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标题: OG17一道CR题的分类疑惑 [打印本页]
作者: bonbonjon 时间: 2016-8-18 21:39
标题: OG17一道CR题的分类疑惑
在做OG17的时候遇到这样一个问题，对问题的归类有点疑惑。根据helr神的分类，我感觉这个像是果因模式，但是实际上是因果模式，有点想不通为什么，请NN们解答~
附上题目
Candle Corporation's television stations are likely to have more income from advertisers than previously. This is because advertisers prefer to reach people in the 18- to 49-year-old age group and the number of people in that group watching Candle television is increasing. Furthermore, among Candle viewers,the percentage of viewers 18 to 49 years old is increasing.
Which of the following, if true, would most strengthen the argument that Candle Corporation will receive more income from advertisers?
A.Advertisers carefully monitor the demographic characteristics of television audiences and purchase advertising time to reach the audiences they prefer to reach.
B.Among people over 49 years old, fewer viewers of Candle stations buy products advertised on television than do viewers of other stations.
C.There will be increasingly more advertisements on television that are directed at viewers who are over 49 years old.
D.Candle stations plan to show reruns of television shows during hours when other stations run shows for the first time.
E.People 18 to 49 years old generally have less disposable income to spend than do people over 49 years old.
作者: steven 时间: 2016-8-18 22:56
因为广告商喜欢18-49，人群比重增加，所以蜡烛要赚钱了。这样才是一个正常的关系。
如果是果因，你认为的关系是什么呢？
作者: bonbonjon 时间: 2016-8-19 20:44
有一点点明白了……
果因的话，我当时想的是第一句呈现出来的是一个结果，后面叙述的是原因，有点像果因……
作者: steven 时间: 2016-8-19 21:49
果因大概就是根据现象推测其后面的本质原因。比如因为我流鼻涕、打喷嚏，所以我感冒了。
表面上看因为的是一些现象，所以的是一个推断。但背后的逻辑其实是：因为我感冒了，所以引起了我流鼻涕打喷嚏。这种推理现实生活中有很多，如果还不理解，可以去看几集名侦探柯南。。。
这种推理，有两个评估方向：
一种是有没有其他因素导致现象？比如，上面的那个例子，医生跟我说：过敏也会打喷嚏流鼻涕，你这不一定是感冒。这就削弱了我的推理。
另一种是这两件事真的有关系么？比如，医生说，别闹，感冒不打喷嚏。这页削弱我的推理。
恭喜，CR部分6个推理形式，我觉得，你应该已经学会一个了！
区别一下因果推理：
如果情况是：啊，我感冒了，我应该马上就会出现流鼻涕、打喷嚏的症状了。 这就是因果推理。其实就是前后互换一下。
作者: bonbonjon 时间: 2016-8-20 10:55
非常感谢~彻底弄明白啦~
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