall待的总时间不会增加，在cinema待的时间多了，在其他地方待的时间就少
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state. A
作者: WinnerWSW 时间: 2022-11-3 13:15
1.鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：解析：
评价题
应该评价：如果此时，在该河流里没有这种杀虫剂的存在，鱼还会不会迷失方向。
如果没有这种杀虫剂的话，鱼不会迷失方向，那么就表明确实是杀虫剂造成了鱼的迷路。如果该河中没有了杀虫剂，鱼还是迷失了方向，那么就表明是有其他因素造成了鱼的迷路。例如，河流的流向变化、温度变化、天气变化以及其他的污染物等等。
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes答案：D
解析：
评价题：要论证的是：卷尾猴揉搓千足虫的行为到底是不是为了防虫？
委内瑞拉的卷尾猴经常会某一种千足虫揉搓进自己的皮毛里。这些千足虫的分泌物已经被证实含有能够强力驱蚊的两种化学物质，并且蚊子携带着会使卷尾猴变虚弱的寄生虫。这种摩擦行为是很少见的，除非是在雨季，那时蚊子数量达到顶峰。因此，猴子们可能会将千足虫揉搓进它们的皮毛中，因为这样能够使它们免遭蚊子的侵害。
A.这两种化学物质是否为千足虫抵抗它们自己的捕食者提供任何的保护。错误，超出了讨论的话题，讨论的是千足虫对卷尾猴的作用，而不是讨论千足虫自身。
B.这种能为维瑞内拉的卷尾猴所用的千足虫是否能在世界上的其他地方找到。错误，无关选项，题干并不是在讨论千足虫在世界上的分布问题。
C.除了卷尾猴以外，是否还有其他动物也会存在把任意种类的昆虫揉搓进它们的皮毛中的行为。错误，超出了讨论的话题，话题是围绕卷尾猴的并没有提到其他动物。
D.是否只有在雨季的时候卷尾猴才能够随时得到千足虫。正确，如果在其他季节卷尾猴也能随时抓到千足虫，但是却没有发生摩擦千足虫的行为，而只在雨季这种蚊子猖獗的时期会摩擦千足虫，就能够证实卷尾猴摩擦千足虫的行为确实是为了驱蚊。而如果这种千足虫只有在蚊子众多的雨季才会出现，不必然说明卷尾猴捉千足虫就是为了防蚊，也许只是为了好玩，毕竟我们并不知道在蚊子数量少的季节里卷尾猴还会不会抓千足虫来摩擦，形成不了对比。
E.卷尾猴能够获得的其他昆虫的分泌物中是否含有能驱赶蚊子的化学物质。错误，提到其他昆虫，无关，超出了讨论范围。
2.消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了解析：
找错误的假设
①顾客的消费和他在商场里逗留的时间不必然成正比，很可能人们只是把商城当作一个散步的场所，只是进来闲逛，并不一定会消费。
②商场里开了电影院之后，虽然顾客数量不一定会显著增加，但是顾客只要进电影院并在里面逗留，基本可以肯定他们是去看电影的，因为没有人回去电影院闲逛，而看电影肯定要花钱买电影票，所以商场的收入不一定会下降。（即顾客向的转化率提高，有了电影院之后，为商城贡献消费的人占进入商城的总人数的比例变高。）
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
答案：A
解析：
削弱题
M有17家赌场，是该州拥有赌场最多的公司。尽管M想要扩张，但是在收购E的谈判中，M输给了A。为了完成对E的收购，A必须卖掉5家赌场，以遵循州法律：禁止任何人在一个县经营一家以上的赌场。因为到时候A将仍会经营20家赌场，所以那时A会在该州拥有最多的赌场。
A. A,E,M是该州仅有的被许可经营的赌场。正确，因为如果该州只要A,E,M三家合规的赌场，那么A想要卖掉5家赌场以遵守州法律时，就只能将这五家赌场卖给M，那么M将拥有17+5=22家赌场，其赌场数量还是多于A，M依然是该州赌场数量最多的。
B.E在该州的大部分赌场如果想要继续盈利，那么就需要进行大规模的翻新。错误，与讨论的主题：赌场数量无关。
C.该州的一些县上不允许开设赌场。错误，不允许开赌场的县并不在考虑范围内，只需要考虑允许开赌场的县，因为任何一个机构都不可能在不允许开赌场的县开设赌场，对于任何机构都是公平的。
D.M已经在该州的大部分县经营赌场。错误，无用信息。
E.A将会用从出售那5家赌场获得的资金来收购E。错误，无关选项，我们并不关心收购的钱从哪来。
作者: 花花嘛嘛 时间: 2022-11-4 14:16
Mark一下！
作者: 多喝烫水 时间: 2022-11-4 21:43
Mark一下！
作者: 多喝烫水 时间: 2022-11-4 22:31
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉
premise下雨天 蚊子多 rub 不是下雨天 蚊子少 rare rub
Conclusion rub可以赶走蚊子
D：只有下雨天才有m 才能rub(m是与驱赶蚊子无关的）
