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标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day6 [打印本页]
作者: Ysandre 时间: 2022-9-25 10:23
标题: [揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day6
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作者: 盐盐小羊 时间: 2022-9-25 10:30
kk
作者: Sophie_Lee 时间: 2022-9-25 10:35
看一下！
作者: 洋阳羊 时间: 2022-9-25 10:37
看一下！
作者: yyking625 时间: 2022-9-25 10:40
看看
作者: anduyin 时间: 2022-9-25 10:42
同意！
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-9-25 10:44
同意！
作者: Ak777 时间: 2022-9-25 10:52
1.D
2.fine<RMB 10; 车位不够；离海边太远
3.小偷就是为了偷猫才去的；养猫的家比养狗的家有些特质，更吸引小偷，比如更有钱...; 猫不袭击人
作者: Sophie_Lee 时间: 2022-9-25 10:53
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago. D
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
（1）目标不能实现：在野外乱停的罚金少于10块钱，所以大部分人都把车停在野外
（2）方案会引起副作用：过高的罚款和停车费导致很多人都不愿意去beach旅游了，极大的削弱了beach的收入
（3）方案本身可操作性不大：开车去beach的人远远多于现有停车位，导致有很多车即使想停在停车位也停不下
3. 猫猫会招贼
有猫的人家里都没有狗，没有猫的人家里都有狗。
作者: Jimii 时间: 2022-9-25 10:54
Mark一下！
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-9-25 10:55
看一下！
作者: 一只小白 时间: 2022-9-25 10:58
Mark一下！
作者: Jimii 时间: 2022-9-25 11:06
Mark一下！
作者: 一只小白 时间: 2022-9-25 11:08
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
选D
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
停车场太小了，容纳不下大多数的车辆；来的车太多了，装不下；停车费劲，罚钱的数额只比停车费高一点点；
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
猫的缺点：猫这个胳膊肘往外拐的看到陌生人会把他引到家里有财物的地方还不出声；猫会迷惑主人，让主人误以为家里没进贼，从而使主人更放松警惕；
作者: anduyin 时间: 2022-9-25 11:14
1.答案D
解析：后人会继承前人的，所以农业文化不是玛雅的，是玛雅继承前人的，这意味着无法通过农业定位玛雅时间
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
目的：避免停车
Plan：搞个停车场，交10元停一天，乱停就罚钱
答案方向：乱停的诱惑比停车场还大
答案：罚钱额度小于10元。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
P：狗会叫，所以贼不来。猫不会叫但是贼会害怕
异常：去有猫猫家里的贼比没有的多
方向：猫猫有什么特殊点会吸引贼
原因：有猫猫的主人认为不会有贼，所以家里的安保措施减弱了，而没有猫猫的家里安保措施很好
作者: 白白有点黑 时间: 2022-9-25 11:15
同意！
作者: Pc700 时间: 2022-9-25 11:19
同意！
作者: 白白有点黑 时间: 2022-9-25 11:31
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
——p：玛雅人三千年前定居于A；4500前的文物像是他们的
——推理：可能历史不止3000年
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
——p：发现了4500年前的东西，这些东西类似于玛雅石器，且和其他文明用的不像
——c：玛雅人4500年前就在这定居了
——key：D
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
——目的：开车去沙滩的人乱停车，
——方案：所有人去停车场交10元停车，否则罚钱
——思路：方案可行吗？方案有无副作用？方案能否达到目标？
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
——p：贼会害怕猫，不进有猫的家偷
——c：小偷去有猫的家多
——解释：调查的权威性？不知道有小猫？养猫的一般不养狗？
作者: lastchance2010 时间: 2022-9-25 11:34
你好 我已经申请参加揽瓜阁阅读。谢谢批准
作者: 洋阳羊 时间: 2022-9-25 11:36
Day6
1.D
2.停车场的车位数量不足以满足开车去beach的人的停车需求。
3.人们认为养猫的家庭一般不会养狗，而且猫不会示警更利于小偷
作者: Shell_liang 时间: 2022-9-25 11:47
