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标题: 求问一道逻辑题 [打印本页]

作者: chasedream0822    时间: 2016-12-12 21:10
标题: 求问一道逻辑题
A shortage of orders for Manto Aircraft's airliners has led analysts to predict that the manufacturer will have to lay workers ,the new order that consolidated airlines has just made for 20 of Manto's model TX jets does not provide a reason for the analysts to revise their predictions ,because simultaneously with its new order , consolidated canceled its existing order for an equal number of manto's larger, more expensive model Z jets
Which of the following ,if true, most seriously weakens the argument?
A.Manto relies more heavily on outside subcontractors to provide the labor to manufacture the Model Z than it does the Model TX
B.The Manto employees who currently work to manufacture the model Z are Not proficient at manufacturing the model TX  
C.Manto includes all required maintenance work for the first five years in the price of each jet it sells .  
D.Manto has had to lay off workers several times within the past ten years but has typically rehired many of the workers when it subsequently received new orders  
E.A large number of the airliners in consolidated is fleet are at the beginning of their expected service life.   


正确答案是A,可是楼主怎么也想不清楚其中的逻辑链,求大神解答~~~感谢!



作者: alzn2765    时间: 2016-12-12 21:36
model Z卖的虽然便宜,但是生产model Z跟model TX相比,需要更多的依靠Manto自己的工人。所以削弱了analyst说的Manto会裁员的预测。
作者: 幻北    时间: 2016-12-15 10:36
背景:公司缺少订单,没钱,要裁人,这时,来及时雨了,但是“砖家”认为及时雨无法避免裁人。他说:
因:虽然拿来了20架TX型订单,但是相应的取消了20架Z型订单而Z型更贵更大哎(潜意思说更大的飞机用更多的人)。果:还是得裁人。
读完题目,我想到的从削弱角度有三个点可用,一是公司需要1亿,TX可以帮助赚1.5亿,虽然Z可以赚3亿,但是1.5亿够了哎;二是Z型可能只需要一些工人而不是全上阵,所以就算拿到了Z型订单,还是要裁人啊。这两种种思维是切断因果。三是TX型要全部工人上阵,这就从客观条件上要求公司没法裁人。这种思维是导致“果”出不来。
正确答案,是选择了第二种——Z型主要依靠外包商来做,相当于说Z型飞机只需要用一点点自己公司的人,所以就算接到了订单,公司还是得裁人。所以公司接受了TX订单到底会不会裁人我们不知道,但是“砖家“从没有了Z型订单的角度来推论,就是错的。
逻辑不是让我们单单做“方程式”——以能不能出现我们想要的结果为目标。还需要看过程对不对,甚至更重要的是看过程——就像我们考数学时,过程对了答案错了可能就扣两分,过程错了答案对了可能就给两分(我哪知道你是不是抄的!!!)哈哈哈哈哈哈~~~~~




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