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
假设在cinema里消费少了，也不会在这个商场其他地方多消费/来这个商场的人就是来看电影的
3.
A 如果只有这三家赌场 M会买走A卖掉的那五个赌场，很可能M会拥有最多的赌场
作者: 花花嘛嘛 时间: 2022-11-6 04:59
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
P：某种化学物质使鱼儿失去方向感，pesticide还有这种化学物质
C：Pesticide使鱼儿失去方向感
Gap：Pesticide含有化学物质——pesticide使鱼失去方向感
评价的方向：Pesticide的其他化学成分相互作用，会不会降低这种化学成分的效果？
不含这种化学成分的pesticide会不会导致鱼失去方向？
Pesticide里的该种化学成分的含量是否足以让鱼失去方向？
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
Background：消费跟待在mall时间成正比
P：mall新来电影院
C：顾客在cinema消费少
Gap：在cinema消费少——在mall待得时间少——收入下降
错误的assumption：cinema不会带来更多的人流量？电影票不算入公司收入？
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
M=17 casinos
Apex=A+E-5=20
P: Apex will left operating 20 casinos
C: Apex will have the most casinos in the state
答案为A，M=17+5=22 大于20，M将会是最大的
作者: slowdiving 时间: 2022-11-6 08:52
感谢分享！
作者: 皮皮芃 时间: 2022-11-6 09:37
Mark一下！
作者: slowdiving 时间: 2022-11-6 09:45
Day44.
1.答案猜测：evaluation
河流里会不会包含其他化学物质的污染/其他形式下鱼会不会受影响
2.答案猜测：
消费少，那么收入就会变少
3.答案猜测：要反驳数量最多这个结论
A
作者: ladyJH 时间: 2022-11-6 15:37
看一下！
作者: ladyJH 时间: 2022-11-6 17:39
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
是否有他因佐证这种相关性。比如河流里含有这种chemical的，只有这个pesticide；把chemical直接倒河里，鱼儿更disoriented
2. 消费和营业时间
P:由于顾客在cinema里消费少
C:所以公司的收入会下降
将在mall的时间等于在cinema的时间了/将cinema收入等于公司收入
3. 原题
P:To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos
C:Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
weaken：其他有牌照的博彩公司也在这个州，或许手头赌场数目更多
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-6 19:12
1.魚失去方向感，推測是因為化學物質，evaluate
>>魚失去方向感沒有別的原因
>>這種化學藥劑會影響某種器官，這種器官是掌管魚方向感的
類似題目
2.開電影院不會增加刻人停留時間，所以收入會下降
>>沒有考慮到其他能增加收入的客人開銷(買電影票,食物之類)
>>商場跟電影院營利模式不同
3.A
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-11-6 19:13
類似題目 : D (所以說emoji真的不要這麼智慧
作者: 鸡麦特焖焖 时间: 2022-11-6 22:27
本帖隐藏的内容
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
现实现象：1.鱼受到某种化学物质影响会失去方向感 2.鱼disoriented了
相关现象：这些农药里有这种化学物质
C：是这种农药导致鱼disoriented
gap：1.有没有其他原因导致鱼disoriented？
2.这种农药含有的化学物质的剂量是否足以导致鱼disoriented？
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
现实现象：C猴儿在把千足虫抹在身上
相关现象：特别是在雨季，雨季蚊子多，且千足虫含的化学物质可以预防蚊子，蚊子让C猴得病
结论：C猴涂千足虫是为了预防蚊子
gap：1.有没有其他原因让C猴在雨季抹千足虫？
2.