1. implement和玛雅文明相似=>C在4500年前一定会有玛雅人定居
削弱方向，找和玛雅文明不同的点，或者定居需要的条件没达到，证据不够充分
D
2. 方案推理，方案本身有缺陷，比如罚钱的数量小于停车的钱，就会导致更多人宁愿罚款也不会进停车场停车。
（方案可行性、可操作性、否定性副作用）
3. 猫不会叫-贼会害怕但还是会去
找他因，贼更倾向于去有猫的家里，猫不会示警
作者: 言言不吃盐 时间: 2022-9-25 12:57
同意！
作者: 言言不吃盐 时间: 2022-9-25 13:27
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument? D
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
CQ1：乱停车罚的钱少于交10元停在停车场，所以大家还会乱停车。（方案不可行）
CQ2：停车费和罚款高，人们不愿意去beach （方案副作用）
CQ3：停车位少，大多数人不得不乱停车（方案操作性差）
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
一般没有猫的家会有狗
作者: 去很多地方 时间: 2022-9-25 13:32
看一下！
作者: 去很多地方 时间: 2022-9-25 13:48
1.归纳：玛雅人仿照之前的文物风格进行创作
119-D
2.削弱：罚款小于十块，车位数量很少
3.猫叫不会引起主人注意
作者: 你板凳倒了 时间: 2022-9-25 14:04
同意！
作者: George_chen 时间: 2022-9-25 14:11
看一下！
作者: Dreambig13 时间: 2022-9-25 14:32
作者: George_chen 时间: 2022-9-25 14:36
1、P: C地发现了4500年前的石器，和后来玛雅文明用的石器很像，而且还和其他文明不一样
C: 玛雅人4500年前就生活在了C
gap: 有可能是玛雅人继承了前面的风格。 C
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
目标：不要乱停车，停停车场
措施：停车场收费10元，如果野外乱停就罚款
罚款的金额小于10元； 停车场不能容纳这么多车，不得不停外面
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有猫猫的家庭一般不会养狗
作者: 你板凳倒了 时间: 2022-9-25 15:19
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
【分析】D指出，后来的文化经常沿用前辈文化的农业工具。也就是暗示，玛雅人可能沿用了前辈非玛雅文化创造的工具。这样，发现的那个4500年前的工具就可能是前辈非玛雅文化创造的，只不过 后来 某个时段 被玛雅人直接捡起来遗物继承了。所以削弱了 “玛雅人4500年前就在Colha定居了”的结论。
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
【分析】方案题。乱停车要是罚的不到10块。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
【分析】解释题。有没有什么利益大于看见猫猫的这种害怕，比如有猫的家庭非常有钱，有猫的家庭一定没狗等等。
作者: zzz1. 时间: 2022-9-25 15:33
看一下！
作者: zzz1. 时间: 2022-9-25 15:48
1.玛雅人
F：玛雅人3000年前在A定居，发现4500年前的文物跟玛雅人物品很像，跟其他都不像
Q：infer
4500年前玛雅人可能来过A地
2.海边停车场
F：开车去海边的人喜欢乱停车，警察建停车场收费，违停罚款
C：乱停问题解决
Q：削弱
1）罚款金额比停车费便宜 2）停车位很少，没地方停的人会乱停 3）海边范围很广，很难找到乱停的车罚款
3.猫猫会招贼
F：小偷看到有狗就不会进去，因为狗会叫，猫不会但是小偷也害怕
调查：小偷进入的有猫的家比没有猫的多
Q：explain
1）现在养猫的人很多，很多家都有猫
作者: charming- 时间: 2022-9-25 16:52
Mark一下！
作者: hs999 时间: 2022-9-25 21:09
同意！
作者: DylanStrawberry 时间: 2022-9-25 21:13
看一下！
作者: hs999 时间: 2022-9-25 21:23
day6打卡
1、D
给出他因，4500年前工具出现的另一个原因，是玛雅人继承了之前当地人的工具，而这些人并不一定是玛雅人的祖先
2、方案的缺点：如停车场太远、不够大等；无法达到目的：罚金小于停车费
3、养猫的家里更有钱等原因导致小偷更愿意去；或者养猫的家庭很少养狗
作者: DylanStrawberry 时间: 2022-9-25 21:25
Day6
1.D
即证明4500年前的不是玛雅人，虽然他们的东西和玛雅人的一样，但其实是玛雅人学他们的，而反过来不能证明玛雅人这么早就生活在哪里。
2.比如有个当地人开辟了一片野地当停车场，只收取五元停车费；或者大家都不开车来了；或者停车很麻烦，还不如被罚款（罚款数不高且乱停罚款后也不会强行遣返
3.可能是养猫的人通常家里不关心安保措施；或者猫会破坏家里的防盗措施；养猫的人家里可能更富有or更受小偷欢迎；养猫的家里通常没有狗，而没猫的人家里一般会有狗
作者: Hazellto 时间: 2022-9-25 23:11
Mark一下！
作者: 小胖崔 时间: 2022-9-25 23:19
dd
作者: 盐盐小羊 时间: 2022-9-25 23:19
1.玛雅削弱-D
argument:3000年前是玛雅人，4500年前发现同样的工具，所以4500年前就是玛雅人。
削弱：同样工具不代表就是同样的文明
D：后来文明会承袭前者工具
2.
