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标题: 请教一道逻辑题 [打印本页]

作者: 阿霖    时间: 2016-7-23 17:11
标题: 请教一道逻辑题
Reviewing historical data, medical researchers in California found that counties with the largest number of television sets per capita have had the lowest incidence of a serious brain disease, mosquito-borne encephalitis. The researchers have concluded that people in these counties stay indoors more and thus avoid exposure to the disease.
The researchers’ conclusion would be most strengthened if which of the following were true?
A.Programs designed to control the size of disease-bearing mosquito populations have not affected the incidence of mosquito borne encephalitis.
B.The occupations of county residents affect their risk of exposure to mosquito-borne encephalitis more than does television-watching.
C.The incidence of mosquito-borne encephalitis in counties with the largest number of television sets per capita is likely to decrease even further.
D.The more time people in a county spend outdoors, the greater their awareness of the dangers of mosquito-borne encephalitis.
E.The more television sets there are per capita in a county, the more time the average county resident spends watching television.

正确答案是E,但我不知道选项A为什么是错的?
结论是people in these counties stay indoors more and thus avoid exposure to the disease.A选项说电视节目不影响疾病的发生率似乎也可以strengthen?
如果是因为电视节目影响疾病发生率,而不是stay indoors的话,结论里thus后面的部分就不成立了。


作者: elusive    时间: 2016-7-24 04:15
简化:
因为:平均每人拥有电视的数量多的国家E病的数量少
所以:那些国家的人肯定都倾向呆在家里看电视而不是到外面去乱转
注意这里有一个隐含假设,那就是,人得真的在家看电视才行;如果不看电视,就算电视多,那么人就出去乱转,被蚊子咬了长E病。
这个隐含假设就是作者的思维方式,只有在这个思维方式下,才能证明出电视数量多才导致了E病少。
如果知道了作者的思维方式,那就找到了隐含假设,正确答案就很容易看出了。
如果你没有看出作者的思维方式而是用自己的思维方式思考,那正确答案很难看出。

A:说了一个消灭蚊子的行动,题外话这个和看不看电视没有关系

作者: 阿霖    时间: 2016-7-24 09:01
elusive 发表于 2016-7-24 04:15
简化:
因为:平均每人拥有电视的数量多的国家E病的数量少
所以:那些国家的人肯定都倾向呆在家里看电视而 ...

懂了,感谢大神!!!!
作者: AMBER513    时间: 2019-8-19 11:46
program这里不是电视节目的意思




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