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标题: 揽瓜阁逻辑做题小分队Day124 [打印本页]

作者: 小白斩鸡 时间: 2021-9-29 20:21
标题: 揽瓜阁逻辑做题小分队Day124
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The Acme Corporation plans to improve productivity by giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections. But some of the corporation's managers claim that many employees play games over the Internet at work, and conclude from this claim that the plan will be counterproductive.

Assuming that the managers' claim is correct, which of the following would, if true, most strongly support the prediction that the Acme Corporation's plan will succeed?

(A) The Acme Corporation has a written policy forbidding staff from playing computer games at work.

(B) None of the managers at Acme Corporation play games over, the Internet at work.

(C) At most corporations, there is no correlation between the amount of time employees spend playing computer games and the power of their computers or speed of their Internet connections.

(D) Few if any employees at Acme Corporation have duties that could be performed more efficiently with more-powerful computers or faster Internet connections.

(E) Managers at Acme Corporation have observed that those employees with the more-powerful computers arid fast Internet connections spend a significant amount of time playing computer games.

Last year Cidney Co, a manufacturer of carousel horses, sold 1000 horses, while Horsan-Works, the only other manufacturer, sold 2000. However, in January this year, Cidney Co launched a new model, and by the end of March, it had already received orders for 1000 horses of the new type alone. Given that the total demand for carousel horses is unlikely to increase, Carousel-Work is bound to sell fewer horses this year than it did last year.

Which of the following, if true, more seriously weakens the argument?

A The prices of carousel horses are likely to rise this year.

B In order to recover the costs of developing the new model, Cidney Co needs to sell 2000 horses of that type.

C The average size of carousels has been steadily increasing.

D In the past decade as a whole, Cidney Co sold more horses than Horsan-Works.

E Cidney Co’s production capacity is limited to 1000 horses annually and cannot be increased before the end of this year.

参考答案：[hide=d30]CE[/hide]

作者: yjjy3712 时间: 2021-9-29 21:23
cc

作者: 皖子lin 时间: 2021-9-29 23:09
AE
根据Ron，找到每道题的issue

1.issue：工作时间玩游戏是否会影响效率？
（因为假设经理说的是对的）
2.
前提：需求总量不变（市场一共两公司）
issue：CC公司的一种新类型提升销量，是否会导致CR公司销量减少？
看选项前已经发现的逻辑漏洞之一：CC公司的其他类型是否保持不变，或减少幅度小于新类型的增加幅度

作者: miemie_yang 时间: 2021-9-30 19:25
1.C手段目的型的假设题
Plan: by giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections
Goal: improve productivity
但这里有个gap就是提升了网速的高性能电脑会让员工打游戏从而降低productivity，C选项取反后这个方案就实现不了他的目标了
2.E
削弱题
要想削弱Carousel-Work is bound to sell fewer horses this year than it did last year，除非Cidney Co只能卖1000台

作者: katla 时间: 2021-9-30 20:44
1.某公司计划提供电脑&网络来提高效率，但经理认为很多人会因此上班摸鱼，这将反而降低工作效率。
答案：C，该选项取反之后将会削弱该计划，降低效率便无法实现目标了。

2.去年某公司卖了1000架旋转木马，对手卖了2000个。今年新款旋转木马已经收获了1000个订单，假设总需求不增加，今年这家公司一定会比去年卖出更少的旋转木马。
答案：E，若CC的产能只有1k，对手公司将至少和去年的销量持平。

作者: 大月亮cyn 时间: 2021-9-30 20:55
AC给员工更牛的电脑和网络来提高productivity
但是有些经理认为员工会用来玩游戏，所以这个计划是不可行的
问增强AC的计划可以成功就是用电脑能提高效率 C
A AC有一个规定是不让员工在工作的时候玩游戏？就算有规定员工也可能偷偷玩
B 没有一个经理用网络玩游戏无关关注点是员工
C 在most企业里，员工玩游戏的时间和电脑强度/网络速度没有联系那既然没有联系可行削弱
D 没有员工的工作和电脑有关有这个plan也无法提高生产率
E 经理发现有好电脑的人玩游戏多削弱计划无法成功

C去年买了1000CH； H W卖了2000 今年1月C发了一个新的model，三月底已经卖了1000。
假设总需求不会增长，今年C-W可能是HW？会比去年卖的少问削弱 E
A 今年价格会上涨无关
B 为了recover成本 C需要卖2000 无关
C Size out of scope
D 过去整个十年 C卖的多那CW今年比去年如何无法得出
E C的最高产量就是1000 无法再增产所以CW还是可以卖的2000 因为需求摆在那里

作者: Erebuslee 时间: 2021-9-30 21:04
（1）C
      p1 A公司计划通过给员工配备更高新能的电脑来提高生产力
      p2 但是一些管理者表示很多员工会在工作时候玩游戏
      c 因此这个计划不会提高公司生产力
      p2正确，问支持p1正确的选项——解决矛盾

      A 有监督机制——正确
      B 管理者干啥了——无关选项
      C 对大多数公司来说。。。——题目讲的是A公司——无关选项
      D 如果A公司员工有责任会用电脑表现的更加高效——还是没说明白为啥会提高生产力
      E 管理者看见很多员工用高速网冲浪——削弱了plan

（2）E
      p1 去年C卖了1000匹马，H卖了2000
      p2 今年C推出新model，到3月底，已经接到1000订单，且由于总需求不增加
      c H今年会比去年卖出的马少
      问削弱

