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标题: AA110集思广益中参加讨论提高自己惠及他人 [打印本页]

作者: judydongxueni 时间: 2005-7-29 19:04
标题: AA110集思广益中参加讨论提高自己惠及他人

110. The following appeared as part of a memorandum from the loan department of the Frostbite National Bank.
“We should not approve the business loan application of the local group that wants to open a franchise outlet for the Kool Kone chain of ice cream parlors. Frostbite is known for its cold winters, and cold weather can mean slow ice cream sales. For example, even though Frostbite is a town of 10,000 people, it has only one ice cream spot — the Frigid Cow. Despite the lack of competition, the Frigid Cow’s net revenues fell by 10 percent last winter.”

1The pivotal factor in deciding whether to give loan to a company should depend on the credit of the company rather than the prospective performance of it.
2Admittedly, the former and prospective performance of the company is also important when the bank have to make decision of whether or not should it give loan to a company. However, the author of the memorandum shows no sufficient evidence to support his or her proposal that the bank should not give loan to Kool Kone chain of ice cream parlors.
3The statistics last year does not necessarily denote the future trend.

作者: xjlv128 时间: 2006-4-4 16:24

以下是引用judydongxueni在2005-7-29 19:04:00的发言：

1The pivotal factor in deciding whether to give loan to a company should depend on the credit of the company rather than the prospective performance of it. 不是吧……
2Admittedly, the former and prospective performance of the company is also important when the bank have to make decision of whether or not should it give loan to a company. However, the author of the memorandum shows no sufficient evidence to support his or her proposal that the bank should not give loan to Kool Kone chain of ice cream parlors. 嗯？不是和1矛盾？

这么久没人丢两句话啊

我来两句：While referring to the cold winter, the author omits the duration of it.

The number of parlors is not closely relavent to the potential market.

作者: biss33 时间: 2006-8-3 00:24

说一下我的思路：

1，Gratuitous assumption：题目只说本地区famous for cold winter,没有提到duration.（不知道算作gratuitous assumption是不是正确）

2，错误类比：文中提到的两个公司不一定有可比性。fc的失败不一定可以应用到cc上

3，all things are equal:去年的失败不能说明情况永远不好

请大家指正

作者: xjlv128 时间: 2006-8-3 09:19

恩，对啊．我觉得还有,其实跟你的3找在同一个位置

insufficient sample: the figure of 10% decline last year is not sufficient to lead to the conclusion that ice cream industry in F always suffers loss.

作者: allen0018 时间: 2006-8-3 11:31
1, Frostbite is known for its cold winters, and cold weather can mean slow ice cream sales
who said that? is that true or a false causal relation? 死抬杠
2,10% 有他因比如做的是 hot ice cream who knows?
3，错误类比 false analogy，可能本身f 就是要倒闭的官僚企业
4，错误类比 all things are equal
5,10000 人才有1家商店，说明潜力巨大，false assumption 不一定没有商店就说人们不喜欢
6，winter duration 这点非常好，放在第一个说
7，大家都说了贷款的方式，我觉得非常好，我想说可能贷款给它比较划算，因为地皮可能涨价啊，或者，这家公司可能引导一种消费风暴大家都来吃冰淇淋，或者解决了就业，who knows???

作者: hionekg 时间: 2009-6-2 11:02
正愁这道题

作者: whismanc 时间: 2009-7-20 16:21

thx

作者: tatayliu 时间: 2011-2-6 04:10
谢谢。。

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