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标题: 想了半个小时也没法说服自己B就是正确答案 [打印本页]

作者: elusive    时间: 2016-4-10 14:53
标题: 想了半个小时也没法说服自己B就是正确答案
21. Historian: We can learn about the medical history of individuals through chemical analysis of their hair. It is likely, for example, that Isaac Newton’s psychological problems were due to mercury poisoning; traces of mercury were found in his hair. Analysis is now being done on a lock of Beethoven’s hair. Although no convincing argument has shown that Beethoven ever had a venereal disease, some people hypothesize that venereal disease caused his deafness. Since mercury was commonly ingested in Beethoven’s time to treat venereal disease, if researchers find a trace of mercury in his hair, we can conclude that this hypothesis is correct.

Which one of the following is an assumption on which the historian’s argument depends?

A. None of the mercury introduced into the body can be eliminated.
B. Some people in Beethoven’s time did not ingest mercury.
C. Mercury is an effective treatment for venereal disease.
D. Mercury poisoning can cause deafness in people with venereal disease.
E. Beethoven suffered from psychological problems of the same severity as Newton’s.

作者: elusive    时间: 2016-4-10 14:54
假设不看答案,能想得出吗?
作者: elusive    时间: 2016-4-10 15:09
有些人怀疑性病导致耳聋。
因:水印用来治疗性病,
果:如果头发中有水印,那么就是性病导致的耳聋。

怎么B就是对的呢?
作者: alzn2765    时间: 2016-4-10 15:42
elusive 发表于 2016-4-10 15:09
有些人怀疑性病导致耳聋。
因:水印用来治疗性病,
果:如果头发中有水印,那么就是性病导致的耳聋。

B可以用Negation Test验证:
如果贝多芬时代的所有人都会食用水银,那么贝多芬是不是因为为了治疗性病才食用水银导致耳聋的猜测也就无法证实了

另外:这题是一个果因推理,不是因果推理。根据“现象”去猜测“现象”的成因,都是果因推理。注意“果”和“因”发生的时间哪个在前哪个在后。
果:researchers find a trace of mercury in his hair+ mercury was commonly ingested in Beethoven’s time to treat venereal disease
因:venereal disease caused his deafness

B其实是一个Defender类assumption:
不是所有的贝多芬时代的人都食用水银。
排除了一种会让hypothesis无效的可能性。
如果你在逻辑链中不能发现明显的gap,那么问assumption就一定只能是Defender类assumption了。

作者: mtong    时间: 2016-4-10 19:08
治疗性病是一种主动的行为,“主动”是问题的关键!
作者: 小MMM    时间: 2023-4-20 22:07
牛顿的病是因为mercury中毒,mercury中毒在他的头发里能发现。
在贝多芬的时代,mercury常用来治疗venereal病。有人假设venereal病造成了贝多芬的耳聋。如果能在他头发里发现mercury,就能确定venereal病造成了他的耳聋。
C重复文章前提。D中mercury poisoning不对,hypothesis说的是venereal disease造成了他的耳聋。
B说实话我没看懂,但我猜如果都ingest了,那么就不会在头发上测出来了。





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