罚的钱小于10
偷偷乱停比较隐蔽不好找
3.
没有猫猫的家有可能有狗狗
作者: 花花嘛嘛 时间: 2022-9-26 06:09
1
作者: Muqierrrrr 时间: 2022-9-26 07:25
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayanpottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however,4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. Theseimplements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found atColha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from thedesigns of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabitedthe area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlementsin Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of thefollowing, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware isnot known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-datingof corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500years ago.
(C)Archaeologicalevidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha wereused to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas ofswampland for cultivation.
(D) Successorcultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements usedby earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religiousand social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years agorelied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
罚单没有停车场的钱多？
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有宠物的家庭相对富裕 能偷的钱多？
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-9-26 08:15
同意！
作者: 佛系A子在線讀書 时间: 2022-9-26 08:23
1.怎麼證明馬雅跟Colha文化無關
>>D
2.為什麼罰錢大家還是亂停車
(1)罰金比附近停車場便宜
(2)去海邊很貴，大家根本不care多出這10塊罰金
3.養貓依然進賊，why?
(1)養貓的人很少同時養狗，養狗就不養貓
(2)沒養寵物的人有安全疑慮，所以設很多監控在家裡，而養貓的以為安全，所以就不設監控
作者: Mertian 时间: 2022-9-26 09:24
1
作者: shirleyliu_46 时间: 2022-9-26 11:24
看一下！
作者: Ryyoo 时间: 2022-9-26 12:47
同意！
作者: 儂子 时间: 2022-9-26 15:19
Mark一下！
作者: lau9999 时间: 2022-9-26 15:42
看一下！
作者: 金小鹿 时间: 2022-9-26 16:05
看一下！
作者: lau9999 时间: 2022-9-26 16:06
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
可能是玛雅人把以前的东西一并搬过来了
-贸易往来、强盗掠夺、可能玛雅人早就过来了
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.使用了前人的东西，所以可能也有其他人会使用前人的石器，那就不能说是玛雅文明
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
停车场的车位很少，很容易停满
-涉及到钱的，可以考虑一下成本，可能停在里面的成本更高
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
-家里有猫猫的家里一般有钱的东西多
-有猫的家里没狗
作者: Hazellto 时间: 2022-9-26 19:28
打卡！
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-9-26 20:25
看一下！
作者: 曼特宁1213 时间: 2022-9-26 21:43
看一下！
作者: 曼特宁1213 时间: 2022-9-26 22:31
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
————————————
1⃣️罚单的威慑力相关：野外场地太大，罚单开不完/罚单金额不高
2⃣️有其他选项影响plan：停车场位置太少
3⃣️副作用：收费后没人去beach
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
——————————
猫不会叫，更有利/有猫家庭一般没有狗
这题要看选项，比较难猜。要找猫对小偷有利的地方
作者: 筱雅Jane510 时间: 2022-9-27 01:01
看一下！
作者: PennyWen95 时间: 2022-9-27 08:32
[揽瓜阁逻辑小分队] day6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
这意味着Mayan人只是采用和模仿了前人（-4500年以前的人）使用的工具，所以削弱了题目中说的Mayan人4500年就在colha了。可能是其他人先在那里的。
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
如果这个停车场距离目的地很远，那就不成功，因为还是不方便。如果人们乱停车只是1-3小时，然后就走了，可能不太容易被发现并罚款。再来，停车罚款的费用如果小于10元，那人们也会选择乱停车。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
养猫的人家里普遍更有钱。小偷不知道这些人家里有猫，只是碰巧去的这些家里猫多。同时没有猫也没有狗的人家很少，所以相对来说，去有猫的人家更多。
作者: dreamsista 时间: 2022-9-27 10:55
看看
作者: dreamsista 时间: 2022-9-27 11:00
