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[讨论][求助]OG-138题

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楼主
发表于 2003-9-10 01:01:00 | 只看该作者

[讨论][求助]OG-138题

Question 138-139 are based on the following:

R:The alarming fact is that 90 percent of the people in this country now report that they know some one who is unemployed。

S:But a normal, moderate level of unemployment is 5 percent, which 1 out of 20 workers unemployed。 So at any given time if a person knows approximately 50 workers, 1 or more will very likely be unemployed。

138。 Sharon‘s argument is structured to lead to which of the following as a conclusion?
A。 The fact that 90 percent of the people know someone who is umemployed is not an indication that unemployement is abnormally high。
B。 The current level of unemployment is not moderate。
C。 If at least 5 persent of workers are unemployed, the result of questioning a representative group of people cannot be the percentage R cites。
D。 It is unlikely that the people whose statements R cites are giving accurate reports。
E。 If an umemployment figure is given as a certain percent, the actual percentage of those without jobs is even higher。

这道题目,我原文的逻辑思路读不出来,仅仅根据S开头的BUT,觉得是反对R的,所以猜的D,不太明白S到底是如何论证的。还请NN们指点~!多谢~!
沙发
发表于 2003-9-10 06:57:00 | 只看该作者
R:90%的人认识失业,警惕呀。
S:咳,那有什么?5%的失业率算常事儿。1/20=5%,那你认识50个,还不有2个失业?
问:S想干吗?
S是在反对R,R在干吗?R在说90%的人认识一个失业的,那失业率肯定高呀。S一定是不高。所以A对。这题的关键是搞清结论是什么,如果理解了R的结论,就理解了全题。
板凳
 楼主| 发表于 2003-9-10 16:06:00 | 只看该作者
呵呵,看来还是阅读的问题,这么一说,豁然开朗,A似乎很明显了。谢谢:)
地板
发表于 2004-6-27 13:34:00 | 只看该作者

Still have a question regarding this one.

90%的人认识一个失业的 Vs. 那你认识50个,还不有2个失业

Should we do some math in order to answer this question:

if you know 50 people, two of them are unemployed --->the unemployment rate is higher than that in the case when 90% of people know some one unemployed.  Is this the correct reasoning for this question?

But I think the concept of "You know 50 people" is different from the concept of "90% of People".  Or are they the same thing?

5#
发表于 2004-9-13 22:49:00 | 只看该作者
数学确实有点绕,我也不太明白,老大,再讲讲吧
6#
发表于 2004-9-13 23:22:00 | 只看该作者
这不是数学题,不要卷入数学计算中。问题要问的是S说的话的MAIN IDEA,即S要表达什麽观点。从S用的BUT可看出S不同意R的观点。R要表达是现在的失业率是个alarming。S不认同R的观点,认为现在的失业率不是alarming。即A。至于R所说的90%如何解释,不必考虑。
7#
发表于 2005-7-7 19:16:00 | 只看该作者

这个还是没看明白,哪位牛牛再说说

8#
发表于 2005-7-29 19:44:00 | 只看该作者
以下是引用lawyer_1在2004-9-13 23:22:00的发言:
这不是数学题,不要卷入数学计算中。问题要问的是S说的话的MAIN IDEA,即S要表达什麽观点。从S用的BUT可看出S不同意R的观点。R要表达是现在的失业率是个alarming。S不认同R的观点,认为现在的失业率不是alarming。即A。至于R所说的90%如何解释,不必考虑。


Lawyer其实说的很清楚 我来狗尾续貂一下



这题在于了解S是反对R的态度(由S的第一句But看出) 其实就推得出 90%的人知道有失业的人并不是the alarming fact



翻译


R:警讯:这个国家90%的人说他们认识(知道)有人失业


S:但是 在正常、轻度的失业率5%下,也就是20个人中有一人失业。某人只要认识超过50各劳工,就至少有一人可能是失业的。



希望没让人更困惑

9#
发表于 2005-8-8 10:46:00 | 只看该作者
多天后再看此题,明白了不少
10#
发表于 2005-9-22 11:49:00 | 只看该作者

138.
Sharon’s argument is essentially that, even if the facts are as Roland presents them, they are not in and of themselves a cause for alarm. Even circumstances reassuringly normal and unremarkable-a normal, moderate unemployment rate and having 50 or more workers among one’s acquaintances-imply the sort of fact Roland
cites. Thus, that fact does not indicate that things are not normal (for example, that unemployment is alarmingly high)
. Choice A, therefore, is the best answer.
Sharon’s argument focuses exclusively on whether Roland’s alarm is logically warranted, given the fact he cites.Sharon herself takes no position whatsoever on what the actual facts concerning unemployment statistics and concerning people’s self-reports are. Because choices B, C, D, and E are assertions about such matters, each is incorrect.



OG的解释中黄色的部分该如何理解?郁闷了很久。

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