      E C的生产能力定死了，所以即使销量好也不能生产出更多——H销量不受影响

作者: fromw 时间: 2021-9-30 23:46
CE

作者: fromw 时间: 2021-9-30 23:55
提个疑问，这个Carousel-Work是哪来的？是个公司吗？但是题目不是只给了两个公司，一个Cidney Co, 一个Horsan-Works？

作者: CaryX 时间: 2021-10-1 21:43
感谢分享！

作者: waitingsong 时间: 2021-10-2 15:03
C 题目说在manager所说的是正确的前提下哪个可以support更换了电脑生产力会提升的预测。 managere说的是人们在用电脑的时候会打游戏，但是并没有说打游戏和电脑速度升级之后的关联 C表示无关联那么人们不见得会因为换了电脑而打更多的游戏啊

作者: r_o_s_e 时间: 2021-10-3 15:30
15 C 03:03 因果无关
16 D 02:37 数学问题/quantity减少？

作者: 断了的弦 时间: 2021-10-6 11:42
CB

作者: 清影嘿嘿 时间: 2021-10-23 17:32
day124

作者: zyycn 时间: 2021-10-29 09:42
1、升级网速更快的电脑，会让很多上班玩游戏的员工工作效率降低。
问weaken
思考：因果论证，考虑削弱因果联系或他因削弱

A：有书面规定员工上班不能玩游戏。反驳前提，前提已经说了很多员工上班玩游戏，不管是否有规定。
B：没有经理上班玩游戏。经理玩不玩与员工玩不玩游戏无关。
C：员工玩游戏的时间与电脑性能和网速快慢无关。正确，削弱因果联系，升级更快的电脑不会让员工多玩游戏。
D：没有员工的工作在更好更快的电脑下可以提升效率。方向反了。
E：经理发现很多有更好电脑的员工玩游戏时间也很多。方向反了。

选C

2、A今年3月就预售了1000台，整体需求量不变，所以B今年销量会降低。
问weaken
思考：因果论证，考虑削弱因果联系或他因削弱

A:价格今年会上涨。无关。
B:为了弥补成本，A今年得卖2000台。方向反了。
C:产品的体积在增大。无关。
D:过去10年，A卖的比B多。无关。
E:A公司当年的产能就只有1000。正确，那B销量还是会保持2000。

选E

作者: svwma 时间: 2021-11-7 00:18
CE

作者: Dora晴 时间: 2021-11-29 16:45
The Acme Corporation plans to improve productivity by giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections. But some of the corporation's managers claim that many employees play games over the Internet at work, and conclude from this claim that the plan will be counterproductive.
Assuming that the managers' claim is correct, which of the following would, if true, most strongly support the prediction that the Acme Corporation's plan will succeed?
(A) The Acme Corporation has a written policy forbidding staff from playing computer games at work.(manager claim还是说会有人打游戏)
(B) None of the managers at Acme Corporation play games over, the Internet at work.（无关）
(C) At most corporations, there is no correlation between the amount of time employees spend playing computer games and the power of their computers or speed of their Internet connections.（否定的话就不一定能成功）
(D) Few if any employees at Acme Corporation have duties that could be performed more efficiently with more-powerful computers or faster Internet connections.（无关）
(E) Managers at Acme Corporation have observed that those employees with the more-powerful computers arid fast Internet connections spend a significant amount of time playing computer games.（反）

C

作者: T7willG700 时间: 2022-10-15 22:48
The Acme Corporation plans to improve productivity by giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections. But some of the corporation's managers claim that many employees play games over the Internet at work, and conclude from this claim that the plan will be counterproductive.
Assuming that the managers' claim is correct, which of the following would, if true, most strongly support the prediction that the Acme Corporation's plan will succeed?

(A) The Acme Corporation has a written policy forbidding staff from playing computer games at work.
(B) None of the managers at Acme Corporation play games over, the Internet at work.
(C) At most corporations, there is no correlation between the amount of time employees spend playing computer games and the power of their computers or speed of their Internet connections.
(D) Few if any employees at Acme Corporation have duties that could be performed more efficiently with more-powerful computers or faster Internet connections.
(E) Managers at Acme Corporation have observed that those employees with the more-powerful computers arid fast Internet connections spend a significant amount of time playing computer games.

题型：support
————————————————————————

逻辑链
————————————————————————
Plan
giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections.
Goal
improve productivity
Our task
在不反驳“many employees play games over the Internet at work“ 的前提下
support the prediction that the Acme Corporation's plan will succeed instead be counterproductive.
————————————————————————
OA
At most corporations, there is no correlation between the amount of time employees spend playing computer games and the power of their computers or speed of their Internet connections.

当时为什么没选，难点：shell game
已经说了our task is to assuming that the managers' claim that many employees play games over the Internet at work is correct
这选项不是反前提吗

错因
不是同一个东西！！

解析
我们的plan是giving staff more-powerful computers with faster Internet connections to improve productivity
Managers说的是many employees play games over the Internet at work, and conclude from this claim that the plan will be counterproductive.
这两个不是一个东西，也不一定存在因果关系
电脑好≠上班时间玩游戏

如果想加强Managers的观点，可以说调查发现电脑越好网越好 ——>大家越会上班时间玩游戏
这里让我们增强plan会成功
————————————————————————
Takeaway：need to read VERY VERY VERY LITERALLY & CAREFULLY

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