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
d
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
罚款低于10，车位不够必须得乱停，车位地理位置太差，人们宁愿罚款
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有猫的很多家都会养狗。
作者: wannatechan 时间: 2022-9-27 11:45
Mark一下！
作者: wannatechan 时间: 2022-9-27 12:12
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
推论：3000年前的玛雅人可能是4500年前这个地方的后人
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
答案：D
果因式推理：
现象：C地方4500的implements和3000的Mayan pottery很像
结论：Mayan4500就出现在C这个地方了
猜测方向：找他因，比如可能是3000的M抄袭4500的设计风格
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
方案评估
方法：在停车场停车10元，在野外乱停就罚钱
目的：阻止人乱停车
猜测方向：为什么这个plan不work,可能野外太大，乱停车的人不会被警察发现
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
解释：小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
猜测方向：找为什么会去猫猫家的更多？可能猫不会叫或者为什么小偷去猫猫家的时候更容易被发现？
作者: 儂子 时间: 2022-9-28 18:54
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
D
答案
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
P: 警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱
C: 解決亂停車
Weaken: 警察不常巡邏亂停車？停車場空間supply<demand
【答案】
罚款小于等于 10 元
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
P小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕
C去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
【答案】
有猫的人家里没有狗狗
作者: kkkllll 时间: 2022-9-28 21:39
同意！
作者: kkkllll 时间: 2022-9-28 22:01
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument? D
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
大家宁愿不去beach了
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有钱人更倾向于买猫猫在家里
作者: 黑框旻 时间: 2022-9-30 16:49
Mark一下！
作者: 黑框旻 时间: 2022-9-30 22:08
1. D
2. Plan本身存在问题，无法达到目标：停车场的大小不足以容纳所有去沙滩游玩的车；
Plan造成其他副作用：周边所有的车都停过来/有地方停车鼓励大家开车出行，反而拥堵；
3. 猫本身不会叫，所以即使家里有猫，小偷在进去前也不知道。
作者: xkxkxkk 时间: 2022-10-1 13:17
看一下！
作者: xkxkxkk 时间: 2022-10-1 13:54
1. OG
P1：在C发现了玛雅人的陶器（3000）
P2：在C发现了石器（4500）
P3：这些石器与其他部落的不一样
C：C是玛雅人的settlement
weaken：
猜测：玛雅人只是路过C
选项：D？
2.方案评估
GOAL：不让人乱停
PLAN：建停车场，交钱；不然就罚钱
WEAKEN：罚的钱跟停车费差不多 （补充：太多车了，停车场停不下，还是会乱停）
3.现象解释
P1：狗会叫，所以贼不去
P2：猫不叫，但贼怕
现象：小偷去有猫猫家的次数>没猫猫家的次数
解释：养猫人家里富？（不太对） 没养猫人家有监控？
作者: 问题不大35 时间: 2022-10-1 23:12
同意！
作者: 芝麻芋圆 时间: 2022-10-3 16:25
Mark一下！
作者: 芝麻芋圆 时间: 2022-10-3 17:35
1. 推出来：历史可能不止3000年；D
2. 罚款低于10元 / 停车场太远不方便 / 停车场位置太少
3. 猫猫喜欢在角落躲着而且不爱叫唤，小偷进去之前不知道有猫猫
作者: WinnerWSW 时间: 2022-10-25 16:44
1.玛雅人的石器
答案：D
解析：
削弱题
在C地发现的玛雅陶器有3000年的历史。最近又在C地发现了有4500年历史的用作农业工具的石器，这些石器和之前在C地发现的玛雅人的石器很像，并且这些石器又和从前在C地居住的其他文明所使用的石器非常不同。所以，可以确定玛雅人在4500年前就在C地居住了。
A.陶器只是题干的背景信息，本题主要讨论的是石器证据，所以超出了讨论范畴，是无关选项。
B.只讨论了C地的农业开始的时间，无关选项。
C.讨论的是石器的用途，无关选项。
D.特定地点的文化的继承者通常会继续沿用之前居住在同一地点的居民所使用的农业用具的风格。表明这些有4500年历史的石器并不一定是玛雅人的，而很可能是之前在C地居住的其他文明的人们留下的，而之所以这些有着4500年历史的石器的风格与玛雅人的石器风格很像，是因为之前的文明的人离开后，玛雅人来到C地，并且玛雅人依照前人留下的石器，模仿前人的石器风格制作了自己的石器。
E.很多3000年前在C地居住的玛雅人的宗教和社会机构依赖于高度发达的农业系统。无关选项。
2.海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就罚款，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work？
解析：
①罚款的金额可能要少于停车费，所以人们宁可乱停也不会去停车场。
②停车收费削弱了人们来海边的积极性，游客变少使得停车场的停车费收入小于对停车场的管理成本，导致入不敷出，停车场无法维持下去。
③停车位的供给远远小于需求，导致很多车辆无法进入停车场，只能被迫在外面乱停乱放。
3.猫咪会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会intrude，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用，但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因。
解析：
①养猫的人家占总人家的比例大于小偷去过的有猫的人家占小偷去过的总人家的比例。例如，养猫的人家占总人家的2/3，但是小偷去过的有猫的人家只占小偷去过的总人家的1/2，那么小偷去的有猫的家里比没有猫的家多就非常正常。并且，猫喜欢躲在角落，也不像狗一样会大声嚎叫，所以小偷进门之前不知道家里有猫，也就是说，养猫并不会对小偷是否偷窃产生影响。
