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标题: 求解一道逻辑题 [打印本页]

作者: bni 时间: 2018-9-29 15:23
标题: 求解一道逻辑题

The recent decline in the value of the dollar was triggered by a prediction of slower economic growth in the coming year. But that prediction would not have adversely affected the dollar had it not been for the government's huge budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.

Which of the following, if true, would most seriously weaken the conclusion about how to prevent future currency declines?

A

The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.
B

The budget deficit has not caused a slowdown in economic growth.
C

The value of the dollar declined several times in the year prior to the recent prediction of slower economic growth.
D

Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value.
E

When there is a large budget deficit, other events in addition to predictions of slower economic growth sometimes trigger declines in currency value.

请问这道A选项为什么不对？政府没有试图减少budget deficit，那不等于就不能prevent future currency declines了？求纠正一下思路，谢谢！

作者: jathery 时间: 2018-9-30 23:30
HERE IS MY THOUGHT

P1: PREDICTION CAUSES DEVALUATION
P2: BUDGET DEFICIT ADVERSELY IMPACT THE PREDICTION
C: BUDGET DEFICIT CAUSES DEVALUATION (budget deficit must be decreased to prevent future currency declines)

HOW TO WEAKEN? >>>ATTACK THE CONCLUSION!
>>>BUDGET DEFICIT WILL NOT CAUSE DEVALUATION.

D
Before there was a large budget deficit, predictions of slower economic growth frequently caused declines in the dollar's value.

ANSWER D IS CORRECT. D CLEARLY POINT OUT THAT DOLLAR DEVALUATION IS NOT CAUSED BY BUDGET DEFICIT BUT BY PREDICTION.

A
The government has made little attempt to reduce the budget deficit.

ANSWER A IS COMPLETELY IRRELEVANT AS "GOVERNMENT'S ATTEMPT" HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH ATTACKING THE CONCLUSION ITSELF, RATHER, IT IMPLIES THAT THE BUDGET DEFICIT INDEED CAUSE DEVALUATION.

作者: kluivert 时间: 2018-10-1 00:48
D 在未有巨大赤资前，经济缓慢增长的预测会经常性的导致美元贬值
而措施budget deficit, which must therefore be decreased to prevent future currency declines.就不会有效了
意味着即便把赤资降低，经济缓慢增长的预测还是会经常性的导致美元贬值。。。措施无效

A选项，举个例子

老师：学生们连家庭作业都不完成。为了杜绝这样的事情再发生，家长们应该监督学生做家庭作业。
问削弱.......
选项：家长一直以来从不监督孩子做家庭作业

作者: bni 时间: 2018-10-1 21:31

kluivert 发表于 2018-10-1 00:48
D 在未有巨大赤资前，经济缓慢增长的预测会经常性的导致美元贬值
而措施budget deficit, which must theref ...

Mark一下！

作者: irissunflower 时间: 2018-10-1 22:48
楼上两位大神都说得很具体了，我补充一下我的观点。
这道题是削弱类型中的原因论证题，读完题后预判他因削弱/有果无因/有因无果/因果倒置等削弱方向。
D选项是从有果无因的角度给出解释。

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