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
答案 D 如果只有雨季有，那就削弱了，如果不是只有雨季有，就加强了
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
P：顾客在新开的电影院消费少
C：新开电影院后公司收入会下降
gap：1.新开电影院不会增加顾客在其他地方的消费
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
A
作者: lastchance2010 时间: 2022-11-7 10:46
感谢分享！
作者: lastchance2010 时间: 2022-11-7 11:03
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
背景： 鱼儿们都disoriented 了; 因： pesticide 造成的，研究发现是某种化学物质造成的，pesticide 里面有,下雨的时候，农药被冲到河里； 结论:科学家假设正确。 评估
我的答案： 看看没有用pesticide 的河流里面有没有出现鱼儿disorient 的现象
Language 答案： 需要设计下雨冲到河里和鱼受影响这两个前提， 答案-看看鱼儿再下暴雨的时候是否会更加的disoriented
【类似题目】D
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
错误的假设是：新的电影院不会吸引更多的顾客去mall 里买东西，买完东西再看电影。
3. 原题 A
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
(M – 17; A – 20; A sells 5 to M, M-22)
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
作者: 杀G780 时间: 2022-11-7 22:22
我
作者: 断了的弦 时间: 2022-11-7 23:12
kkk
作者: 努力打工狗 时间: 2022-11-8 10:49
谢谢
作者: swilder 时间: 2022-11-9 01:49
看一下！
作者: Han666 时间: 2022-11-9 14:49
Mark一下！
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-11-10 16:52
看一下！
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-11-11 11:03
[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day44
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
河流里面是否有其他物质，也含有这个化学成分，除了pesticides
☆ 看看鱼儿在下暴雨的时候是否会更加的disoriented
假设：农药不冲到河里时，鱼会不会也不正常？
科学家观察鱼的行为。鱼的游动导航能力受嗅觉影响，其嗅觉受某些化学物质的干扰，而农
药里面含这些化学物质，农药经常在下雨的时候冲入河流中，所以鱼的奇怪游动行为是因为
受农药的影响。问评估。我选每次雨后对鱼的观察结果。
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
可能顾客的数量会上升。即使顾客待的时间不增长，也不代表其他方面没有增长。所以结论收入下降不准确。
说是一个商场里,顾客的消费和他们花在商场里的时间成正比。
然后说是商场里开了一个cinema, 因为看电影要花去很多时间,所以 商场的利润会下降。
问假设。我选了那个貌似是说, 顾客不会花更多时间
people who go to mall will go to the cinema
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
作者: abc1654 时间: 2022-11-13 06:21
作者: sherlockkkkk 时间: 2022-11-13 19:48
Mark一下！
作者: Carolineccc 时间: 2022-11-16 23:40
Mark一下！
作者: Carolineccc 时间: 2022-11-18 23:38
Day 44:
1.P: 鱼失去方向感了。研究发现鱼受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，pesticide正好有这个化学物质
C：这是pesticide造成的
Type：相关因果模型
Evaluate:
—— 有没有其他因素影响鱼的方向感？
——有pesticide的地方有鱼有方向感吗
——没有pesticide 的地方有鱼没方向感吗
类似题目：P：猴子会用一种millipede擦他们的身子。实验证明millipede中含有化学物质可以防蚊子，蚊子会给猴子带来疾病。不过这个擦身上的动作很少只有在雨季蚊子特别多的时候才会有
C： 猴子在雨季用millipede擦身上是为了防蚊子
Evaluate:
—— millipede是否佛有治疗那种疾病的功效
—— D 是否是因为millipede只在雨季中出现（evaluate 相关性
2.P：顾客的消费和他呆在商场的时间成正比。这个商场要开一家新的电影院，顾客呆在里面的时间不会明显增加。
C：由于顾客在电影院消费少，所以商场的收入会下降
错误的assumption?