②有闲钱养猫的人家通常被认为较富裕，更容易被小偷盯上，所以小偷更喜欢光顾养猫的人家，因为收获大。
③养猫的人家以为小偷看到猫就会感到害怕，自认为小偷不敢进门，所以对家庭的安全措施（例如，防盗门，监控器等）更为疏忽，让小偷容易得手。
作者: ZZhiyan 时间: 2022-10-30 10:07
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
P：发现了早于3000年前的类似玛雅人文物，跟其他文物不像
C：因此能确定玛雅是在4500年前settlements
答案：D
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
P：为了应付海边乱停车，警察建了一个停车场，缴费10停一天
C：不然野外乱停就罚钱，这个计划能应付海边乱停车
答案：罚钱不能解决乱停车问题--罚钱比停车费少
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
答案：因为有猫家里更有钱/有猫的家里没有狗
作者: Sharonnnhai 时间: 2022-10-31 08:53
1. D
2. 1）停车场小，停不下 2）去beach玩的人有钱不在乎罚钱。罚钱太少
3. 养猫的家庭通常比没养猫的家富裕。
作者: CCCandice 时间: 2022-10-31 21:30
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么 玛雅人的settle时间可能更早？
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument? A
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
乱停车的人不在乎这10块钱。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
没有猫猫的家里有别的东西（比如监控）会比猫猫带来的震慑作用更大。
作者: Severus. 时间: 2022-11-9 15:39
1.P1:玛雅人3000年前settle在A
P2:发现4500年前的东西跟玛雅很像跟别的文化不像
C:玛雅是4500年前的
gap:有一种跟玛雅像的文化是4500年前的
D 玛雅继承了同一地方前人的农业文化
2.P1：人乱停车
P2：建停车场交钱停车，乱停的罚钱
gap：罚金小于10块，车位不够
3.P：小偷看到狗不敢进，猫没用但贼也害怕
c：小偷去的有猫家比没猫家多
gap：没猫家养狗比较多
作者: NWUZS 时间: 2022-11-18 11:53
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago. D
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
（1）目标不能实现：在野外乱停的罚金少于10块钱，所以大部分人都把车停在野外
（2）方案会引起副作用：过高的罚款和停车费导致很多人都不愿意去beach旅游了，极大的削弱了beach的收入
（3）方案本身可操作性不大：开车去beach的人远远多于现有停车位，导致有很多车即使想停在停车位也停不下
3. 猫猫会招贼
有猫的人家里都没有狗，没有猫的人家里都有狗。
作者: CHENOlivia 时间: 2022-11-29 14:50
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
D
最早的Mayan pottery3000年前。但最近发现了4500年前的implements。这些implements和Mayan的很像，2而和别的cultures不同。所以得出结论Mayan 4500年前。
问削弱。
因：和Mayan像而和别的不像。
果：是Mayan
A不涉及因果
B不涉及因果
C不涉及因果
D涉及因果，可能是继承Mayan但是不是Mayan的。选这个
E不涉及因果
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
方案题
1.质疑有效性。无法知道哪些是乱停的。
2.质疑可行性。停车场远，还是会乱停。或者罚款低于10元。
3.副作用。吸引更多人来，更加停不下，乱停。
4.冲突目标。影响了beach的吸引力。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
养猫的人家更加有钱。或者养猫的人家以为小偷会害怕，所以不锁门。
作者: kirsiii 时间: 2022-12-3 16:28
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
P：最早的玛雅pottery是在3000年前。但是最近发现一个4500年年前的农业工具和玛雅的很像，和这里其他的文明不一样
C：4500年前这里就有玛雅文化了
1. 玛雅学的别人的，这个才是这个农业工具的主人
2. 那个文明你还没发现
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
1. 罚钱的金额比较低
2. 停车场可能不够停
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
按理说：猫猫让贼会害怕
但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
可能有猫猫的家住的层比较低（反正就是养猫猫的家有更招贼的特征）
作者: 断了的弦 时间: 2022-12-4 19:28
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayanpottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however,4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. Theseimplements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found atColha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from thedesigns of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabitedthe area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlementsin Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of thefollowing, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware isnot known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-datingof corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500years ago.
