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Which of the following most logically completes the passage?

Pecan growers get a high price for their crop when pecans are comparatively scarce, but the price drops sharply when pecans are abundant. Thus, in high-yield years, growers often hold back part of their crop in refrigerated warehouses for one or two years, hoping for higher prices in the future. This year's pecan crop was the smallest in five years. It is nonetheless quite possible that a portion of this year's crop will be held back, since ___________.

正确答案: A

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求指点下 OG13 CR 65一道填空题

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发表于 2012-8-8 14:25:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
65. Which of the following most logically completes the passage?



Pecan growers get a high price for their crop when pecans are comparatively scarce, but the price drops sharply when pecans are abundant. Thus, in high-yield years, growers often hold back part of their crop in refrigerated warehouses for one or two years, hoping for higher prices in the future.This year’s pecan crop was the smallest in five years. It is nonetheless quite possible that a portion of this year’s crop will be held back,
since
______.



(A) each of the last two years produced record-breaking pecan yields



(B) the quality of this year’s pecan crop is no worse than the quality of the pecan crops of the previous five years



(C) pecan prices have not been subject to sharp fluctuations in recent years



(D) for some pecan growers, this year’s crop was no smaller than last year’s



(E) the practice of holding back part of one year’s crop had not yet become widespread the last time the pecan crop was as small as it was this year

key:A

谢谢!!!!

发表于 2014-2-6 17:52:07 | 显示全部楼层
這一題第一次作錯了, 後來細看發現, 決定要不要囤貨的原因是產量, 不是價格.

in high-yield years, growers often hold back part of their crop in refrigerated warehouses for one or two years, hoping for higher prices in the future.

所以當(A)(C)在選的時後.
(A) each of the last two years produced record-breaking pecan yields
(C) pecan prices have not been subject to sharp fluctuations in recent years

要選跟產量有關的(A), 而不是價格, 如果選(C)變成倒因為果.
发表于 2012-8-9 12:28:11 | 显示全部楼层
A 的意思是 前兩年的产量都非常高:record-breaking pecan yields。
根据题干,在产量高的时候,会囤积pecan,如果囤积量十分大的话,即使今年的产量小,pecan的存量还是会很大,所以还是会囤积一部分今年的,把前两年的先卖出去了。

题干中This year’s pecan crop was the smallest in five years. It is nonetheless quite possible that a portion of this year’s crop will be held back似乎是存在矛盾的,所以since后边要解释这个矛盾。
楼主选C似乎只表述了一个价格的现象,不能解释为什么今年的产量小但还是会囤积一部分pecan。
发表于 2012-8-8 20:18:05 | 显示全部楼层
LZ最好是把自己的思路和对各个选项的理解困惑一起贴上来,这样大家才知道你的思考过程在什么地方除了问题。
 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-9 11:54:16 | 显示全部楼层
LZ最好是把自己的思路和对各个选项的理解困惑一起贴上来,这样大家才知道你的思考过程在什么地方除了问题。
-- by 会员 keithyang926 (2012/8/8 20:18:05)


谢谢的你指点,我把我的思路写下:
Pecan的种植者在P缺乏时候获得大的利益,价格下降又在充裕的P的时候。所以有人会存在冰库里面等待高价格兜售!,但是今年的数量P是很少的,5年内,为什么今年的数量不能回升呢?(照理说应该会大量拿出来高价卖的!)
我的分析题干对吗?看不懂A的意思
我选C,是说这几年的价格都很稳定,所以卖不出高价钱,因此不会大量的P出来!
发表于 2012-8-9 12:35:23 | 显示全部楼层
楼主理解错了。。。
题目的问题是“当P很多的时候会被hold back以期待后面卖出好价钱,今年P很少,而今年有可能一部分P会被hold back是因为?”
照理说P很少应该不会被Hold back, 但在前面供给很足的情况下,需要把前面的先卖掉。
A:因为前几年已有大量库存,所以今年的供给很足,所以今年产出的P卖不出去。
C:P的价格这几年没变不能说明P被hold back,因为这只和P的数量有关。
发表于 2012-8-9 21:18:10 | 显示全部楼层
題目說 crop生產多了  市面上的crop就多了 價格會下降  怎麼辦  把產出的crop藏起來,只能冰凍儲存一到兩年, 這樣市面上的crop 就少了 可以維持高價位。
今年生產的crop 很少  但還是可能要藏起來。為什麼?  

如果前兩年的產出都破紀錄的高 , 那肯定藏了好多crop 了啊
已經存了兩年的crop 拉 再不把他們拿出來就要壞了啊。 拿出來了的話   市面上的crop就多了 ,價格就可能會下跌,所以呢,也有要把今年產出的crop 藏起來的可能性。
 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-9 22:53:29 | 显示全部楼层
谢谢楼主各位的剖析,谢谢了,我已经理解了。
有点绕,但还是A没有理解
继续加强阅读去吧!
发表于 2012-8-13 17:15:00 | 显示全部楼层
LZ         C说价格稳定并不表示价格就一定低啊
发表于 2012-8-25 15:39:20 | 显示全部楼层
库存得先进先出
发表于 2012-9-15 10:19:01 | 显示全部楼层
我也是看不懂这题,看了几位牛人的解释,终于理解了,先进先出法 啊
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