—— 电影院会招揽更多的顾客进商场？
3.P：拥有17家赌场的M在某个州开的赌场是最多的。然而他在收购E的时候被A打败了。A必须卖出五家赌场，因为州法律规定任何经营者都不能在一个country经验多个赌场。 A将要在这个州经营20家赌场，
C：因此他将拥有这个州最多的赌场
Weaken:
—— A —— A卖出的那五家必须给M，所以 A= 20 + E=21；M = 17 + 5A= 22 > A
作者: 顾周i 时间: 2023-3-19 14:17
Day 44
1. 鱼的嗅觉（今日喜加一）
研究发现现在某地的河流里，鱼儿门都disoriented了，科学家们就假设是pesticide造成的。经过研究发现鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，同时又发现这些pesticides里面含有这种化学成分。因此更加证实了科学家们的假设。问evalue：
【类似题目】
Capuchin monkeys in Venezuela often rub a certain type of millipede into their fur. Secretions of these millipedes have been shown to contain two chemicals that are potent mosquito repellents, and mosquitoes carry parasites that debilitate the capuchins. The rubbing behavior is rare except during the rainy season, when mosquito populations are at their peak. Therefore, the monkeys probably rub the millipedes into their fur because doing so helps protect them against mosquitoes.
Which of the following would it be most useful to determine in order to evaluate the argument?
(A) Whether the two chemicals provide any protection for the millipedes against their own predators
(B) Whether the type of millipede used by the capuchin monkeys in Venezuela is found in other parts of the world
(C) Whether animals other than capuchins rub insects of any kind into their fur
(D) Whether the only time the millipedes are readily available to the capuchins is during the rainy season
(E)Whether secretions of any other insects accessible to the capuchins contain chemicals that repel mosquitoes
果因推理
F：鱼儿失去方向感
P：鱼儿如果受到某种化学物质的影响会失去方向感，pesticides里面含有这种化学成分
C：pesticide造成的鱼儿失去方向感
是否存在他因导致鱼儿失去方向感
是否存在可能性，鱼儿失去方向感和pesticide无关
2. 消费和营业时间
顾客的消费和他呆在mall里的时间成正比，这个mall要新开一家cinema，顾客呆的时间不会明显增加。由于顾客在cinema里消费少，所以公司的收入会下降，【注意】之前说错了，不是问weaken，是问这个建立在哪个错误的assumption上了
F：消费和时间成正比；顾客停留时间不会明显增加
P：顾客在cinema里消费少
C：公司的收入会下降
在cinema消费少的顾客也不会在mall多做停留（所以在mall也不产生消费——公司收入下降）
3. 原题
With seventeen casinos, Moneyland operates the most casinos in a certain state. Although intent on expanding, it was outmaneuvered by Apex Casinos in negotiations to acquire the Eldorado chain. To complete its acquisition of Eldorado, Apex must sell five casinos to comply with a state law forbidding any owner to operate more than one casino per county. Since Apex will still be left operating twenty casinos in the state, it will then have the most casinos in the state.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously undermines the prediction?
A Apex, Eldorado, and Moneyland are the only organizations licensed to operate casinos in the state.
B The majority of Eldorado's casinos in the state will need extensive renovations if they are to continue to operate profitably.
C Some of the state's counties do not permit casinos.
D Moneyland already operates casinos in the majority of the state's counties.
E Apex will use funds it obtains from the sale of the five casinos to help fund its acquisition of the Eldorado chain.
A
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