(C)Archaeologicalevidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha wereused to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas ofswampland for cultivation.
(D) Successorcultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements usedby earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religiousand social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years agorelied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
罚单没有停车场的钱多？
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
有宠物的家庭相对富裕 能偷的钱多？
作者: PBkk 时间: 2022-12-7 23:10
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
C： there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago
Support：
- 原理：设计不一样，而源自一样的地方是有同样的设计的，因此来自不同地方。
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
P：乱停车罚钱
C：阻止乱停车
weaken：
- 可行性：罚钱比交钱少；可操作性：没有足够的人手来罚款；副作用：因为挤不进去停车位而导致更多乱停车。
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
C：调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多；
Support：
- 原理：猫的存在让小偷更容易偷
作者: 顾周i 时间: 2023-2-23 14:08
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
P：在玛雅发现了陶器；在C地发现的陶器和玛雅的很相似
C：玛雅人之前住在C地
巧合性因果关系，但是时间有先后不能因果倒置
无因无果——D
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
让plan不有效——不削弱plan，而削弱效果
方案题：
目的：不许乱停车
措施：收费停车场
结果：还是乱停车
猜测：
罚款的钱比停车的钱还便宜【还不如交罚款呢】
停车场的容量不足，还是有车会乱停
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
解释题补gap：
猫不像狗一样会叫，吓唬贼不敢进来
但是贼爱去有猫的家而不是没猫的家！
猜测：有猫的家更有钱？没猫的家没钱（还偷个啥）
作者: Cocoboyxx 时间: 2023-5-3 12:01
1. 玛雅人
有个玛雅人的考古题 说已知玛雅人是3000年前settle在A地方的 但是后来发现了4500年前的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，而且跟其他的文物都不像。问能推出来什么
变体确定OG13第119，问的是support，就是选第一个讲其他的部落的东西和这个一点不一样。
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
F：最早在Colha发掘的玛雅瓷器是3000年前的
P：又发掘了4500年前的石头，这些石头很像后来玛雅人用的，而且这些设计与其他文明类似的工具设计不同
C：因此玛雅人4500年前定居在Colha
Q：问削弱
思路：断开4500年前工具与玛雅人定居的联系
方向：4500年前的工具可能是玛雅人后面带来的
选项：A，玛雅人没有用瓷器来做农具，关系不大；B，碳检测技术发现农耕在4500年前就开始了；C，考古证据表明有些古老的器具是用来切蔬菜的，关系不大；D，某一遗址的后续文化通常会采用同一遗址早期居民使用的工具，降低了玛雅人居住在这里的可能性，正确；E，玛雅人依赖什么无关；
【逻辑思路】F：（已知）玛雅人3000年前settle在A地
（新增发现）4500年的文物 跟玛雅人的物品很像，跟其他文物都不像
思路：玛雅人4500年前已经来过A地，或与当时A地的本土人有贸易往来，或A地海盗4500年前到过玛雅人当时的栖息地
【备选答案】已知信息玛雅人3000年前settle在A地可能不够准确，玛雅人很可能比这更早来过这里（缺少信息，不能推出确凿结论，见考古）
2.海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就罚钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
F：开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车
目标：好好停车
手段：警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就罚钱
Q：问削弱
思路：方案可行性；方案的否定性副作用；冲突目标；方案的可接受性
方向：停车场距离目的地太远，罚的钱比中途所花的路费还少
【逻辑思路】F：在海滩，人们喜欢乱停车
P：？
C：警察：建停车场10块钱停一天，乱停车就罚款
Q：评价
思路：乱停车的成本（罚款）和乖乖停车的成本哪个大
作者假设：人们乖乖停车的成本小于罚款的成本，人们就遵从警察的方案，反之亦反；
方向：考场上选停车成本与罚款成本有可比性的选项
【备选答案】罚款小于等于10元
3.猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
F：小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤
P：猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕
C：但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多
Q：问原因
思路：关联有猫的家与小偷偷盗
方向：有猫之家的家庭更加富裕，容易被小偷盯上
【逻辑思路】F：狗会叫唤→家有狗狗，小偷不进
小偷也怕猫
P：?
C：调查显示：小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫的家多
思路：贼害怕家里有猫的后果不如家里有猫的诱惑大（比如家里有猫的人家里财物比较多）；贼害怕猫的程度不如害怕狗的大
作者假设：利诱；两害（怕）取其轻
方向：考场上选即使有猫，对贼而言相对弊小或利多的选项
【备选答案】有猫的人家里没有狗狗
作者: Turv_vc 时间: 2023-8-9 10:28
1. P：玛雅人的东西在C 这个地方被发现大概3000年-4500年历史的时期农耕时代的物品在C 出土-这些物品很像玛雅人在C发现的之后很多年的年代的物品并且这些物品和在这个地区的其他文化的物品都不像。
C：所以这些确实是玛雅人在4500年前的在该地方的东西
Weaken：D
2. 罚钱的钱不足10块钱或者停车场根本没就容纳不下那么多游客的车辆
3. 猫猫相较于狗来说比较安静，小偷一般察觉不到家里有猫的存在
作者: Kacerlotte 时间: 2023-9-7 08:59
进阁打卡-逻辑NO.1
Day 6
1. 玛雅人
OG13 CR-119
The earliest Mayan pottery found at Colha, in Belize, is about 3,000 years old. Recently, however, 4,500-year-old stone agricultural implements were unearthed at Colha. These implements resemble Mayan stone implements of a much later period, also found at Colha. Moreover, the implements’ designs are strikingly different from the designs of stone implements produced by other cultures known to have inhabited the area in prehistoric times. Therefore, there were surely Mayan settlements in Colha 4,500 years ago.
Which of the following, if true, most seriously weaken the argument?
(A) Ceramic ware is not known to have been used by the Mayan people to make agricultural implements.
(B) Carbon-dating of corn pollen in Colha indicates that agriculture began there around 4,500 years ago.
(C)Archaeological evidence indicates that some of the oldest stone implements found at Colha were used to cut away vegetation after controlled burning of trees to open areas of swampland for cultivation.
(D) Successor cultures at a given site often adopt the style of agricultural implements used by earlier inhabitants of the same site.
(E)Many religious and social institution of the Mayan people who inhabited Colha 3,000 years ago relied on a highly developed system of agricultural symbols.
推理模式：因果（削弱方向：因果无关/因本身不成立）
逻辑链：4500年石器像玛雅不不像其他-->这是玛雅的石器-->所以玛雅4500年前就在了
答案：D
2. 海边停车场
开车去beach的人喜欢乱停车，警察叔叔建了一个停车场，都乖乖交10块钱停一天，否则野外乱停就发钱，问哪个选项会让这个plan不work。
推理模式：方案型（削弱方向：方案不可行/方案无效/方案副作用）
逻辑链：为解决乱停车，计划建停车场&罚钱
答案：答案一定会涉及计划的内容，比如停车场太小装不下所有来车
3. 猫猫会招贼
小偷看到有狗狗的家就不会进来intruder，因为狗会叫唤。猫猫没有用但是贼也会害怕，但是调查显示小偷去的有猫猫的家里也比没有猫猫的家多，解释原因
解释题：贼也怕猫-->但是因为“答案”-->去有猫家大于去无猫家
答案：1. 家里无猫但可能有狗 2. 有猫家有钱（收益>风险）
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